1. 01-29-15 12:37 AM #351
    SCI
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    I don't bet 1st rounds in challenger events anymore. I gotta at least know who wants to be/compete there and who doesn't.
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  2. 01-29-15 12:48 AM #352
    EaglesPhan36
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    Well I guess Matsui hurt himself. He was serving for the match at 5-3, got broke and didn't win a point I don't think in the next game tp send it 5-5. Fortunately at my book, that's a push.
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  3. 01-29-15 12:56 AM #353
    EaglesPhan36
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    Serena opens -245 against Sharapova
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  4. 01-29-15 01:10 AM #354
    poet
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    What do you think of -3.5 for Serena. Last time Sharapova beat her was 2005!?
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  5. 01-29-15 02:07 AM #355
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by poet View Post
    What do you think of -3.5 for Serena. Last time Sharapova beat her was 2005!?
    easy with that kind of logic...Berdy had a similar drought against Rafa till a few days ago...wouldn't want to get on the second leg of what could become a key AO'15 retrospective bullet-point...

    Masha's been a lot steadier in her matches than "TinaTurner on Day-Quil" so far this tourney
    _________
    neither "since 2005" nor "so far this tourney" mean shit on Saturday in an absolute sense, but I'd weigh the latter a bit--not much, but a tiny bit-- heavier than the former
    Last edited by fitguy67; 01-29-15 at 02:31 AM.
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  6. 01-29-15 02:25 AM #356
    poet
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    Serena has just as much power but is a far better mover. As long as she keeps her errors low she should prosper.
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  7. 01-29-15 07:59 AM #357
    EaglesPhan36
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    Gonna hit some of these Challengers again today. Again if it's a totals play, I'm having to wait for my live options to open. So I'll post my actual # asap when that happens for anyone who cares.

    1.29.16
    Bucaramanga Challenger : Estrella Burgos-Struvay Over
    Based on price, hoping for 20 or less here.
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  8. 01-29-15 09:58 AM #358
    EaglesPhan36
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    Over is 20.5 @ -133
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  9. 01-29-15 11:26 AM #359
    EaglesPhan36
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    Looking at Lorenzi-Melzer next in Bucaramanga. Think I might favor an Under but not sure the total will be high enough to like it. 20 or higher, Under . If it's much lower that that, could look at the Over.
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  10. 01-29-15 11:57 AM #360
    EaglesPhan36
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    Bucaramanga Challenger: Lorenzi-Melzer Under 20.5 @ -125
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  11. 01-29-15 12:40 PM #361
    EaglesPhan36
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    Maui Challenger: Russell-Kozlov Ends in 3 Sets
    Whatever the # - that's my bet on this one.
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  12. 01-29-15 01:14 PM #362
    poet
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    Looking ahead to a possible Murray/Djoker final, EP, Murray's 2nd serve is gonna be a major liability, no? Birdshit could not capitalize on those fat-balls but Djoker will eat them up. Murray would do better against a guy like Stan who is not know for his return game.
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  13. 01-29-15 02:08 PM #363
    EaglesPhan36
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    Ends in 3 Sets +120 in Maui
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  14. 01-29-15 02:09 PM #364
    EaglesPhan36
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    And Poet, I think everyone would prefer not to play Djokovic.
    ☺
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  15. 01-29-15 02:22 PM #365
    poet
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    I have Djoker futures so I wanted to get your opinion on the possible matchup (for hedging purposes).
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  16. 01-29-15 02:36 PM #366
    EaglesPhan36
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    Murray-Djokovic is usually about serving & who fends off BPs better. When Nole serves well, he's.about unstoppable. Murray though has his share of success on Djokovics serve too. People don't realize it, but they are somewhat similar players. It's just that ND can do everything Murray does a little better & rarely isn't aggressive whereas Murray can be too passive at times.
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  17. 01-29-15 04:20 PM #367
    EaglesPhan36
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    1-2 on Challengers. Last one sucked. Russell missing opps to break in the 2nd.
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  18. 01-29-15 06:08 PM #368
    poet
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    Thanks, EP. I think the analysis is spot on. Still, Djoker doesn't serve 75mph cream-puffs on 2nd serves. This has to be a major disadvantage for Murray. It puts more pressure on his 1st serve.
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  19. 01-29-15 06:09 PM #369
    poet
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    BTW, I don't recall, was Murray's 2nd serve always this much of a liability or did all this happen after the surgery?
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  20. 01-29-15 07:23 PM #370
    EaglesPhan36
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    2015 Profit Margin: -3.57
    2015 Futures: +0.05
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  21. 01-29-15 07:29 PM #371
    EaglesPhan36
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    Never mind, Challenger match pulled off my live options.
    Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-29-15 at 08:01 PM.
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  22. 01-29-15 07:31 PM #372
    EaglesPhan36
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    Also likely to play something in the AusOpen WTA Dubs Final. Leaning Mattek Sands/Safarova unless the total provides something better where I would again favor an over. That starts around 12:30am ET. Will check out the lines when it gets closer and post a play if I play anything.
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  23. 01-29-15 08:05 PM #373
    EaglesPhan36
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    Add...
    Hong Kong Challenger: Kavcic-Chung Under

    *Waiting for LIVE Options to open in about 45 mins to an hour. Think it might be a decent number like 21 or so based on the price and where other lines were set, but waiting to see.
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  24. 01-29-15 09:05 PM #374
    EaglesPhan36
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    Still waiting for this total to post.
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  25. 01-29-15 09:08 PM #375
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Add...
    Hong Kong Challenger: Kavcic-Chung Under 21.5 @ -105

    *Waiting for LIVE Options to open in about 45 mins to an hour. Think it might be a decent number like 21 or so based on the price and where other lines were set, but waiting to see.
    Booked.
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  26. 01-29-15 09:09 PM #376
    biggie12
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    What's the play in joko match tonight going to tail cleaned up in bball tonight
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  27. 01-29-15 09:18 PM #377
    EaglesPhan36
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    For the price, Over 3.5 sets is worth a look, I think.
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  28. 01-29-15 09:53 PM #378
    EaglesPhan36
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    Stupid Kavcic. Had a couple early breaks and should have run away with the set, but El Choko.
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  29. 01-29-15 10:45 PM #379
    EaglesPhan36
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    Under hits because Kavcic got his ass rolled.
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  30. 01-29-15 11:30 PM #380
    EaglesPhan36
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    Day 12: AusOpen
    Parlay: Safiullin ML [ATP Juniors] & Djokovic-Wawrinka Over 3.5 Sets @ +109
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  31. 01-29-15 11:37 PM #381
    EaglesPhan36
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    WTA Doubles Final: Mattek Sands/Safarova-Chan/Zheng Over 20.5 @ -143
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  32. 01-29-15 11:52 PM #382
    biggie12
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    How the fuxk did u get over 3.5 sets at +109 ?

    I'm on it for 2790@ -143

    Edit nevemeind didn't know u had it as 2 gamer
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  33. 01-29-15 11:57 PM #383
    EaglesPhan36
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    Yes. Parlay for me.
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  34. 01-30-15 12:11 AM #384
    EaglesPhan36
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    Hong Kong Challenger: Ito-Devvarman Ends in 3 +140
    Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-30-15 at 12:27 AM.
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  35. 01-30-15 12:28 AM #385
    EaglesPhan36
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    Took the ends in 3 prop instead in Hong Kong
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