1. 10-29-14 12:01 AM #1
    Goat Milk
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    ATP Paris Discussion

    Some matches that stand out

    Ferrer vs. Goffin. Goffin has won 43 of 46 matches, but I don't see him beating Ferrer in a masters 1000 tournament in Paris.

    Fognini vs Pouille. No clue. Fognini seems to always show up in big matches, no?

    Melzer vs. Tsonga. What has Tsonga been doing for a month? Melzer served very well in his first match and we all know Melzer is the type of guy that you never want to bet against when he's hot. He's always down more than up at this stage, but when he gets hot, he's dangerous.
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  2. 10-29-14 01:06 AM #2
    matt1216
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    Take Pouille. He has the confidence with him right now. He beat Johnson and Nieminen in straight sets which is no easy feat. Fognini, nobody knows. He can win this match if he cares, but I think he's in Holliday mode. Being in France, you will atleast get a effort no matter what from Pouille.
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  3. 10-29-14 01:08 AM #3
    matt1216
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    Also Melzer looked Motivated vs Garcia Lopez. Remember Melzer is ranked 120 ish right now. He needs points for the Aussie open. Top 100 + wildcards get a crack at it. +1.5 sets @2.55 should be there for the taking
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  4. 10-29-14 01:17 AM #4
    Goat Milk
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    Wawrinka -3 -115 $115 to win $100

    I see this as a no brainer. Wawrinka has been embarrassed the last 2 or 3 matches, and I think he will roll Thiem who has played a lot of tennis lately. Too many errors for Thiem on the way and Wawrinka will go into this match very motivated in my opinion.

    Wawrinka 6-1 6-4
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  5. 10-29-14 01:23 AM #5
    EaglesPhan36
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    Meltzer is injured though, watch out Oppo of the above, Wawrinka has lacked any edge since the USO and has nothing to play for. Younger guys usually hungrier in this spot IMO
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  6. 10-29-14 02:19 AM #6
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Meltzer is injured though, watch out Oppo of the above, Wawrinka has lacked any edge since the USO and has nothing to play for. Younger guys usually hungrier in this spot IMO
    Pride. WHy would you want to lose to thiem twice if your Wawrinka. Think of it like an athlete. That's hunger/motivation right there. We'll see.
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  7. 10-29-14 04:40 AM #7
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Wawrinka -3 -115 $115 to win $100

    I see this as a no brainer. Wawrinka has been embarrassed the last 2 or 3 matches, and I think he will roll Thiem who has played a lot of tennis lately. Too many errors for Thiem on the way and Wawrinka will go into this match very motivated in my opinion.

    Wawrinka 6-1 6-4

    6-1, 6-4 doubt that, although Thiem can put in head scratchers, no motivation for Wawa.
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  8. 10-29-14 04:40 AM #8
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Wawrinka -3 -115 $115 to win $100

    I see this as a no brainer. Wawrinka has been embarrassed the last 2 or 3 matches, and I think he will roll Thiem who has played a lot of tennis lately. Too many errors for Thiem on the way and Wawrinka will go into this match very motivated in my opinion.

    Wawrinka 6-1 6-4

    6-1, 6-4 doubt that, although Thiem can put in head scratchers, no motivation for Wawa.
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  9. 10-29-14 06:31 AM #9
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Meltzer is injured though, watch out Oppo of the above, Wawrinka has lacked any edge since the USO and has nothing to play for. Younger guys usually hungrier in this spot IMO
    Melzer is not injured. Unless he twisted his ankle off the court . He looked pretty awsome vs Garcia-Lopez
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  10. 10-29-14 07:56 AM #10
    EaglesPhan36
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    Just relaying what I've read that he was carrying some sort of injury. Obviously not serious enough to keep him from playing, but makes him as iffy as anyone else I suppose. Not a great betting match since Tsonga is a coin flip to show or no show. Lots of its at work.
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  11. 10-29-14 08:14 AM #11
    Seto
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    Tsonga has been "resting" for a month because he's afraid of getting injured ahead of the Davis Cup final as Gasquet and Monfils have been. Meanwhile Federer who is much older than all of them has been playing nearly every week lol.

