With the Marlins on the losing side 12 of their last 14, and with their southpaw Dontrelle Willis struggling at home this year, back the Atlanta Braves this evening on the moneyline.

Atlanta is 54-31 since 1997 on the road when the total is 10 to 10½. The Braves are scoring 5.4 runs per game on the road this season and need this win to avoid dropping their fourth straight series.

Florida is 21-37 last three years at home when the moneyline is -100 to -125. Florida has lost 12 of their last 14 games overall. Dontrelle Willis is only 3-8 at home this year. We'll recommend a small play on Atlanta tonight!

Free Pick: Braves -104