1. 03-05-15 04:52 AM #17536
    makman
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    Not hedging and regretting is always a bigger pain in the ass than hedging and regretting. Success comes when you tame your greed especially in live betting
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  2. 03-05-15 04:59 AM #17537
    SirtySree
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    Quote Originally Posted by makman View Post
    Not hedging and regretting is always a bigger pain in the ass than hedging and regretting. Success comes when you tame your greed especially in live betting
    I almost purely do live betting only and personally from my experience, the cost of hedging is greater than that of bad beats. That's just from my experience anyways, I didn't construct a massive experiment or anything like that to prove it. Only thing hedging really does is saves you from making bad bets and getting mad after bad beats, again just in my opinion.

    Also with a lot of books now making that cashout feature, I would assume it is because it's profitable for them for ppl to cash out. Just like how most books are adding like parlay bonuses now for higher amount of bets as that's seen as profitable to them.
    Last edited by SirtySree; 03-05-15 at 05:03 AM.
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  3. 03-05-15 05:06 AM #17538
    SirtySree
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    Also in other news, really liking this Zynga kid. Way under valued by books with some nice wins late last year.

    Was @10+ against Cagnina who is a beast in ITF level but has started the year poorly. Didn't pull the trigger on the bet though but I did hit Zynga the other day after he got bagelled in the 1st set and was @7.
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  4. 03-05-15 05:37 AM #17539
    makman
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    Quote Originally Posted by SirtySree View Post
    I almost purely do live betting only and personally from my experience, the cost of hedging is greater than that of bad beats. That's just from my experience anyways, I didn't construct a massive experiment or anything like that to prove it. Only thing hedging really does is saves you from making bad bets and getting mad after bad beats, again just in my opinion.

    Also with a lot of books now making that cashout feature, I would assume it is because it's profitable for them for ppl to cash out. Just like how most books are adding like parlay bonuses now for higher amount of bets as that's seen as profitable to them.
    Neither i did any experiment, i just compare the regret. I am not sure which would be better in the long run.

