1. 08-17-14 10:59 PM #1
    SSVIR
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    8-18 Plays

    12:00pm David Goffin -166 v Jurgen Melzer +146

    Melzer is quality and leads the H2H 3-0 but Goffin has won like 20 matches in a row (admittedly on clay) and I'm rolling with his win streak/confidence. Melzer has also not played many matches on hard courts this year (0-2 v Sock/Hewitt) and has lost 3 1R in a row since Wimbledon.
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    12:00pm Sara Errani +115 v Garbine Muguruza -135

    If they both play their best then Muguruza wins but I don't think Muguruza has been playing well and I don't think she has the consistency to beat the feisty little firecracker. Muguruza's serve has also been hot garbage so live plays game by game wagering for breaks is something I'll be looking at doing if I have the time.
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    12:00pm Barbora Zahlavova Strycova -115 v Belinda Bencic -105

    Should be a good match but I really like the way Strycova plays and how she is playing right now.
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    1:15pm Kurumi Nara +215 v Samantha Stosur -255

    If the Stosur that played Serena shows up this will be a quick loss. If the normal up/down Stosur shows up then the steady Nara will frustrate Stosur.
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    1:15pm Silvia Soler-Espinosa -123 v Magdalena Rybarikova +103

    Soler-Espinosa has been playing pretty well on the hard courts but this is more a wager against Rybarikova. She has played Istanbul, Baku, Washington, Montreal, and Cincy and lost in the 1st rd of every one of them other than Montreal which she lost in the 2R.
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    2:45pm Blaz Rola +132 v Wayne Odesnik -152

    Higher rated player with decent hard court record vs lower rated player that has recently won a lot of matches in challenger hard court season.
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    3:30pm Eugenie Bouchard -380 v Bojana Jovanovski +315

    Jovanovski is not very consistent so this should help Bouchard actually win a g-d damn 1R match for once in a non Major tournament.
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    8:15pm Andrea Petkovic -140 v Dominika Cibulkova +130

    I've lost a shit ton betting with Cibulkova so I'm looking to make my $ back betting against her. Can't fail strategy right? LOL. Petkovic has been playing really well and only losing to better players (Serena & a hot Stephens). Cibulkova on the other hand seems to lose every other match and has been a 1R/2R loser every tournament since the French Open.
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    Last edited by SSVIR; 08-18-14 at 07:26 PM.
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  2. 08-17-14 11:01 PM #2
    professionalAD
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    i will be in attendance tomorrow
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  3. 08-18-14 12:49 AM #3
    matt1216
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    FYI... Cibulkova has had a heal injury for most of the year... This is why she can not hold serve. I'm not sure many people know this. I will be posting Petkovic to win later as well
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  4. 08-18-14 01:19 AM #4
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    FYI... Cibulkova has had a heal injury for most of the year... This is why she can not hold serve. I'm not sure many people know this. I will be posting Petkovic to win later as well
    What does that have to do with holding serve over precedence of every other part of her game.
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  5. 08-18-14 08:43 AM #5
    SSVIR
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    FYI... Cibulkova has had a heal injury for most of the year... This is why she can not hold serve. I'm not sure many people know this. I will be posting Petkovic to win later as well
    Are you done with the curse? Need to know before I step up to the window with my wager.
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  6. 08-18-14 09:22 AM #6
    SSVIR
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    Original post updated. Plays for the day:

    12:00pm 145 David Goffin -166* vs Jurgen Melzer to win 3.5 units
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    12:00pm 526 Sara Errani +117* vs Garbine Muguruza 2.5 to win 3 units
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    12:00pm 549 Barbora Zahlavova Strycova -115* vs Belinda Bencic to win 2.5 units
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    1:15pm 538 Kurumi Nara +210* vs Samantha Stosur to win 3.15 units
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    1:15pm 502 Silvia Soler-Espinosa -118* vs Magdalena Rybarikova 2.36 to win 2 units
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    2:45pm 126 Blaz Rola +132* vs Wayne Odesnik 2 to win 2.6 units
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    3:30pm E Bouchard -1.5 sets (-130) v B Jovanovski to win 4 units
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    8:15pm 530 Andrea Petkovic -112* vs Dominika Cibulkova 2.8 to win 2.5 units
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    Parlay: 2 to win 3 units
    C WOZNIACKI -1.5 sets -265     v T BACSINSZKY
    A PETKOVIC -122 v D CIBULKOVA
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    Last edited by SSVIR; 08-18-14 at 11:24 PM.
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  7. 08-18-14 10:24 AM #7
    matt1216
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    Melzer has been practicing on hard lately getting ready for the US Open... He also won this tournament last year
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  8. 08-18-14 03:54 PM #8
    Cappinpicks
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    espinosa is rytardikova's bitch today lol wow
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  9. 08-18-14 04:10 PM #9
    w@lt
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    Bouchard rolling so far...
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  10. 08-18-14 04:13 PM #10
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by SSVIR View Post
    Are you done with the curse? Need to know before I step up to the window with my wager.
    Bud, I have actually done well the last couple weeks now... Just live wagers hurt.. The curse was pretty much my 0-14 run in tiebreakers
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  11. 08-18-14 04:31 PM #11
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by w@lt View Post
    Bouchard rolling so far...
    who cares? it was -400 lol
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  12. 08-18-14 04:38 PM #12
    w@lt
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    who cares? it was -400 lol
    Well, SSVIR would care because he played her at -1.5 sets for -130. I care because I have her in a parlay. Thanks for the smart ass reply though.
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  13. 08-18-14 04:57 PM #13
    SSVIR
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    Quote Originally Posted by w@lt View Post
    Bouchard rolling so far...
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  14. 08-18-14 05:51 PM #14
    SSVIR
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    Added Petkovic. Line has dropped quite a bit from last night (-140) until just now (-112).
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  15. 08-18-14 07:03 PM #15
    SSVIR
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    Wozniacki = surprised. I thought she'd have a hangover from playing so many hard court matches but figured she'd take a dive a little later in the week. Da' Fack.
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  16. 08-18-14 07:27 PM #16
    SSVIR
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    B Rola =
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  17. 08-18-14 11:26 PM #17
    SSVIR
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    +7 units on the day.

    Let's do it again tomorrow.
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  18. 08-19-14 12:16 AM #18
    SSVIR
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    I knew I could count on Cibulkova to lose and she didn't let me down.
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