[chuda]

i am kicking this off with 2 trebles for an evening and 2 small warm ups for first kick off pair .

BTTS to score treble : cska - roma, man city - bayern , chelsea - shalcke04 @ 4.8 1u
and treble to win : porto , barcelona , PSG @ 2.67 1u

i don`t wanna get burned on away teams who not really needs wins. but all of them are stronger than home teams. chelsea going to shalke, who haven`t lost this season competitive game at home, chelsea plays different football on away grounds and mourinho mentioned that they are out to get points, but leaving things for last game won`t be disaster, shalke at home should find one goal and chelsea can score anywhere of late, but if game heading for 1 - 1 ... they both might take it.
desperate man city , even with striker problems today as well would be expected still find a net and none less, bayern talents against "shaky city".
cska moscow growing in confidence after 2 results from man city, they got one away to roma and they have to win here tonight, should find a net against "roma away" who isn`t that great to trust on a road, but they have players who will suit for tonight's "sit and fast break " cska defense, who conceded against any decent team of late.

as for acca , psg and barca in they group will be looking for max points to fight out 1st place in last game between these 2, as well as porto should win against one of the worth this years CL team.

[chuda]

what`s your plays guys ?

[chuda]

2 small plays 0.25 u on each...

porto -2 AH @ 4

maybe another bate`s defensive disaster...maybe not, small bet

BTTS and cska to win @ 5

cska is on up, roma disappoints on a road time at time and it`s bellow zero ...

[chuda]

BATE Borisov Team Lineup			FC Porto Team Lineup
16		Siarhei Chernik	Fabiano		12
23		Edgar Olekhnovich	Danilo		2
3		Vital Hayduchyk	Ivan Marcano		5
55		Nemanja Tubic	Bruno Martins Indi		3
22		Filip Mladenovic	Alex Sandro		26
8		Aleksandr Volodko	Hector Herrera		16
5		Yevgeniy Yablonskiy	Casemiro		6
62		Mikhail Gordeichuk	Oliver Torres		30
7		Aleksander Karnitskiy	Ricardo Quaresma		7
42		Maksim Volodko	Jackson Martinez		9
20		Vitali Rodionov	Yacine Brahimi		8
Substitutes			Substitutes
34		Artem Soroko	Andres		25
9		Ilya Aleksiyevich	Maicon		4
13		Nikolay Signevich	Juan Quintero		10
17		Aleksandr Pavlov	Cristian Tello		11
25		Dmitri Baga	Adrian Lopez		18
33		Denis Polyakov	Ruben Neves		36
77		Andriy Yakovlev	Vincent Aboubakar		99

[chuda]

AS Roma (4-3-3): Morgan De Sanctis; Vasilis Torosidis, Davide Astori, Kostas Manolas, Maicon; Radja Nainggolan, Seydou Keita, Miralem Pjanić; Gervinho, Francesco Totti, Juan Iturbe.
CSKA Moscow (4-2-3-1): Igor Akinfeev; Mário Figueira Fernandes, Sergei Ignashevich, Vasili Berezutski, Kirill Nababkin; Georgi Milanov, Bibras Natkho; Zoran Tošić, Roman Eremenko, Ahmed Musa; Seydou Doumbia.

[iN-Chip-i-Trust]

i like roma pick and mancity/bayern o2.5
I like your logic on btts in the chelsea match

[chuda]

at least one, c`mon cska you got to get one now...

[chuda]

can you fkn believe it......
yeahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

[chuda]

porto 3 - 0 .... was small bet but great price

[AceChampion]

That last kick from cska was incredible..had big $$ on btts

[paco]

Brutal beat for roma bettors

[DRB]

Good job chuda as I had a small bite on the Roma draw.

I live on the west coast so I only watched last 20 minutes or so
There could not have been more than 20 seconds left when they scored

[chuda]

cska was disappointing, long balls , no much creativity ... roma sat in too deep and too early as well - loosing tactics .

ah well bit of luck and luck owes me anyway

adding one more play for now....

bayern - man city. most goals : second half @ 2.10 1u

now after draw here , man city will start more cautious, as well as bayern won`t add fullbacks to attack so early and if at all , if they are not loosing... to set up things right for man city, will be left for second half here...

