1. 07-10-14 05:43 AM #1
    Honeybadger44
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    making money on challengers

    In last couple of weeks, I have been paying more attention to challenger tour. Seems like odds are less sharp there, which makes that market easier to beat. I will post some of my picks in this thread.


    Viola ML @3.50 Bet365 3 units

    Dzumhur ML @1.92 Pinnacle 2 units

    Giannessi ML @3.28 Pinnacle 1 unit

    Schwartzman+Fabianno @2.65 1 unit

    Rodriguez Pace @7.91 0.5 unit
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  2. 07-10-14 06:38 AM #2
    Kucera
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    Indeed odds are less sharp, especially at some books. You have to catch them pretty quick though.

    Looking forward to your picks, will be monitoring your thread

    BOL
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  3. 07-10-14 07:26 AM #3
    Honeybadger44
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    Thanks!

    Speaking of the odds and catching them quickly, it depends. I noticed that almost always, odds are droping on the favorites and rising on the underdogs, regardless of how the players looked in previous matches. In Braunschweig, I rode Zverev all the way to the finals and I was pretty shocked to see odds for his win raise, before every match...
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  4. 07-10-14 12:13 PM #4
    Steamroller
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    Go Viola!
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  5. 07-10-14 01:07 PM #5
    Honeybadger44
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    Quote Originally Posted by Steamroller View Post
    Go Viola!
    Rollercoaster match. He was up 5-2 in the first set, lost it 5-7. Then 3 times break up in the final set. Bellucci cathces up with him. Then Viola saves match point... Crazy. But it was worth it. Good value bet.
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  6. 07-10-14 01:18 PM #6
    Simon Gruber
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    Great pick Badger. Looking forward to more challenger plays.
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  7. 07-10-14 01:34 PM #7
    Honeybadger44
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    Thanks Simon!
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  8. 07-10-14 01:50 PM #8
    zec
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    What's your plan moving forward? Rejuvenate old thread or keep this challenger thread or something else?
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  9. 07-11-14 02:47 AM #9
    Honeybadger44
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    I gave that one a little thought. In my first thread, I was very inconsistant, going through few winning and loosing streak. Wasn't able to make profit on a regular basis. Despite those rough few weeks in the end, I think I still had some profit left in my old thread, so I am just going to leave it at that. And see where these challengers are going to take us.
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  10. 07-11-14 03:41 AM #10
    Honeybadger44
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    Desein @2.27 Pinnacle - 5 units
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  11. 07-11-14 04:03 AM #11
    Kucera
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    Ok 5 units Desein playing good this week? I saw Edmund against Semrajc in 1st round and he didn't played well and should have lost that match if Semrajc hadn't choked
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  12. 07-11-14 04:28 AM #12
    Honeybadger44
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    I watched his match against Bozoljac. Second serve might be a problem, but from the baseline, he was rock solid. Edmund has some shotmaking ability, but inconsistant and too error prone, to keep up with Desein in this one.
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  13. 07-11-14 04:32 AM #13
    Kucera
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    Ok thank you for the info. Gonna tail you on this one for 1 unit BOL
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  14. 07-11-14 04:45 AM #14
    Honeybadger44
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kucera View Post
    Ok thank you for the info. Gonna tail you on this one for 1 unit BOL
    Good luck!
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  15. 07-14-14 05:02 AM #15
    Honeybadger44
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    Kuznetsov +3.5 @1.90 Pinnacle - 3 units

    Kuznetsov ML @2.93 Pinnacle - 2 units

    (it's not a challenger. ATP Bogota)
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  16. 07-14-14 05:24 AM #16
    Steamroller
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    Kuznetsov +3.5 sounds good.
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  17. 07-14-14 09:17 AM #17
    BeanTownClown88
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    Are they on grass or clay?

    Ah just read hard court
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  18. 07-14-14 02:19 PM #18
    Steamroller
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  19. 07-14-14 02:22 PM #19
    Cappinpicks
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    copil -310 made me piss my pants laughing, DF machine wont even get a BP LOL
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  20. 07-14-14 02:24 PM #20
    Honeybadger44
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    @BeanTownClown88

    Yeah, hard courts. But very fast conditions, because of the altitude.

    Quote Originally Posted by Steamroller View Post
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  21. 07-14-14 02:35 PM #21
    Simon Gruber
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    Thanks for the winner HB. Putting some of the winnings on Dustov
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  22. 07-14-14 02:40 PM #22
    Honeybadger44
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simon Gruber View Post
    Thanks for the winner HB. Putting some of the winnings on Dustov
    You are welcome, Simon!

    I didn't bet that one, but it is not a bad idea. Dustov looked good in Winnetka, and he has a big game, which could be lethal in those conditions in Bogota. Good luck!
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  23. 07-14-14 03:13 PM #23
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by Honeybadger44 View Post
    You are welcome, Simon!

    I didn't bet that one, but it is not a bad idea. Dustov looked good in Winnetka, and he has a big game, which could be lethal in those conditions in Bogota. Good luck!
    Dustov lacks a first serve for a guy that's 6'5. Tomic is kinda toying with him at the moment
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  24. 07-14-14 03:22 PM #24
    Simon Gruber
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    TI Chen should be worth a shot later on, but maybe I'm being to obvious
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  25. 07-14-14 03:23 PM #25
    matt1216
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    Nishioka Ml
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  26. 07-14-14 04:08 PM #26
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simon Gruber View Post
    TI Chen should be worth a shot later on, but maybe I'm being to obvious
    kavcic looks amazing? is chen decent?
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  27. 07-14-14 04:49 PM #27
    Simon Gruber
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    Kavcic just withdrew
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  28. 07-14-14 08:00 PM #28
    kdawgy
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    Never a dull moment handicapping and betting the challenger tour.
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  29. 07-16-14 05:27 AM #29
    Honeybadger44
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    Ortega-Olmedo @3.32 Pinnacle - 2 units
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  30. 07-18-14 08:15 AM #30
    Honeybadger44
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    Munoz de la Nava @1.92 - 3 units
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  31. 07-18-14 10:23 AM #31
    Hardcoar
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    I am big on the same, I hope he can take this in the end, down a break 1:st.
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  32. 07-18-14 10:34 AM #32
    Hardcoar
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    I honestly foresee Bozo running out of steam shortly.
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  33. 07-18-14 10:48 AM #33
    Hardcoar
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    LOL this lack of line-calls...
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  34. 07-18-14 10:48 AM #34
    Hardcoar
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    vamos in your f*cking face bitch!!
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  35. 07-18-14 11:01 AM #35
    Hardcoar
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