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8-15 Plays
Not a lot of lines up yet but the one's I do see are tough.
I'm interested in everyone's thoughts.
11:00am Stanislas Wawrinka -300 v Julien Benneteau +250
Benneteau leads the H2H 3-2 but none are very relevant and the last one was a straight set win by Benneteau in Kuala Lumpur in 2013 in the SF (Sousa won - LOL). Stan lost the first set today to Cilic and then Cilic needed the trainer for his arm and lost 11 of the next 12 games. Cilic did go out and play two close sets of doubles so not really sure how bad the injury was vs Cilic small brain. Benneteau had a close first set against Jerzy breaking him on his only BP of the set to win 7-5 and then Jerzy went in the tank for the 2nd set. Not sure you can read much into either match. Stan is the better player but at -300 there is not much value in my opinion.
UPDATE: Took Benne +1.5 sets and the OVER 22.
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1:00pm Milos Raonic -380 v Fabio Fognini +315
Raonic was lucky to win today and he looked nervous as shit in the 3rd set against Johnson losing his serve at 5-4 with a chance to close out the match. He was so tentative on the forehand side and his backhand was so damn shaky. Didn't watch any of the Fognini match but it looked like he was in some jeopardy in the first two sets as well. Fog has beaten a choking ERV, Hewitt who couldn't serve, and an average Lu (backhand aside) whereas Raonic smoked Ginepri and held on for dear life against Johnson (who is playing well so no slouch). Raonic probably wins in straight sets but the ML at -380 is too chalky and I don't think Fog has any real chance of beating him for the +315.
UPDATE: Odds have shifted even more toward Raonic at -399. Going with Raonic in straight sets. -1.5 sets at -128.
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5:00pm Tommy Robredo v David Ferrer
No match info yet but Robredo is playing ridiculously well and Ferrer has been hot/cold even in the middle of matches. Didn't get to watch so not sure if Youzhny choked the 1st set break advantage serving for the set or Ferrer took it from him. Either way I think the only play is if Robredo is a decent dog or the OVER.
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7:00pm Roger Federer v Andy Murray
Federer is just getting too damn old. He shows flashes of brilliance but seems to be pretty mentally fragile when it comes to the killer instinct. Murray beat shitty Sousa and held on for his life against Isner. Tough to get any kind of a read b/c Sousa is hot garbage and Isner can't rally from the baseline. Murray as a decent dog and/or the OVER is probably the play here.
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1:00pm Serena Williams -700 v Jelena Jankovic +500
Odds are too f'd up to look at this match. Can't fathom Jankovic winning but might grab a set if Serena gets disinterested like she has been.
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5:00pm Radwanska v Wozniacki
No odds. Similar styles of play and both rolling along. I think Wozniacki wins but will be interested to see the odds.
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7:00pm Maria Sharapova -160 v Simona Halep +140
I'm not a fan of Halep's game but she does keep the ball in play a ton and waits for her opponent to make an unforced error which Sharapova is certainly keen on doing during significant stretches of matches. I think the OVER 22 -120 is the play here and hopefully Sharapova neither mashes Halep off the court nor commmits a zillion unforced errors like Safarova did today.
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9:00pm Ana Ivanovic -365 v Elina Svitolina +305
Ivanovic is playing pretty well but Svitolina is playing the best tennis of her life. I think in the end that Ivanovic wins but I'm strongly leaning toward Svitolina +5 games -125 and/or the OVER 20 games -114.
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Originally Posted by w@lt
