A bad day on Saturday, looking to turn it around today;
1. Levante/Valencia OVER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (SPA) 1 Unit
Both teams the past 4/5 games have gone over 2.5 goals per game . Levante & Valencia's games this season average 2.91 goals per game. Levante have the worst defence in Spain with 25 GA in 11 games. Valencia have the 3rd best GF in Spain with 23 GF in 11 games. The past 5 home games for Levante 2GF 15GA. The past 5 away games for Valencia 8GF 6GA. At plus money the total is a must play.
2. Udinese ML @ 1.95/-105 (ITA) 1 Unit
This is a home & away form play for me as the home side Udinese are 5W 1L 1D in the past 7 at home where as the visitors Chievo have 1W 6L in the past 7 away from home. The last two meetings between these sides in Udinese the home side won 3-0 & 3-1. Anytime you have a side in 18th spot visiting 8th spot & paying plus money you have to know why...& because both sides suck in form lately both going 1-1-3. I still think home advantage is key here.
3. Parma/Empoli OVER 2.5 @ 2.05/+105 (ITA) 1 Unit
Another numbers play for me..Seria A averages 2.55 gpg which is higher than usual. Parma leads the league with their games averaging 3.83 gpg. Empoli averages 2.82. Parma is coming off of a 7-0 drubbing away to Juve and have the leagues worst defence with 28 GA in 11 games. Empoli have the the 2nd worst "D" with 19 GA . The past 5 home games Parma have 9GF 12GA...the past 5 away games Empoli 5GF 9GA. All my numbers are between 3.32 gpg & 3.5 gpg.
4. Midtjyland ML @ 2.05/+105 (DEN) 1 Unit
The favourites to win the Danish title and table toppers host Aalborg who have one eye at the Europa league game mid week versus Bucharest to keep their European dream alive. The home side have 7W 0L past 7 home league games, where as the visitors have 1W 2L & 4D in their past 7 away games. Midtjylland have scored a league high 30GF compared to Aalborlg's 15 in 14 games this season. The home side boasts 3 of the Danish leagues top 7 goal scorers where as Aab have none in the top ten.
5. Genclebirligi ML @ 2.50/+150 (TUR) 1 Unit
The odds here seem a tad 'Fishy' for a home side that in the past 6 home games are 4-1-1 and are hosting a side who's past 6 away are 1-5-0.. The Visitors Karabukspor have lost all their away league games this season and are fading away in relegation spot. The home side Genclerbirligi are 2-1-1 at home with better talent in the squad. A match up between the 2nd best defence at home versus the leagues 2nd worst offence (9GF in 9 games) is a must play at these odds.
BOL
Posted Record
11-3 +9.73 Units