1. 05-21-16 08:30 PM #1
    Don West
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    I'll post selections here for the this tournament. Hopefully the number cruncher will do his thing also.

    RG Round 1 Day 1

    Straight bet: Leo Mayer (+100)

    Straight bet: Al Montanes (-110)

    Straight bet: Nicky Basil ML (+150)

    Parlay: Radu the Robot + 2.5 sets / Adrian Ungur ML (+200)

    Coed: Dimitrov ML / Buyucackey ML / Heather ML (+242)

    Coed: Raonic -2.5 /Kyrgios -2.5/ Kuznetsov -1000 (+105)

    Parlay: Begu -1.5 / McHale -1.5 (+139)

    Parlay: Royg ML / Golubic ML (+420)

    Straight: Rybarikova ML (+1800)

    Straight: Gasparyan ML (+290)

    Straight: Hibino +1.5 (+550)

    Parlay: Young > 3.5 / Sela > 3.5 (+140)

    Parlay: Petkovic -1.5 / Keys -1.5 (-133)


    All bets are 1 unit. I will probably win 75 percent of these.
    Last edited by Don West; 05-22-16 at 04:40 PM.
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  2. 05-21-16 09:28 PM #2
    fitguy67
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    i was just helpin' a bro' dig out after a few days before...don't take me for granted, pal

    a surpisingly-high percentage of life's issues can be addressed with skillful use of google...and excel, lol
    ___________

    what bet-size protocol you use, re: the stated units?
    *American (dogs to risk/faves to win), or
    *European (everything to risk)?
    Last edited by fitguy67; 05-21-16 at 09:44 PM.
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  3. 05-21-16 09:53 PM #3
    Don West
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    American. Dogs to win, faves to risk.
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  4. 05-22-16 04:42 AM #4
    Don West
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    Live Wager:

    Ungur > 13.5 games won (-110)
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  5. 05-22-16 05:04 AM #5
    fitguy67
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    ^er, think that's a typo in #3^
    with dogs you risk the stated units
    with faves you aim to win the stated units,

    right? or else you're being "anti-American", lol

    ____________
    Cheerios gave us a bit of a scare there in s1 but came thru
    Last edited by fitguy67; 05-22-16 at 05:09 AM.
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  6. 05-22-16 05:10 AM #6
    Don West
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    Yeah I caught the end of that breaker. Good stuff.

    Hopefully Ungur retires. Maybe someone poisoned his croissant. I don't have a stream but you shouldn't be getting trounced on clay by this hack.
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  7. 05-22-16 05:31 AM #7
    Lightning
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    Clearly, you're pretty clueless
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  8. 05-22-16 05:36 AM #8
    fitguy67
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    yeah, sizzling doesn't exactly describe his career...

    i got unger+11.5 live, so he just needs to win 4 in s3...hold serve yah mook

    now if he can break your o13.5 has a chance
    Last edited by fitguy67; 05-22-16 at 05:45 AM.
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  9. 05-22-16 05:38 AM #9
    Lightning
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    Must admit, Sisjling has been performing lately. I wouldn't have got on him to win this but I can't say I'm surprised.
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  10. 05-22-16 11:06 AM #10
    Don West
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    yeah, sizzling doesn't exactly describe his career...

    i got unger+11.5 live, so he just needs to win 4 in s3...hold serve yah mook

    now if he can break your o13.5 has a chance
    Happy that you cashed your bet. What a ridiculous match though. Glad I was asleep during the 3rd set.
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  11. 05-22-16 11:32 AM #11
    fitguy67
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    most instructive lesson from the early action is that "the donald will always find a way to donald"...gets straight-set by Garbage-willy who "has the heart of a lion...and the serve of Sara Errani"
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  12. 05-22-16 12:16 PM #12
    Don West
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    most instructive lesson from the early action is that "the donald will always find a way to donald"...gets straight-set by Garbage-willy who "has the heart of a lion...and the serve of Sara Errani"
    I think I'm just going to start fading that guy every match from now on.
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  13. 05-22-16 04:02 PM #13
    fitguy67
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    certainly the donald as fave vs anyone in top 150 is verboten...same goes for garbage-willy...

    another guy you can never trust as a favorite against anyone within 50 places of him is the big krumbler, Kev

    at the elite level, i'll never bet Wawrinka AS A FAVE against anyone unless it's a slam
    STAN=Slams, "Tooth And Nail"
    EDGAR=Else-wise Doesn't Give A Rat's-ass
    Last edited by fitguy67; 05-22-16 at 04:05 PM.
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  14. 05-22-16 04:35 PM #14
    Don West
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    Figured the duck would take a set at least. Thats what garbagemen are for though.

