Going with a couple overs in Miami.
The weather should be ok.
Somewhat early action. We know Serena can be a little slow
to wake up. Kuznetsova is a strong athlete with a lot of energy
who has a history of making Serena work for her victories.
I'd rather take her Over 18.5 than +5.5 just in case she wins a set
and then Serena whoops her in one of the other sets.
Azarenka has never played Garbine Muguruza, I suspect Garbine
will be a tough out for Vika, as Garbine has been looking good
in Miami. She outlasted Cibulkova in a grueling 3-setter which means
she is in top physical form then proceeded to breadstick and bagel
Nicole Gibbs who actually is improving and can be dangerous to bet
against, just look at some upper lvl players she's beaten recently.
Muguruza should be able to hold the vast majority of her serves
today - which is good for the over, and make things difficult for
Vika, especially if after winning Indian Wells (and being largely unchallenged
so far in Miami vs. 2nd rate players (Linette, Puig) she struggles to tap
that reservoir during a Monday daytime match. She's woerth a +220 ML
for these reasons and some perceivable advantages she may have vs. Vika
which Vika isn't prepped for with no prior matches between them.
Parlay:
Kuznetsova/Williams Over 18.5, Muguruza/Azarenka Over 20.5
+215
$100/215
Muguruza +220
$45/99