139 113 +21.812u
=+7.199%
of 303u
as always, good-value tickets...
unfortunately for me tho'...i slept thru both the posting and the playing-out of this one
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06-14-16 10:08 AM #36
Last edited by fitguy67; 06-14-16 at 10:15 AM.
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06-14-16 12:41 PM #37
Good call man...
Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
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06-15-16 12:38 AM #38
Thanks, I think it was one of those fortune ones where the bookies couldn't set it too high or too low so we can take advantage of if with the middle one
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06-15-16 12:41 AM #39
In-Play
ATP London Queens 500, Aegon Championships, R1
Nick Kyrgios vs Milos Raonic
Money line: Nick Kyrgios @ 2.32 on Crownbet
Stake: 1u play
Not every bookie has odds of a match that is resuming the following day so shop around at your preferred books.
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06-15-16 11:55 AM #40
139 114 +20.812u
=+6.846% of 304u
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06-15-16 09:55 PM #41
ATP Halle 500, Gerry Weber Open, R16
Roger Federer vs Malek Jaziri
Total Score: Over 19.5 @ 2.04 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP London/Queens 500, Aegon Championships, R16
Andy Murray vs Aljaz Bedene
Total Score: Over 19.5 @ 2.03 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP London/Queens 500, Aegon Championships, R16
Jiri Vesely vs Milos Raonic
Handicap: Jiri Vesely +4.0 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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06-16-16 01:02 PM #42
141 115 +21.769U
=+7.091%
of 307u
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06-16-16 01:34 PM #43
Just needed 1 more game for Andy Murray vs Aljaz Bedene to score a hat-trick, unlucky man, good calls Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
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06-16-16 01:51 PM #44
logistics of life won't allow me to tail consistently anymore for the time being, so i won't be updating anymore
should be easy to carry on from my numbers (altho' i did intentionally "lose" all your pushes--which i'd estimate number a few dozen since the start of the year...appearing as they do a few times a month)
will continue to check in as often as possible in order to over the units I'm missing out on cuzza da' time-zone and new work-shit considerations...pretty well baseball, hockey, and fighting for me from now on (there are very few things i despise more than basketball and "foot"ball, and betting on that horseshit just magnifies my hatred)...
trying to tail the "round the clock" stuff like tennis and soccer usually just ends up pissing me off cuz of the painful periods of disproportionately "missing the winners and hitting the losers" (aka. Murphy's Law
)...so i'll just have to go cold turkey altogether (altho' i just may eventually choose one/a few soccer league(s) in a good timezone and work on a system to unearth "value" in ML-draws only...would be nice to get those fukkers on my side for a change, lol)
anyhow, Jeff...good luck going forward on your great calendar-2016 campaignLast edited by fitguy67; 06-16-16 at 02:21 PM.
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06-17-16 11:37 PM #45
Aye thanks, presence is always welcome anytime!
That'll be it from me for this week
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06-17-16 11:38 PM #46
Thanks, Yeah he broke back after being broken then that didn't last long. And here I was going to post that regretful moment I didnt go for +5 instead lol. Originally Posted by gorwin068
Just needed 1 more game for Andy Murray vs Aljaz Bedene to score a hat-trick, unlucky man, good calls
Vesely looked shaky that entire second set (compared to the first) but still somehow bought it into a tiebreaker, good work ol chap!
Then you see matches like the one against Edmund (when I was checking) and he was up 5-0 in the 3rd set heh.
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06-21-16 09:11 PM #47
Light duties this week before Wimbledon, few plays here and there, nothing too heavy
ATP Aegon Open Nottingham 250, R16
Mikhail Youzhny vs Gilles Muller
Handicap: Mikhail Youhzny +2.5 @ 1.980 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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06-21-16 10:08 PM #48
curious on your thoughts on this play. Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
youhzny has been a challenger series warrior this year, muller is in great form...
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06-21-16 11:09 PM #49
Fair question, grass and especially those chump tournaments before Wimbledon are usually when i'll take the bait on Youhzny and only as a dog. Last year he was out of form then, this year is a bit of a different story, has won some matches, gave Thiem a good fight (which I got on posted here)
That said he does get some good surprise upsets or "upsets" depending on how one perceives the favourite to be. Say Lopez who usually should walk into these finals off his serve and volley game he beat as a 3.30 dog. But that also said Lopez had a mediorce grass campaign and is getting on in age. That doesn't stop the bookies from giving him short odds that people and squares will take.
Muller...good as he can be and only seems to like winning when I'm not on him haha...Again he's done well too after missing a chunk of the clay season which he doesn't like anyway and has taken advantage of his serve. I hate his technique though, it feels so awkward and that any time he could throw up a batch of unforced errors haha. There seems to be little margin for error between a clean winner/ace and an UE.
I just hope in my case the 2.5 line makes for a tight game even if Youhzny doesn't win here
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06-22-16 08:41 PM #50
tough loss, hook gets ya every time.
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06-23-16 01:50 AM #51
Ahhh yeah ain't that the truth haha
If I had gotten on the over no doubt he would have won 7-5 6-3 or something
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06-27-16 11:33 PM #52
Alrighty, Wimbledon time!
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles, R128
Feliciano Lopez vs Rajeev Ram
Total Score: Over 37.5 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles, R128
Benjamin Becker vs Facundo Bagnis
Handicap: Facundo Bagnis +8.0 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles, R128
Dusan Lajovic vs Dustin Brown
Handicap: Dusan Lajovic +7.0 @ 1.826 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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06-28-16 01:01 AM #53
I must admit, I've incorporated your style a bit in some of my bets as well. Giving anyone a +8 handicap on grass is tempting to say the least.
