[SSVIR]

Let's get the discussion rolling in here.


1:00pm Serena Williams -325 v Caroline Wozniacki +295

Both are beating everyone in front of them and they played to a close 3 set Serena win last week in Montreal. Serena leads the H2H 7-1. They are close friends and normally I would take a serious look at Woz as Serena has played a lot of tennis the last three weeks but they are in a points race and if Serena wins this and the Open she gets something along the lines of a $2M bonus. I would also have taken Woz had this match been played two matches ago but since then Serena has played two consistent baseline players in a row (Pennetta/Kankovic) and moved through them like a hot knife through butter so I doubt she has an unforced error meltdown like she is sometimes prone to do. Bottom line is I have no idea what I'm doing (if anything) in this match. Maybe Woz +5 games? Maybe the Over though that seems trappy since its what happened last week.
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3:00pm David Ferrer -235 v Julien Benneteau +215

The Gnat has really turned things around the last two + matches and Benne is paying well but is French so I loathe to pick Benne straight up but the OVER 21.5 (-120) and Benne +4 (-145) seem like good options.
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7:00pm Ana Ivanovic +180 v Maria Sharapova -195

I think this is Sharapova's match but it goes three sets. Ivanovic has been beating the ladies she is supposed to but losing to the big hitters she has played since hitting the hard courts (Vandeweghe in 3 tough sets and Serena in 3 tough sets). Sharapova has played five hard court matches this season and four have gone three sets (the other was 6-4 7-5) so I'm leaning heavy on what is sure to be a trap OVER when its posted.
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9:00pm Milos Raonic +167 v Roger Federer -178

Raonic really wants to make amends for his rout at Wimbledon and the post Murray match comments from Fed seem like a) he wants to keep Raonic under his thumb (5-0 lifetime) and b) even if he wins this tournament he will have a full week to rest for the Open. Fed can't be trusted as much as in prior years to ruthlessly win in 2 sets but I do think that he wins. No real props up yet to look at.
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[Simon Gruber]

-178 seems an absurdly low price for Federer tomorrow. Even if the court surface slightly favors the sleeve...

[Snowball]

send your cover letter to your uncle
and stop betting.. because unless you have the balls
to post your bets... your a waste of our time.

[Goldenshowers]

send your cover letter to your uncle
and stop betting.. because unless you have the balls
to post your bets... your a waste of our time.

interesting use
of the
spacebar

[SSVIR]

send your cover letter to your uncle
and stop betting.. because unless you have the balls
to post your bets... your a waste of our time.

???

[Snowball]

???

learn from us.
we are your grandfathers, young chickens

[sluggy1616]

I like feddy too against giraffe at that price(I booked it).

The lion(feddy) will nip at the legs of the giraffe(trying to figure giraffe serve patter). Then the lion will just lie in wait waiting for the giraffe to weaken from its wounds. When the time comes the lion will pounce on the weakened giraffe(get the break of serve) and the giraffe will be toastX2.

Fed is very patient when it comes to giraffe. He knows he will get his opportunities to break serve.

[SSVIR]

Dammit I didn't pull the trigger last night on Fed and now hes up to -210.

[BigPage25]

Does anybody think that whore Serena is playing can win a set??

[Bet10Heinekens]

73051845-1 8/16/2014 5:51AM Parlay
Tennis - 82255 D. Ferrer (Games)/J. Benneteau (Games) over 22 -110 for Game
Tennis - 87255 S. Williams (Games)/C. Wozniacki (Games) over 21 -115 for Game
Tennis - 87275 A. Ivanovic (Games)/M. Sharapova (Games) over 21½ -112 for Game

[EaglesPhan36]

-178 seems an absurdly low price for Federer tomorrow. Even if the court surface slightly favors the sleeve...

I think the price is fair. Why? Fed is winning the last few weeks, but he's really not playing all that well from set to set, a lot of ups and downs which make him beatable.

