1. #36
    LFC1892
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    WTF was that. 0-2 and 2 missed penalties for Halmstad

  2. #37
    LFC1892
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    Colombia
    America De Cali-Bucaramanga-X2-@2.00
    Stake: 300$

    Reason: More of a value bet rather than a confidence bet. It's true that most teams in Colombia have a significant home advantage but I don't think it will be a factor here. Bucaramanga is the best team in the league- 1st place with 26 points and 26-6 goals difference. They play the best football here, they know how to attack and how to defend well so these odds are ridiculous.
    Last edited by LFC1892; 05-04-15 at 03:22 PM.

  3. #38
    LFC1892
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    2-2 FT

    SOCCER Update Record: 16-7-1
    P/L: +7055.5$

  4. #39
    LFC1892
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    Double AFC Champions League
    Suwon-Beijing Guoan Under 2.5 + Guangzhou-WS Wanderers-WS Wanderers +1.5ah-@1.972
    Stake: 300$

    Reason: Suwon and Beijing need only one point to qualify and they won't risk to lose everything here. Some of them might egde it in the last minutes but it's very unlikely to see more than goal or two here. I like WS Wanderers with their new coach, far more balanced team than before. Guandzhou have already qualified so they won't risk any new injures and there will be some rotations. WS Wanderers will be more motivated.

  5. #40
    LFC1892
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    1-1 and 0-2.

    Next bet coming from Egypt
    Al Asyouty Sport-Wadi Degla-Over 2.5-@2.00
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: I don't know anything specific about this league but I like the bet anyway. Al Sport have the worst defense in the league concedeing 2 goals per game at home. Wadi don't have a lot of scored goals away but against this opponent they might improve their record.

  6. #41
    LFC1892
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    2-2 FT

    SOCCER Update Record: 18-7-1
    P/L: +7547.1$

  7. #42
    LFC1892
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    Juventus-Real Madrid-Multicorners Over 24.5-@1.90
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: I'm not going with big stake here but I like the bet anyway. Moreover Real always manage to achieve far more corners with Bale and he is playing tonight. Juve at home use the flanks well which is another positive.

  8. #43
    LFC1892
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    Only 9. I expected more...

    Peru
    U de Deportes-Alianza Atl-Over 2.5-@2.05
    Stake:200$

  9. #44
    LFC1892
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    AFC Champions League
    Buriram United-Guangzhou-Over 2.5-@1.70
    Stake: 500$

    Reason: The situation in this group is very interesting. Buriram need to win in order to qualify in the next round. And they have to win with goal difference if their main rival G Osaka win as well. On the other hand we have Guangzhou- 4th in the group with 4p. They have only one chance to qualify- to win here with a lot of goals and G.Osaka to lose against Seongnam. So all possible outcomes of this group are leading to goals.

  10. #45
    vasilli07
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    ACL is head to head 1st. Gamba already won it, so as long as they win, Buriram can't overtake them even if they win by a load of goals.

  11. #46
    LFC1892
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    So Buriram hope for a draw at least in the other game. Still Guangzhou and Buriram are attack minded teams so I expect them to cover the line.

  12. #47
    rankslash
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    Buriam Utd TT Over 1.5 @1.75 might be a better option? In case they finish 2-0, which is possible considering Guangzhou will bench at least 2-3 first choice players today.

  13. #48
    LFC1892
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    Agree rankslash. This looks like a good bet as well. I'm thinking about Buriram -1 as well because Guangzhou have 3 banned players plus a few injures including their captain.

  14. #49
    RealMadrid
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    Guangzhou will win 3-0 or 3-1.

  15. #50
    LFC1892
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    Quote Originally Posted by RealMadrid View Post
    Guangzhou will win 3-0 or 3-1.
    Let's hope you will be right for the number of goals.

  16. #51
    rankslash
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    Perfect. 35th min 2-0 for Buriam Utd ... and big LOL at asian crowd screaming like little girls on every ball pass.