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06-28-16 05:38 AM #54
aw yeah buddy, lets enjoy some wimbledon! Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
Im with you!
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06-29-16 12:55 AM #55
Yep, looking forward to it all, lets hope for a better day today
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles, R128
Federico Delbonis vs Fabio Fognini
Handicap: Federico Delbonis +5.0 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Grigor Dimitrov vs Gilles Simon
Moneyline: Gilles Simon @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles R64
Jack Sock vs Robin Haase
Handicap: Robin Haase +5.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles R64
Dan Evans vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov -4.5 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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06-29-16 01:07 AM #56
Of course, sometimes it doesnt work out like it did yesterday haha. As always its a dice roll with whos serving first but it wouldnt have mattered anyway with the last set, ahh well... Originally Posted by Lightning
I must say Novak is absolutely a bad matchup for Mannarino and he should hammer him but with Novak going 0-9 ATS in Slams during Rounds 1-4 it's hard to back especially considering he is usually in Gear 1 these opening rounds unless he needs to step it up like he did against Anderson last year here or Simon in Australia.
The Under 28 is hell tempting but i'll leave it. No doubt he will win like 6-3, 6-4, 6-3 or something heh.
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06-29-16 08:27 AM #57
You sure about this bet bro? I'm not to sure about Robin to be honest, he has a very troubled mind. He has a lot of personal shit going on with his former tennis coach being framed for the murder on C. Everink. Surely this will weigh heavily on his focus, all happened very recently. Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
I was thinking of going for Sock but i haven't seen him play that much recently. Any info?
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06-29-16 09:24 AM #58
I agree - usually I don't take Djokovic's line in early rounds because he doesn't cover, but I don't bet against it either, because he's that good. I took it today because I thought 28 games was pretty generous, but that's the exception Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
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06-29-16 09:48 AM #59
Yeah this was on the back of my mind but I didn't factor into it largely, I saw him play his grass matches before wimbledon, he's going ok and hitting it sweetly, thing is I don't trust sock as a favourite and with Haases serve I'm hoping for a tiebreak or two... Originally Posted by Jsnep7
I've seen him play on grass before and I would love to see how he goes with a consistent hear on the tour on the faster surfaces, his game looks so clean to me when he's hitting it well.
that said with the possibility of a postponement I am tempted to add the over 37 as I am not sure it will be straight sets either way and sock is as mental midget as anyone!
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06-29-16 09:49 AM #60
Hopin for your sake, oath it's going the way or a one break per set though! Originally Posted by Lightning
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06-30-16 01:45 AM #61
I think I am just going to leave it as my plays from yesterday then see how the weather goes. It's supposed to be good
Hopefully a couple of plays for the later games depending on how things go
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06-30-16 03:03 AM #62
Yeah. 0-10 for Djokovic ATS now. I underestimated Mannarino - his game style is pretty good on grass. Anyone other than the top 10 and I reckon he would've had a chance at beating them. Originally Posted by Jeff_Black
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06-30-16 09:35 PM #63
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles R64
Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Juan Monaco
Set Handicap: Jo Wilfried Tsonga -2.5 sets @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles R32
Steve Johnson vs Grigor Dimitrov
Moneyline: Grigor Dimitrov @ 1.729 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles R64
Alexander Zverev vs Mikhail Youhzny
Handicap: Alexander Zverev -5.0 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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07-02-16 06:08 AM #64
ATP Wimbledon SW19 2000, Mens Singles R32
John Isner vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga
Moneyline: Jo Wilfried Tsonga @ 1.787 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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07-03-16 05:24 PM #65
I tailed big On Tsonga, was great to watch him somehow pull off the victory after being down 2 sets. Any plays for tomorrow? Some high level tennis to be played. The lines make me wonder if Kyrgios and Steve Johnson has good shots at pulling upsets.
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07-03-16 09:24 PM #66
Yah I will post something later after reassessing the weather, hate have players being disrupted due to it and some don't handle it as well, looks like yesterday was good im that regard so hopefully a few plays
i am surprised Tsonga pulled it off but that said, Isner just isn't a big match player in the slams these days
how Zverev covered -5 in 5 sets (yeah I know there was a 6-0) I'll never know! lol
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07-03-16 09:53 PM #67
ATP Wimbledon Championships 2000 SW19, Mens Singles, R16
Marin Cilic vs Kei Nishikori
Moneyline: Marin Cilic @ 2.25 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon Championships 2000 SW19, Mens Singles, R16
Roger Federer vs Steve Johnson
Set Handicap: Roger Federer -2.5 sets @ 2.06 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon Championships 2000 SW19, Mens Singles, R16
Sam Querrey vs Nicholas Mahut
Moneyline: Nicholas Mahut @ 1.689 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
ATP Wimbledon Championships 2000 SW19, Mens Singles, R16
David Goffin vs Milos Raonic
Total Score: Over 37.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play
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07-03-16 10:27 PM #68
I agree with you about Federer - interesting to see how many people think Johnson is a god on grass now. He's beat some good players, but Fed is on another level. Mahut also such a good price - he should be winning this pretty easily.
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07-04-16 12:31 AM #69
Yeah I think they will both win and win well. Federer looked pretty good in his tune up events as well. Aside from his first match it's been a good ride against inferior talent.
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07-04-16 01:16 AM #70
I must admit, I can see it going to two or three tiebreaks though, because Johnson's been serving well. OVER 35 tempted me for a bit, but I think it'll be close, and I don't like backing plays that might only win by one game or so. Querrey is an average player who had a great day against a great player who had an average day. Mahut is good enough to take advantage. Can't believe the odds are so high.
Interesting though - you think Goffin can make inroads against the Raonic serve?
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