[franz555]

Chuda, Really like that 2nd half bet.......BOL

[chuda]

red and pen.... ... fk

this game might ruin 2 bets now here ...

[chuda]

hahaha hard to see 3 goals in second, but maybe...

shalke04 has 88 minutes to get goal at home since going down so early... ffs, don`t fk up good bet..

................

correction - 4 goals now ...still maybe

[chuda]

bayern beating city with man down...away ... not optimal team... with no really need for win ..

i`ll try thou man city DNB @ 4 ....0.5 u

they should get at least draw

[chuda]

5 - 0 .... fkn shalke...

[chuda]

man s(h)itty

[Betlitelli]

Actually City beating Bayern with 1man vs 10

[chuda]

that makes only +1.67u ... pissed of with shalke...

[Zamigo6]

well done Chuda

[chuda]

i think i`ll be on roma next time...

[Zamigo6]

on the city play

[chuda]

yeah, was good price... even thou i lost hope around 75th min ...watching how 5 man city players running after ball while 3 bayern players executing triangles ...

.........................

1.67u on sporting to score next @1.57

[motorcycle]

I don't think Di Matteo will be on your Christmas Card list! Though well done on the win acca

[chuda]

@motorcycle... thanks for macsfield BF market info post in other thread

under 1.5 was @ 5.2 ...

[chuda]

any leans for tomorrow ?
monaco @5.50 ?
dortmund @ 3 ? btts and dortmund @4.80 ?

over 3.5 in some games ?... 7 of 8 tonight over 2.5 and 6 of 8 over 3.5 ... and i didn`t try any over

[chuda]

Zenit St. Petersburg - Benfica

Another cold evening in russia, but i think Petrovsky Stadium will have some heat comparing to cska - roma game. benfica needs to win here to stay in a chance for 2nd place, as well as zenit would be better of going for win at home against team who they beat already, rather than leaving it for trip to monaco..
first game 2 - 0 unnecesarily showed, who is stronger , but it showed AVB knowledge of portuguese football, as well as players like witsel and garcia felt very confortable between former club players. they got goals with fast break against high benfica`s defensive line and other from corner... these situations would expect to work in zenit`s favour at home as well.
benfica is without eliseu , silvio and goalkeeper arur moraes
Possible lineup:
Lodygin – Criscito, Lombaerts, Garay, Anyukov ,Garcia, Witsel , Shatov, Danny, Hulk , Rondon
Julio Cesar – Pereira, Luisao, Jardel, Almeida ,Salvio, Perez, Samaris, Talisca, Gaitan ,Derley

late team`s form doesn`t count here as zenit not too bothered with some games being first in russia, neither benfica beating middtable portugal sides .. zenit very well known for being failure when it comes to european stage, but i think with confidence from last meeting between these two and with home advantage they can edge this one. players like salvio and gaitan will be threat and should find a net here for benfica.

BTTS and zenit to win @ 4.10 ...1u
most goals : second half @ 2.10 ...1u

second bet would had hit in 4 of last zenit home games, as well as i don`t expect anybody jump in a fire here and go for win from first minutes, nobody would want to concede early and will focus on gameplan, goal sometime later on should stir this up properly, for enjoyable ending here ...

if you don`t fancy zenit, i would encourage BTTS @ 1.83 or over 2.5 @ 1.95 is ok price ...