If Raonic finds his gear & rhythm on-serve, then this is a very close match. Both Murray & Monfils the last two rounds were pretty pathetic on-serve, but Federer offered breaks. Anyone with a decent serve would have pushed Federer to a third set yesterday. Murray was absolutely putrid to blow a double break in that set and generally his serve was soft and easily handled by Federer. He won't get as many freebies against Milos if his game is on.

[SSVIR]

1:00pm S.Williams/C.Wozniacki Over 20½ Games -130* to win 2.5 units
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3:00pm Live In-Play Tennis 101 D.Ferrer/J.Benneteau Over 19 Games -110* to win 2.5 units
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3:00pm Live In-Play Tennis 101 D.Ferrer wins game 7 of set 2 -650* vs J.Benneteau to win 2.75 units
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7:00pm 555 A.Ivanovic/M.Sharapova Over 22 Games -110* to win 2.5 units
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7:00pm 556 M.Sharapova Games Won -1½ -135* vs A.Ivanovic to win 2.5 units
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9:00pm 154 R.Federer -2 Games -130* vs M.Raonic to win 2.5 units
9:00pm 156 R.Federer -1½ Games -160* vs M.Raonic to win 2.5 units



Qualifying Matches:

10:00am 1402 S Soler-Espinosa +130* vs A Wozniak 1 unit to win 1.3 units
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10:00am 1405 Mona Barthel -210* vs Jana Cepelova to win 1 unit (Cepelova was down 3-1 and retired in first set = cancelled)
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10:00am 1304 Anthony Delcore +1000* vs Nicolas Meister 1/2 unit to win 5 units
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10:00am 1306 Maksim Kan +900* vs Nicholas Monroe 1/2 unit to win 4.5 units
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1:45pm 1419 Caroline Garcia -280* vs Su-Wei Hsieh 2.8 to win 1 unit
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1:45pm 1421 Nicole Gibbs -185* vs Misaki Doi 1.85 to win 1 unit (dummy had match points in the 2nd set and then lost in 3)
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1:45pm 1424 Johanna Konta +157* vs Shuai Peng 1 to win 1.57 units
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2:00pm 1324 Sekou Bangoura +382* vs Damir Dzumhur 3/4 to win 2.9 units
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2:00pm 1328 Marcos Giron -170* vs Nicolas Meister 1.7 to win 1 unit
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2:00pm 1325 Nicholas Monroe +400* vs Wayne Odesnik 3/4 to win 3 units
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[kendy]

@SSVIR ,never thought i would see someone pick a doubles player over a singles player in a qualifying round of an ATP tourney. You picking N.monroe over odesnik,**tho monroe gave it a shot* seems strange. **i stand corrected,that's, if this isn't the same N'monroe who is a doubles specialist,no?**.
Also i think the only exception where i may do that is for 'OSWALD PHILIP'..yeah him.
who knows maybe it had to do with you not wanting to pass on such Line?

[brodie]

3:00pm Live In-Play Tennis 101 D.Ferrer wins game 7 of set 2 -650* vs J.Benneteau to win 2.75 units

wtf how many units did you lay on this?

[SSVIR]

@SSVIR ,never thought i would see someone pick a doubles player over a singles player in a qualifying round of an ATP tourney. You picking N.monroe over odesnik,**tho monroe gave it a shot* seems strange. **i stand corrected,that's, if this isn't the same N'monroe who is a doubles specialist,no?**.
Also i think the only exception where i may do that is for 'OSWALD PHILIP'..yeah him.
who knows maybe it had to do with you not wanting to pass on such Line?

He's the doubles guy. Got rolled.

Took a few big dogs and almost had a winner with Bangoura +382.

[SSVIR]

3:00pm Live In-Play Tennis 101 D.Ferrer wins game 7 of set 2 -650* vs J.Benneteau to win 2.75 units

wtf how many units did you lay on this?

17.

Not a brilliant move but Ferrer had only lost a couple points on his serve the whole set and had only committed two unforced errors through the first 6 games on top of the fact that Benne had already thrown in the towel.

Ferrer hit 3 service winners to go up 40-0, Benne cracked a return winner, then another service winner. Easy service game.

[SSVIR]

Roger comes through for me as expected.