  17. #52
    RealMadrid
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    3-0

  18. #53
    LFC1892
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  19. #54
    LFC1892
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    Torino-Empoli-Under 2.5-@2.06
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: I'm going against the line movement here. Empoli won against Napoli 4-2 which is impressive to say the least and a lot of people are jumping on the Over now. However Empoli is completely different team away- they have scored 15 goals in 16 games. Strange or not but Torino have one of the best defenses at home in the league- 13 conceded goals in 16 games. So based on this I can't see more than one or two goals today.

    Torino-Empoli-Torino-@1.80
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: The Superga Air Disaster occurred on 4 May 1949 when the Fiat G.212 of Avio Linee Italiane (Italian Airlines), carrying the entire Torino football team (popularly known as the Grande Torino) crashed into the retaining wall at the back of the Basilica of Superga, which stands on the hill of Turin. There were 31 victims.
    There is anniversary from this tragic event and I believe that Torino will do their best to win.

  20. #55
    16johnnymac
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    I like it !!

  21. #56
    LFC1892
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    small profit 16johny.

    Slovenia
    Koper-Zavrc-Over 2.5-@2.00
    Stake: 100$

    Reason: In 71% of the games between these two clubs we have seen at least 2 goals.

  22. #57
    LFC1892
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    SOCCER Update Record: 21-10-1
    P/L: +7609.1$


  23. #58
    LFC1892
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    Scotland
    Brechin-Alloa-Over 2.5-@1.81
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: This is the first game of the Championship playoffs. Both teams are attack minded and will look for a good result. Alloa will be looking for an important away goal before the second game on home turf and Brechin for a confident win. In 86.6% of the games between these two clubs we have seen 2 or more goals.

    Champions League
    Barcelona-Bayern M-Under 5 cards-@1.860
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: We all know the relationship Pep-Barca so I doubt there will be some crazy tackles or rough play at all. The referee Nicola Rizzoli have shown 3.94 cards on average based on 87 international matches.

  24. #59
    LFC1892
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    6 cards in Barca-Bayern and 2 goals in Scotland. F*cking close. Messi is definitely the best in the world.

    Gimnasia Jujui-Ferro-Under 2-@1.75
    Stake: 700$

    Reason: Both teams have great defense and when we see such teams play againt each other in Argentina this usally means low scoring game.

    Double
    Gimnasia Jujui-Ferro-Under 2.5-@1.75 + Juan Alrich-Dep.Municipal-Juan Alrich-@2.10
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: I already wrote about Gimnasia-Ferro. I don't have specific reasoning about the other game except the fact that home field has extraordinary big influence in Peru.

  25. #60
    spf888
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    Love following your picks man. You definitely know your stuff. Anything for this afternoon?

  26. #61
    LFC1892
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    Cheers spf888. Didn't have any time today. Just came back home.

    Denmark
    Roskilde-Aaarhus-Under 2.25-@2.02
    Stake: 500$

    Reason: If I have to be honest I must say that I have a bad feeling for this game. However I like this bet for a few reasons. We usually don't see a lot of goals in Denmark. Low-scoring league, most teams are defensive minded. Both teams here are in decent form and I can't imagine one of them smashing the other, on the contrary I expect a close game determined by one goal. Roskilde have conceded only 14 goals in 13 home games, Aaarhus have conceded 11 goals in 13 games. Great defenses.

  27. #62
    LFC1892
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    League Europe
    Sevilla-Fiorentina-Over 10 Corners-@1.80
    Stake: 500$

    Reason: I expect a lot of corners. I watched Sevilla against Zenit and they had 22 corners. On the other hand Fiorenina had 7 against Kiev in their last away game. The worst scenario will be a push here.

