This match is a no brainer for me. I would even take Almagro at even money. Over 5 sets, Almagro is in a different class than Simon. Simon has been playing well lately and he can definitely win this if he's sharp, but if both guys are at their best, Almagro will dictate all the points here. I don't see him losing this match.
100 on the ml
100 on the +6