1. 11-20-15 06:22 AM #1
    rabun
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    Ferrer/Nadal thoughts

    Incredibly difficult to predict. Nadal has already won the group and looking forward to semifinal against
    Nole. Ferrer on the other hand looking to salvage anything from London. In normal circumstances Nadal ML
    and spread -4,5 would be tempting but it could end in a surprising upset. The line for Ferrer is at the moment
    4.33 and over 21,5. The question is basically if Nadal wants to win against his compatriot at any price and
    risking to go down in flames in semis or he eases off and loses. The problem is that Ferrer isn't exactly reliable
    against players from top10 (1-9 in last 10, only win against Cilic in May at Roland Garros)
    Last edited by rabun; 11-20-15 at 06:30 AM.
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  2. 11-20-15 07:38 AM #2
    Conqueror
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    No interest in this one but I like Ferret for a "compatriot" win.
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  3. 11-20-15 07:56 AM #3
    PharaohUB
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    I agree value is in Ferrer. Nadal does not need to win and as far as the two are concerned I don't think there is much bad blood between the two. I don't see where Nadal's motivation comes from. He still probably wins, but value is on ferrer at that price. He wins more than 1/3
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  4. 11-20-15 08:04 AM #4
    rabun
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    I'll watch a couple games and maybe I'll get some kind enlightenment
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  5. 11-20-15 08:26 AM #5
    PharaohUB
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    well nadal came to play today!
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  6. 11-20-15 08:28 AM #6
    rabun
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    Quote Originally Posted by PharaohUB View Post
    well nadal came to play today!
    Well he won't just lie down First set Nadal second Ferrer and 3rd????

    Nadal probably wins but as long as Ferrer covers I don't give a penetrate
    Last edited by rabun; 11-20-15 at 08:35 AM.
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  7. 11-20-15 08:41 AM #7
    rabun
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    Quote Originally Posted by PharaohUB View Post
    I agree value is in Ferrer. Nadal does not need to win and as far as the two are concerned I don't think there is much bad blood between the two. I don't see where Nadal's motivation comes from. He still probably wins, but value is on ferrer at that price. He wins more than 1/3
    Regardless of the outcome there was no value in Nadal (I had 1.2 and 1.50 for 2-0)
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  8. 11-20-15 10:11 AM #8
    rabun
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    Oh man almost 2h on the court - Rafa wasting valuable time and strength on a meaningless match
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