  28. #63
    unitedlad
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    Quote Originally Posted by LFC1892 View Post
    League Europe
    Sevilla-Fiorentina-Over 10 Corners-@1.80
    Stake: 500$

    Reason: I expect a lot of corners. I watched Sevilla against Zenit and they had 22 corners. On the other hand Fiorenina had 7 against Kiev in their last away game. The worst scenario will be a push here.
    Nice bet. Never think about corner stats to be honest but this one makes sense. Both fast breaking teams who tend to play with width and get their full backs on the over lap. Hope you cash

  29. #64
    LFC1892
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    I can't describe how mad I was unitedlad. 5 corners in the first 20 minutes and then 0 corners in the next 70 minutes. WTF is that. All my corner/cards bets are going like this recently. And the most retarted is that all the bets I skipped have won (Sevilla win and Napoli corners) which literally pissed me off. Onwards and Upwards though.

    NEXT BET
    BOLIVIA
    Nacional Potosi-U.Pando-Nacional Potosi -1.5ah-@1.70
    Stake: 300$

    Reason: Based on their current form this should be an easy win. Nacional had 2 difficult games in a row against the second-The Strongest and the third in the league- Wilstermann and they won 4 points- 4-3 against The Strongest and 2-2 with Wilstermann. They will face the worst away team in the league now with the worst attack and defense- U. Pando-0-2-6 away record, 3-28 goal difference.

  30. #65
    LFC1892
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    3-0 FT. Easy game for Nacional.

    Australia
    Melbourne Victory-Melbourne City-Over 2.5-@1.70
    Stake: 300$

    Reason: A-League is one of the most interesting leagues for me. Very unpredictable with a lot of goals. The key to both teams success so far has been their arsenal of attacking players. It's true that this is a semi final game and the teams should be one idea more careful but as I said this is Australia. I expect at least 3 goals here.

  31. #66
    LFC1892
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    3 goals


    Double Israel,Azerbaijan
    Hap.Ramat Gan-Yehuda-Under 2.5 + SumQayit-Gabala-Gabala-@2.268
    Stake: 200$

    Reason: Gabala is currently 4th with 47 points. They are fighting for EL Promotion and this is a must win game for them. Their opponent have nothing to play for and they are one of the worst sides in the league. In the other game- Yehuda have the best away defense and Hap.Ramat Gam have very poor attack so they park the bus in most of their games. I can't see more than one or two goals here.

  32. #67
    LFC1892
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    Good win For Gabala. Bad game in Israel. No reasoning in the next games because I have to go out and don't have time.

    Jagiellonia-Slask Wroclaw-Over 2.5-@2.02
    Stake: 300$

    Hamburger-Freiburg-Under 2.5-@2.00
    Stake: 400$

    Koge-Viborg-Total Goals 2or3-@1.95
    Stake: 200$

    Wexford Youths-Cobh Ramblers-Over 2.5-@1.62
    Stake: 250$

    Roda-Emmen-Roda-@1.74
    Stake: 300$

  33. #68
    LFC1892
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    2 bottles of vodka, one bottle of whiskey, beer and a few shots. Result: terrible headache, terrible noise in my ears and I can still feel the poison in my blood

    Mexico
    Monterrey-U.N.A.M-Pumas-Over 2.5-@1.793
    Stake: 2000$

    Reason: Two attack-minded teams that score a lot of goals. Monterrey is a typical home team that dominate and attack from the start of the game. They score 2 goals average per home game and against Pumas shaky defense this won't be a problem. On the other hand Pumas are very dangerous on counter attacks and I expect at least one goal from them, why not two. Both teams have players in the top scorers ranking list- Dorlan Pabon,Victor Ismael Sosa,Edwin Cardona.

  34. #69
    LFC1892
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    2-2 FT

    SOCCER Update Record: 26-19-2
    P/L: +7920.7$

    Not too shabby

  35. #70
    LFC1892
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    Belgium
    Lierse-Lommel-Over 2.5-@2.08
    Stake: 500$

    Reason: A lot of games today but only few good. This is one of them imo. The Promotion Playoffs have started a few days ago. Lierse achieved an important away win against Eupen. Lommel lost at home 0-1 which is a big loss considering that home turf play a big role in such games. So the most logical thing for them is to chase at some point and look for goals. On the other hand a home goal looks inevitable here. My first thoughts for this game was Both Teams to score but the odds for the Over are better and if we see the first(btts)option then I'm pretty confident we will see the second option as well.

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