    For the cashout and parlay encouragement of the books, i also had some suspicions like, "if they are promoting, it is for their favor not mine???" But then came to this conclusion;
    bookmakers make money as long as they are able keep certain percentage of the money on one side, and certain percentage on the other side. These kind of interesting toys like cashout, is attracting more people, thus increase the money volume. It means increase in their profit, nothing else.
    So if i can use them in a smart way parlays, cashout, the fantastic betfair lay-back market) to gain increase in my bankroll, why not??
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  5. 03-05-15 09:41 AM #17540
    makman
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    Erik Crepaldi in ITF event in Tunisia.
    Down a set, and down a break in the second. Odds @ +300 live for ML
    Looks like has some value, as recall some of Crepaldi's comebacks.
    Tail at your own risk. I recommend a small amount
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  6. 03-05-15 09:49 AM #17541
    SirtySree
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    Quote Originally Posted by makman View Post
    Erik Crepaldi in ITF event in Tunisia.
    Down a set, and down a break in the second. Odds @ +300 live for ML
    Looks like has some value, as recall some of Crepaldi's comebacks.
    Tail at your own risk. I recommend a small amount
    Good luck. Also got him but he seems to be struggling despite the talent gap.
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  7. 03-05-15 09:58 AM #17542
    makman
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    Quote Originally Posted by SirtySree View Post
    Good luck. Also got him but he seems to be struggling despite the talent gap.
    GL to you also.
    Yeah unknown event in Tunisia, no live stream. Men tennis on hard court. lots of difficulties for a comeback. Blind bet except for i recall some comebacks of Crepaldi in similar situations
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  8. 03-05-15 10:00 AM #17543
    makman
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    Besides, Crepaldi broke once in the first set, that is a good sign of hope
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  9. 03-05-15 10:05 AM #17544
    makman
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    Also, Bejtullahi's game is based on serve according to statistics.
    Also, Break point success percentage for Crepaldi is 100%...These are all good indicators
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  10. 03-05-15 10:06 AM #17545
    SirtySree
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    Hes been good to me with comeback wins. This year and last year, as the favourite on hard court he has won 27/31 matches.
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  11. 03-05-15 10:07 AM #17546
    SirtySree
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    Crepaldi with the break back as i posted the above
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  12. 03-05-15 10:08 AM #17547
    makman
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    Crepaldi breaks back!. Down to -110 from where i bought him @ +300
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  13. 03-05-15 10:11 AM #17548
    SirtySree
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    Smethurst also coming back hopefully. Was @7.5 after getting bagelled but stupid me only got him @3.25 cause I took him early in the 1st set which I rarely do. Hes 39/45 as fav indoors this yr and last.
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  14. 03-05-15 10:16 AM #17549
    makman
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    Quote Originally Posted by SirtySree View Post
    Smethurst also coming back hopefully. Was @7.5 after getting bagelled but stupid me only got him @3.25 cause I took him early in the 1st set which I rarely do. Hes 39/45 as fav indoors this yr and last.
    GL with Smethurst.
    I stay out of the players who got bageled. Especially when there is no live footage
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  15. 03-05-15 10:19 AM #17550
    makman
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    Creapldi breaks again
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  16. 03-05-15 10:26 AM #17551
    makman
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    I got to go to gym....
    I am cashing out. Crepaldi is @ -300 ...Enough profit for me
    Good day on live.... first with the Jani chick, now with Crepaldi
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  17. 03-05-15 11:12 AM #17552
    SirtySree
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    Neither made it easy but both winners in the end
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  18. 03-05-15 12:56 PM #17553
    Cappinpicks
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    Barrere was so damn easy, looks like he should have been the -1100 favorite.
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  19. 03-06-15 12:20 PM #17554
    Hardcoar
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    I'm gonna be sad if Pear retires before the conclusion of 1:st.
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  20. 03-06-15 12:54 PM #17555
    w@lt
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    Ward ties it up after being 2 sets down.
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  21. 03-06-15 01:00 PM #17556
    w@lt
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    Serve is ONLY think Isner has going now (or always). If Ward can just get into rallies on Isner's serve, he can take this.
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  22. 03-06-15 01:33 PM #17557
    w@lt
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    Isner is soo bad outside of serve.
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  23. 03-06-15 01:37 PM #17558
    kenz
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    And 5th set has no tiebreak Someone needs to break
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  24. 03-06-15 02:54 PM #17559
    fitguy67
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    classic "battle of holds = battle of wills" ATP...just 3 breaks in 79 (non-TB) games...
    Last edited by fitguy67; 03-06-15 at 05:43 PM.
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  25. 03-06-15 06:14 PM #17560
    Hardcoar
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    Radwanska down a break @ 4 is a solid live bet, IMO.
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  26. 03-07-15 01:58 PM #17561
    Hardcoar
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    Nope. Nothing doin'...
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  27. 03-07-15 06:04 PM #17562
    necro
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    check the 2nd set last game flow,lol

    http://www.flashscore.com/match/Sd9i...int-by-point;2

    errani had 5 sp and basckinsky blew 6bp
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  28. 03-07-15 07:39 PM #17563
    Vinnie Paz
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    Oh Ana.
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  29. 03-07-15 07:49 PM #17564
    SirtySree
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    Was hoping Ivanovic got broken in the 1st game but didn't happen.

    Was greedy and potentially missed out on a good bet.

    Ivanovic is 14-0 in semi finals and finals on hard court this year + last year as the favourite going in. Her overall record as the favourite is also very impressive in general.
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  30. 03-07-15 08:15 PM #17565
    MiddleMan
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    Garcia serving for the match against Ana. Can she do it?
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  31. 03-07-15 08:17 PM #17566
    Vinnie Paz
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    Dumb bitch. Now she reveals some mystery injury she played through right
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  32. 03-07-15 08:38 PM #17567
    MiddleMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    Dumb bitch. Now she reveals some mystery injury she played through right
    First Errani is an idiot and now Ivanovic is a dumb bitch? Why, because you lost your bets?
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  33. 03-07-15 08:41 PM #17568
    HatersGonnaHate
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    Quote Originally Posted by MiddleMan View Post
    First Errani is an idiot and now Ivanovic is a dumb bitch? Why, because you lost your bets?
    Pretty much hahahaha that's the typical response to most on the forum when they lose
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  34. 03-07-15 09:00 PM #17569
    Vinnie Paz
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    You're right I shouldn't be so vulgar. But errani should've won, Ana never showed up. It is what it is I've moved on. My apologies if I offended anyone
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  35. 03-07-15 09:09 PM #17570
    HatersGonnaHate
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    Did Garcia play good? Bac beat her easily last week but new week.
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