    Fognini's odds sound weird but it's Fognini so you never know with him.
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  12. 10-29-14 08:39 AM #12
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    Take Pouille. He has the confidence with him right now. He beat Johnson and Nieminen in straight sets which is no easy feat. Fognini, nobody knows. He can win this match if he cares, but I think he's in Holliday mode. Being in France, you will atleast get a effort no matter what from Pouille.
    On the other side.
    1) Pouille is a qualifier who mainly plays at the Challenger level in scrub tournaments. He's young, not 21 yet,
    has talent but is not established as an ATP level player, ranking 176.
    2) Fognini ranks 20 and has 7 years more experience.
    3) Pouille recent victories can be easily dismissed, aside from showing good form. Johnson ? whatever. Nieminen ?
    he's been playing a lot and is old. Karlovic ? bone tired from Basel, his serve was not there yesterday.
    4) Fognini has had rest coming off dissapointment in Spain.. lost to Murray (no shame in that). lost to Kukushkin
    and Gulbis (both who were very hot at the time). Stiffer level of competition. Fognini is used to playing vs the elite,
    Pouille is used to playing marginal players.
    5) Early round, indoor, don't expect a huge crowd for this match. It's not one of the premier matches.
    6) Time off for Fognini gives him an opportunity to rebound. His girlfriend Pennetta is in Bulgaria so we know
    he won't have weak legs.
    7) discounted odds
    8) Fognini is a solid combination of both speed and power. Pouille has speed, but Fognini will
    blast balls past him, confuse him, and beat him easily. Pouille has nothing in his arsenal
    that can hurt Fabio. Only if Fabio makes many errors or dfs would this match be in question.
    Last edited by Snowball; 10-29-14 at 08:43 AM.
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  13. 10-29-14 08:43 AM #13
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    On the other side.
    1) Pouille is a qualifier who mainly plays at the Challenger level in scrub tournaments. He's young, not 21 yet,
    has talent but is not established as an ATP level player, ranking 176.
    2) Fognini ranks 20 and has 7 years more experience.
    3) Pouille recent victories can be easily dismissed, aside from showing good form. Johnson ? whatever. Nieminen ?
    he's been playing a lot and is old. Karlovic ? bone tired from Basel, his serve was not there yesterday.
    4) Fognini has had rest coming off dissapointment in Spain.. lost to Murray (no shame in that). lost to Kukushkin
    and Gulbis (both who were very hot at the time). Stiffer level of competition. Fognini is used to playing vs the elite,
    Pouille is used to playing marginal players.
    5) Early round, indoor, don't expect a huge crowd for this match. It's not one of the premier matches.
    6) Time off for Fognini gives him an opportunity to rebound. His girlfriend Pennetta is in Bulgaria so we know
    he won't have weak legs.
    7) discounted odds

    All this but, Fagnini is a weak bitch, no heart fagg, he's probably in vacation mode and just here to pick up a paycheck
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  14. 10-29-14 08:46 AM #14
    riffraff24
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    Homophobe much
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  15. 10-29-14 08:49 AM #15
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bet10Heinekens View Post
    All this but, Fagnini is a weak bitch, no heart fagg, he's probably in vacation mode and just here to pick up a paycheck
    you don't rank 20 in world men's tennis by having those anti-qualities perpetually.
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  16. 10-29-14 09:06 AM #16
    baseballstud
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bet10Heinekens View Post
    All this but, Fagnini is a weak bitch, no heart fagg, he's probably in vacation mode and just here to pick up a paycheck
    Fagnini.....I see what you did there
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  17. 10-29-14 09:25 AM #17
    pattymayo
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    I didn't know fognini dated pennetta
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  18. 10-29-14 09:42 AM #18
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    I didn't know fognini dated pennetta
    she tweeted something about a ring a few months ago
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  19. 10-29-14 10:21 AM #19
    MiddleMan
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    Chardy going very well against Federer.
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  20. 10-29-14 10:32 AM #20
    Hardcoar
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    Fognini vs Pouille isn't so much a bet on who will win, as it is a bet on whether Buttpirate gives a flying f*ck.
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  21. 10-29-14 10:45 AM #21
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Fognini vs Pouille isn't so much a bet on who will win, as it is a bet on whether Buttpirate gives a flying f*ck.
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  22. 10-29-14 11:31 AM #22
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Steam on Lucas

    books setting up the tennis newbs with the higher rank player getting +money

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  23. 10-29-14 11:59 AM #23
    1337 player
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    the Kid is good.
    Just need to piss Foggy off to be sure
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  24. 10-29-14 12:01 PM #24
    1337 player
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    Lucas breaks!
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  25. 10-29-14 12:07 PM #25
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1337 player View Post
    Lucas breaks!
    Expect many more, Fagnini serve is shit while this French kid returns looks decent


    he needs to hang during the rallies, hopefully he'll hit more winners
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  26. 10-29-14 12:29 PM #26
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Can Pouille break for the set

    Fagnini getting frustrated
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  27. 10-29-14 12:43 PM #27
    Doughboy22
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    Wow fog has no sac. Unreal
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  28. 10-29-14 12:44 PM #28
    Hardcoar
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    On another note, this crowd should really get under Butt-Pirate's skin.
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  29. 10-29-14 12:44 PM #29
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Fagnini is such a fixer
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  30. 10-29-14 12:46 PM #30
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    On another note, this crowd should really get under Butt-Pirate's skin.
    Will he mentally check out now, looked like he did after he got broken serving for the set
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  31. 10-29-14 01:24 PM #31
    ManeOnFire
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bet10Heinekens View Post
    Fagnini is such a fixer
    Why doesn't he just win? Guy is mental!
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  32. 10-29-14 01:26 PM #32
    Doughboy22
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    Wow this dude is a choker
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  33. 10-29-14 01:33 PM #33
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    lol fognini is really angry
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  34. 10-29-14 01:33 PM #34
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    double faults and loses the match lol
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  35. 10-29-14 01:33 PM #35
    yisman
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    Fognini throws his racket and then starts screaming.

    What was that all about?

    Pouille wins 7-6 7-6
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