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Value Plays
Bookmakers set up lines based on public opinion, rather than probability and statistics. Lines move based on opinion and wagers on sides. I want to test to see if opinion is removed whether or not statistics can prevail over "false favourites".
I want to use this as a test thread (strongly urging people NOT to follow any plays on here) and use statistics comparing to the lines offered to see if value plays can be extracted and whether or not they can be profitable.
Hull City v Stoke City
HULL CITY Win
Odds: 21/10; 3.1; +210.
Bournemouth v Tottenham
Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 11/10; 2.1; +110.
Liverpool v West Brom
Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 13/10; 2.3; +130.
EDIT: Added 'bold' tags around event.
Last edited by gooner89; 10-22-16 at 12:25 PM.
Record: 1-1 (+0.1 units)Originally Posted by gooner89
Record: 1-2 (-0.9 units)
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