This 1st leg should be a close affair. Not throwing a large unit size on any bet but will definitely dabble in some of the more obscure markets as there are a few things I fancy in this match.
First bet is Juventus to have over 46% possession. Real Madrid's dominance in possession in the previous round is dictating this number a bit too much in my opinion. Atletico Madrid knew the best way for them to defeat Real Madrid was to take a defensive and counter approach which includes allowing them to pass the ball around in front of the 2 banks of 4. Juventus are a complete opposite outfit. They enjoy controlling possesion just as much as tonight visitor's, and I expect them to carry on with this approach in their first leg home game tonight. Even with Pogba out, they have 2 world class midfielders in Vidal and the ever-green Pirlo who are more than capable of maintaining possession through accurate passing - however I expect both teams to enjoy their fair share of the ball tonight, with neither set of players taking high pressing approaches. I am predicting a possession of around 50-50.
Second bet for the match can be explained with much of the reasoning for my possession prediction. I'm going for under 26.5 fouls. As stated before, I think both teams will be happy for their opponents to keep hold of the ball as long as the game stays scoreless - which I think it will for a good portion. I can't see either team looking to press with much intensity - with the key focus of maintaining their shape in midfield and defence. This could see minutes going by without tackles and I think this will bring us under our number of 26.5.
Third bet is draw at half time, and also a bit on half time scoreline of 0-0. I see both teams beginning the tie in the aim to not make mistakes, so can't see there being many clear cut chances within the first half, or at least for a good portion of it.
My main punt for the night is Roberto Pereyra to be shown a card at odds of 4/1. I think the odds here are too good to pass up. The Argentinian has a similar playing style to his South-American midfield partner, Arturo Vidal - a bit of a gung-ho box to box approach. Can see him making being a bit too eager to impress and keeping his foot in in a few challenges.
All bets:
3u Juve o46% possesion @1.82
1u u26.5 fouls @1.90
1u Draw HT @2.05
1u Draw 0-0 @2.62
1u Draw HT/FT @4.8
1u Roberto Pereyra to be shown a card @5.00
BOL all