[chuda]

Ludogorets Razgrad - Liverpool

boy oh boy, liverpool @ evens in this fixture just 6 months ago would be up for grabs seems still tempting for 1u for narrow liverpool win, but very dangerous. i think bulgarian side live and breathe football this season on and of the pitch and will give here 200 % . ludogrets is practicaly out of this competition, but 3rd place is there for them in last home game of CL encounter. liverpool will have to come out here if they wanna leave hope for last home game. i would say this one will be tight and scrappy for every inch of a field , but both teams could and should score here. ludogrets at home beat basel and held real madrid to narrow loss, and liverpool at home was only lucky to overcome with added time penalty resilient bulgarian side.
ludogrets missing striker bezjak
liverpool missing, balotelli , suso, sturridge, flanagan
Possible lineup :
Stoyanov – Minev, Moti, Terziev, Caicara ,Dyakov, Espinho , Aleksandrov, Marcelinho, Abalo, Hamza.
Mignolet – Johnson, Lovren, Skrtel, Moreno ,Gerrard, Lucas, Henderson , Coutinho, Sterling, Lambert

you can all loaugh at me but i`ll risk for narrow liverpool win i think here is difference in quality and liverpool should get their act together for this game. if they will not win this one i`ll get my money back by laying them till cristmas in every game

liverpool to win @ EVENS ...1u

[chuda]

FC Basel - Real Madrid

ancelloti said ronaldo, bale, benzema are starting... even thou they don`t need to win to top a group, but anceloti wants to break more than a half of century old real madrid record, equalizing it here with 15th win and beating ludogrets to break at home in few weeks... you go in clubs history with this , probably for another half century. as well as messi topped ronaldo for goals with hattrick ... race is on
basel has great home form, they could couse un upset here, even 1 point would do them world of good before going to anfield. but i`ll stick to point that madrid here is to win and even subs has much to prove on a long madrid bench. basel has produced great upsets, bayern, man united, liverpool , chelsea .... but this season they missing likes of streller for this game and salah who is now at chelsea. they had a speed and they were playing big part of most last few season surprises...
khedira , pepe, modric, rodrigez stayed in spain
ivanov and streller is out for basel
possible lineup :
Vaclik – Safari, Suchy, Schär , Hamoudi, Elneny, Frei, Xhaka ,Zuffi, Embolo, Gonzalez

Casillas – Arbeloa, Pepe, Ramos, Marcelo ,James, Kroos, Isco,Bale, Benzema, Ronaldo

i`ll give basel a goal at home, but real to win .
BTTS and real madrid to win @ 2.60 ....1u

[chuda]

Atletico madrid v Olympiacos

olympiacos should be well rested , but the same time will lose legs for competative game and won`t be able to coupe against atletico preassure at vicente calderon. greek league was suspended for few weeks... eitherway greeks only has all points from home games, i think Georgios Karaiskakis stadium is blessed from greek goods, because as soon as they travell , they are in for beaten
madrid is here to seal place and most likely top spot here with a win at home. home record speeks for it self here in CL 7wins 1 draw 0 loses... in la liga... 26 unbetaen home run
olymiacos only have 3 wins in 15 away games , 2 of those against ergotelis..
only missing for home side is miranda from international break, will be replaced by youngster jose gimenez, as well cerci is tipped to have some time on a field by simone. otherwise usual linups for both...
they ruined my acca with loss away... i am getting it back with confidence here. i think aletico will come out spitting fire here and i`ll give 30 minutes for greek resiliance to hold it.. after that just how many...

atletico madrid -2 AH @ 3.10 ... 1u

[chuda]

waiting for arsenal team news... you never know with wenger...
is wellbeck playing or will be sonogo or somone else upfront... is koschielny back, is he ahead of montreal...
is walcot still not fit ?
but goals here and in anderlecht game will be looking to add...

[Vaughany]

Koscielny is back in the squad.

Szczesny and Wilshere are out tho. Walcott is out with groin issue. Giroud is ineligible as Arsenal forgot to register him!!!!

Dortmund have some issues tho as well. Hummels and Papastathopolous are concerns, as are Bender, Sahin, and Blasz. And obviously best player Reus got butchered at weekend and is out for rest of year

[Betlitelli]

Arsenal DNB is the play, they cant suck all the time, BvB should focus on Bundesliga to avoid relegation LOL
"Giroud is ineligible as Arsenal forgot to register him!!!!" Classic rookie mistake, oh wait Wenger is coach for 20years