1. #55126
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
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    Quote Originally Posted by omedo View Post
    "



  2. #55127
    PerfectGrape
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    shit is deep

  3. #55128
    PerfectGrape
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    Points Awarded:

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  4. #55129
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Grape flavored lil baby faggggot

  5. #55130
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    girlfriend just left to run a errand and grabbing this for me as its being released in 20 minutes



  6. #55131
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Havent even hit the power button on the playstation 4 in 5 months

    that changes tonight my negro's

    look at the detail


  7. #55132
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  8. #55133
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  9. #55134
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  10. #55135
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  11. #55136
    Da Manster!
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  12. #55137
    Da Manster!
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    Hairy armpits @ 1:06!....



  13. #55138
    DwightShrute
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  14. #55139
    omedo
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    England - League One

    Sheffield Utd vs Millwall

    My sharp forecast gives ​Sheffield Utd 1,73 vs Millwall 0,65 giving a total of 2,38.

    The numbers opened on 25 of Mar
    ML: 1,62 - 3.60 - 5.85
    Total 2,5: over 1,80 - 2,00 under


    The day after the pinnacle enter the market and the juice drops. The correction is made on the draw and underdog side giving:

    ML: 1,62 - 4.03 - 6.24
    Total 2,5: over 1,88 - 2,02 under

    Since then the numbers went favoring the underdog.
    The public gauge says Sheffield Utd Win, not by much but a WIN none the less.
    And this is very weird. Even thou some people tend to see this as a close game, they tend to not bet against the favorite.
    The total moved slightly towards my number staying right now at:

    Total 2,5: over 1,98 - 1,92 under

    The public gauge says Over 2,5, they are expecting a game with the away team scoring at least one goal with the home team, the clear favorite having to score at least 2 to win the game giving an easy over 2,5 in their point of view. My forecast is against this point of view.


    in this game the bookies are moving the ML and Total against public perception. One towards my forecast, and one against. Let's see what the rest of the day brings.


    Last edited by omedo; 03-28-17 at 05:32 AM.
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  15. #55140
    omedo
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    England - League One

    Oxford Utd vs Bury

    My sharp forecast gives ​Oxford Utd 1,76 vs Bury 0,95 giving a total of 2,71.

    The numbers opened on 25 of Mar
    ML: 1,82 - 3.50 - 4.42
    Total 2,5: over 1,85 - 1,95 under

    Right after the line opened, moved down a little on the favorite to 1,77 to bounce back and more till it reached 2,02. Right now it is at ML: 1,96 - 3.70 - 4.07

    We can see that the line adjusted on the favorite and draw side, and even with the drop on the juice, the underdog number went down giving a similar number on the draw as an away win.

    The total had some minor movements, the juice drop went on the over side.
    Right now it is: Total 2,5: over 1,95 - 1,95 Under.


    The public gauge is divided between an Oxford Utd Win or not win and the bookies went towards to the public gauge.

    Regarding the totals the public is on the over as my sharp forecast. The bookies didn't move much leaving an total right on the spot.



    Last edited by omedo; 03-28-17 at 05:33 AM.

  16. #55141
    omedo
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    England - League One

    AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale

    My sharp forecast gives ​AFC Wimbledon1,45 vs Rochdale 1,10 giving a total of 2,55.

    The numbers opened on 25 of Mar
    ML: 2,27 - 3.40 - 3.09
    Total 2,5: over 2,05 - 1,75 under

    Right after the line opened, it moved down a little on the favorite to 2,12 but it had an brutal movement till 2,85 to change the favorite to Rochdale.

    It stand on:
    ML: 2,78 - 3.48 - 2.66

    Rochdale is getting some hype, and the great majority of the public is at least on the side that Rochdale will not lose this game. The bookies sided with the public pressure and even made the Rochdale favorite.

    The total indicated that it was an low scoring game, but even tho the public gauge says its a clear over it didn't move much and even the under assimilated the juice drop.

    It stands on: Total 2,5: over 2,05 - 1.86 under.

    It seems that the bookies gave what the public wanted till the numbers get too far. It seems that in this game we have public on one side and some type of other money on the other side.