    Big @#$% I agree with you, Wawrinka also.
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  15. 05-22-16 10:48 PM #15
    Don West
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    Delete
    Last edited by Don West; 05-23-16 at 03:49 AM.
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  16. 05-23-16 03:48 AM #16
    Don West
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    Bellucci +2.5 Sets (-140) 1.4 to win 1
    Rosol +2.5 sets (+135) 1 to win 1.35
    Lajovic -1.5 sets (+115) 1 to win 1.15
    McHale -1.5 sets (-240) 2.4 to win 1
    Simon vs Silva Over 31.5 (-115) 1.15 to win 1
    Isner -2.5 sets (+100) 1 to win 1
    Hantuchova +1.5 sets (-115) 1.15 to win 1
    Querry -2.5 sets (+135) 1 to win 1.35
    Kukushkin-1.5 sets (+135) 1 to win 1.35
    Dodig-1.5 sets (+125) 1 to win 1.25
    Cibulkova -1.5 & Larsson-200 (-105) 1.05 to win 1
    Kamke +2.5 sets (-110) 1.1 to win 1
    Zeballos +2.5 sets (-135) 1.35 to win 1
    Cilic -2.5 (-175) 1.75 to win 1
    Daniel -2.5 sets (+150) 1 to win 1.5
    Tessa A.... +1.5 sets (+110) 1 to win 1.1
    Cirstea +105 1 to win 1.05
    McHale -1.5 sets & Ostapenko-250 (-110) 1.1 to 1
    Isner -2.5 sets & Lajovic -167 (+183) 1 to win 1.83
    Townsend -1.5 sets (-110) 1.1 to win 1
    Doi +1.5 sets (-125) 1.25 to win 1
    Doi (+225) 1 to win 2.25
    Raonic vs Tipsarevic Under 30 (-115) 1.15 to win 1
    Basilashvili (+150) 1 to win 1.5
    Montanes (-110) 1.1 to win 1
    Mayer (+100) 1 to win 1
    Hibino +1.5 sets (+550) .5 to win 2.25
    Gasparyan (+350) .5 to win 1.75
    Rybarikova (+1800) .25 to win 4.25



    This is everything that I have going for today and there are 1 or two carry overs from yesterday in the first post.
    Last edited by Don West; 05-23-16 at 03:52 AM.
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  17. 05-23-16 03:54 AM #17
    Don West
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    Adding Verdasco -2.5 sets (+150) 1 to win 1.5
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  18. 05-23-16 08:54 AM #18
    Don West
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    In game live bets:

    Rosol (+165) 1 to win 1.65
    Montanes (+225) 1 to win 2.25


    Confused by the McHale loss. There has to be a good explanation for something like that.
    Last edited by Don West; 05-23-16 at 09:00 AM.
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  19. 05-23-16 09:10 AM #19
    Lightning
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don West View Post
    In game live bets:


    Confused by the McHale loss. There has to be a good explanation for something like that.
    It's called tennis haha
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  20. 05-23-16 09:24 AM #20
    Don West
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    Additions:

    * 2 more units on Townsend -1.5
    (3.3 to win 3 total)

    * 1 more unit on Basilashvili at +130
    (2 to win 2.8 total)
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  21. 05-23-16 06:33 PM #21
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don West View Post
    Confused by the McHale loss. There has to be a good explanation for something like that.
    1.circle (and "star") today on the calendar...
    2. go forward 26 days on the calendar, circle that day and the next 4 days as well...write "explanation for McHale" over this five-day period...
    3. observe McHale's play over this period: if surprisingly sub-par play is observed in this window star that day...then go to step 2. above

    i'm only half-joking...we should build up a book of likely cycle-arrivals on these broads...
    Last edited by fitguy67; 05-23-16 at 07:33 PM.
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  22. 05-23-16 10:31 PM #22
    Jeff_Black
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    I once had someone ask me how do women tennis players compete/travel and play on the tour with what you just mentioned.

    I replied with "ever wonder why there are so many 6-0 6-1 blowouts on the woman's tour?" Or a score along those lines

    Enough said lol
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  23. 05-24-16 12:02 AM #23
    fitguy67
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    most blatant example of this in my memory is A.Radwanska...

    a few years ago at the AO (the year Na won)...she played a crisp beautiful game to dismantle Aza in the quarters...a total clinic...looked as if David Ferrer was playing her points for her...

    the very next day, in the semis she looked and played like a lump of boiled spinach against Cibulkova...i remember joking at the time, that instead of looking like David Ferrer was playing her points for her, it seems like she'd been gang-raped by Karlovic, Raonic, and Isner for 20 hours straight since the quarters ended, right up until match time...absolutely not the same person...not just an "on her game/off her game" (which is basically a timing thing which can come and go and make you look good/bad in waves or for a full match, even with unchanged fitness level)...no, it was as if she was dehydrated and didn't want to be there...she had no energy and got straight-setted, i think by the energizer munchkin...only thing i can attribute to it, is a bad monthtly "visit"

    it's always amazed me that, outside of pure jest, no-one ever mentions this very-real performance-sapping intangible
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  24. 05-24-16 03:51 AM #24
    Steamroller
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don West View Post

    All bets are 1 unit. I will probably win 75 percent of these.
    17% and one bet pending.
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  25. 05-24-16 06:36 AM #25
    Lightning
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    Quote Originally Posted by Steamroller View Post
    17% and one bet pending.
    The confidence was outstanding ahahaha
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