  17. #55142
    omedo
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    Quote Originally Posted by omedo View Post
    "Ohh no, not soccer again..."

    England - League Two

    Accrington vs Cambridge Utd

    My sharp forecast gives Accrington 1,20 vs Cambridge Utd 0,88 giving a total of 2,08.

    The numbers opened on 18 of Feb
    ML: 2,27 - 3.40 - 3.09
    Total 2,5: 1,90 - 1,90

    For the money line, the early numbers get an hit and go as high as 2,64 on the first day.
    Since then, they move down slowly till they get today on the same price than the opening. staying on 2,25 for the win, 3,40 for the draw but since the juice went down, they increased the away win to 3,48 and 3,58 at pinnacle, the highest number available.

    The Asian Handicap stays on +0,25 @ 1,93 - 1,99.

    The total 2,5 is right now @ over 2,15 - 1,79 under

    But the thing that intrigues me is the movement from the openers.
    The first day reaction goes about right with my numbers, but after that its strange. Any thoughts?
    I don't have any numbers on public gauge, probably that's the piece that completes the puzzle.


    I have now the public gauge.

    Regarding the ML the public is in accordance with the numbers.

    But in the Total is a total diferente story.
    The public is on the over side, specifically massive on Both teams to score side.

    The total is now at: over 2.01 - 1.89 under.
    The numbers moved to that public pressure.

    I will take a position on UNDER 2.5 @ 1.89

    I don't know if the odd's will move closer to the game hour, but i will take the position now.
    Let's see if i had read this right.

  18. #55143
    DwightShrute
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  19. #55144
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Uh oh KVB , omedo showing you the forecast bizznizz

  20. #55145
    omedo
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    England - League One



    AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale

    AFC Wimbledon to win @ 2,92

    I took the home team @ 2,92. I would prefer the AH +0,5 thus creating less variance but that number didn't move very much.
    I will counter the public and follow my forecast. I think that bookies are going with the Hype on Rochdale and i'm trying to get some of that.



    Sheffield Utd vs Millwall


    Under 2,5 @ 1,94

    Another public counter and a slight counter of my forecast.



    Oxford Utd vs Bury


    Over 2,5 @ 1,90

    The public is all over the place with this game as they probably should. I will just follow my forecast as the total didn't moved.
    The bookies faded the odds towards Oxford Utd but i dont see them as the clear winner.

    Hope i get something right.

    Or at least get some good lessons here.








    Last edited by omedo; 03-28-17 at 01:35 PM.

  21. #55146
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    Cash has me going back in the thread.

  22. #55147
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Uh oh KVB , omedo showing you the forecast bizznizz
    He's bringing it strong with this pic...


    Quote Originally Posted by omedo View Post
    ...

  23. #55148
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by DwightShrute View Post

  24. #55149
    KVB
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    The forecat has spoken for the NIT...

    GTech 71, Bakersfield 67

    UCF 72, TCU 69.

    Take TCU, I believe they are winning this one.


  25. #55150
    KVB
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  26. #55151
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Ask ur fukkin friend if my fukkin jaw muscles will ever feel fukkin normal again

    they tight as a butthole kvb

  27. #55152
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    ...they tight as a butthole kvb
    Well, now that's all relative...

    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post

  28. #55153
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...UCF 72, TCU 69.

    Take TCU, I believe they are winning this one...
    The -2 and -2.5's are starting to pressure toward 3.

    It's still early but I believe we're looking at a TCU winner tonight.


  29. #55154
    KVB
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    But seriously, are you talking like the jaw muscles you use to chew and talk, or still down the cheek toward the front a bit?



  30. #55155
    PerfectGrape
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    going down this saturday


  31. #55156
    KVB
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    Are those the guys that went to a fans house and smoked em out? Seems familiar.

    Hash Bash sounds fun.

  32. #55157
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  33. #55158
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    But seriously, are you talking like the jaw muscles you use to chew and talk, or still down the cheek toward the front a bit?




  34. #55159
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    shit always feels achy like it needs oiled or some shit
    painful to stretch open mouth
    not sure what treatment I should do for it
    active release, friction massage or just heat and time

  35. #55160
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    He says it starts in the jaw and then the next thing you know you're living in a bowl...


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