1. #11656
    kingsr
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    Had England to win in a multi too

    pretty shitty day but here's to a better day !

  2. #11657
    sando
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    Horrible weekend. Got crushed. Put alot of time into my plays. Didn't work out. Confidence is low, but I'll bounce back. My sincere apologies to any who tailed. Not done yet however. Confident the Dee's will smash the Pies tomorrow. No, not a tilt play, don't really tilt as have been doing this for so long that I've pretty much seen it all by now. Was always planning on playing the Dee's big, was just waiting for late money on the Pies to reduce the line.

    Melbourne v Collingwood
    3* Melbourne -4.5 (Luxbet)
    Points Awarded:

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    Nomination(s):
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  3. #11658
    binomial
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    i am finding afl very tough lately, regularly getting my neck broken from whiplash.

    ie was on the saints previous two weeks and they don't show up, then go against them this week and they come to play.

    seems alot of variability in some teams performance, but hard to pick spots where teams will play well.

  4. #11659
    hedgejob
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    Melb should do them 40+

  5. #11660
    sando
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    NRL

    Bulldogs v Dragons
    2* Bulldogs -7.5 (Luxbet)

    Cowboys v Sharks
    1* Over 38

  6. #11661
    garygroundwork
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    no play for me..both teams suck-melb and pies

    Cantebury got to win this.

  7. #11662
    garygroundwork
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    how the penetrate did collingwood beat geelong

  8. #11663
    sando
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    Nice finish to a poor weekend with the Panthers, Bulldogs & Demons all saluting for a desperately needed 7 units profit. Hope you lads were on the Dee's today.

  9. #11664
    garygroundwork
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    Good work today Sando.

  10. #11665
    therealdealau
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    Sando great call on the Dee's and the Doggies, tailed both for some great cash on my Monday check your pm's!

  11. #11666
    ender749
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Nice finish to a poor weekend with the Panthers, Bulldogs & Demons all saluting for a desperately needed 7 units profit. Hope you lads were on the Dee's today.
    great comeback!

  12. #11667
    kingsr
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    Great job! Was at the Bulldogs game haha runaway in the 2nd half
    Points Awarded:

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  13. #11668
    sando
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    Lads for those who are tailing better free up some funds because we are going to go BIG on GWS this weekend. Will have a play tomorrow before the line gets too out of hand.

    Will update my record & post couple of early plays tomorrow...

    PS - Very keen on Warriors game 6 ML. At this stage considering 2 units on the ML. Expecting them to start fast, so also leaning towards a 1st Half play?

  14. #11669
    aussieH
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    Gws are the real deal but it is a big line if they lose interest Maybe half time line is the go

  15. #11670
    sando
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    Was opening my mail last night, got a letter offering $10 free on some online casino. Was just watching NRL shows on Foxtel so I thought sure I'll gamble away your free $10 on a couple of spins. Hit the free games straight away and won $100, so tried to withdraw it, and they said no no no, you have to turn over $400 before you can make any withdrawals, so I said no problem & just set the machine to auto-spins. By the time It had run through the required $400 worth of spins I had myself a balance of $409 (USD) & have now requested a withdrawal. Other than a couple of small tennis wagers I certainly wasn't expecting to make any money last night. Hilarious!

  16. #11671
    ExodusNZ
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    Hello boys! Hows it going! Thought id get back into the game! Good to see the regulars are still here!

  17. #11672
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by ExodusNZ View Post
    Hello boys! Hows it going! Thought id get back into the game! Good to see the regulars are still here!
    Good to see you mate. The more Anzacs on this site the better!

    Do you think Wallabies can win 2nd test?

  18. #11673
    sando
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    Posting early because this ML will continue to get crunched (Expect Parra to start around $1.55-$1.60)

    NRL

    Rabbitohs v Eels

    2* Eels ML ($1.79 Pinnacle, great price! Won't last. Next best is $1.70 at W. Hill, still good price)
    1* Eels -2.5 (
    $2.04 Pinnacle)
    0.5* Eels 13+ ($3.40 Sportsbet)

    Souths are horrible. Burgeye bro's way down on form, Inglis & Reynolds gone to origin, average forward pack, terrible backline, weak bench, Keary at 6 is the only shining light for this team. Worst ATS team, have been horrible in defence las 2 months conceding 29+ ppg. Their block block 1 out crap isn't working without a dominant forward pack & for the 1st time questions are being asked of Madge's game plan.

    Eels have actually won 2 in a row & showed plenty of heart against a gritty Titans team last week. Still have plenty of class & experience in Norman, Scott, Gordon & Ma'u. Also genuine game breaker in Radradra & great young talent in French & Gutherson in the backline. On paper & on form they have Souths covered. Also statistically - they are 4-1 this season against teams outside top 8, they have a fantastic ATS record at ANZ stadium, and a positive ATS record this season (7-6) They have bigger forwards, better forwards, more dangerous 3/4 line, best half on the field (Norman) better bench.

  19. #11674
    sando
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    AFL

    Sydney v Melbourne
    2* Swans 1-39 ($2.00 William Hill)
    Under looks very strong play as well but is too low for my liking.


    NRL

    Dragons v Storm
    2* Under 34 (William Hill - surprised if it lasts more than a few hours before dropping to 32.5)
    0.5* Storm 1-12 ($3.50 everywhere)

  20. #11675
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Posting early because this ML will continue to get crunched (Expect Parra to start around $1.55-$1.60)

    NRL

    Rabbitohs v Eels

    2* Eels ML ($1.79 Pinnacle, great price! Won't last. Next best is $1.70 at W. Hill, still good price)
    1* Eels -2.5 (
    $2.04 Pinnacle)
    0.5* Eels 13+ ($3.40 Sportsbet)
    The surprise return of Souths captain John Sutton is the reason that the ML hasn't come in as predicted, but is holding firm around $1.80. Also because Sammy Burgess was under an injury cloud but was named to play. Whatever. Eels win & win well...
    Points Awarded:

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  21. #11676
    ExodusNZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Good to see you mate. The more Anzacs on this site the better!

    Do you think Wallabies can win 2nd test?
    Haha im more of a NRL bettor! Only watch the All Blacks, but gutt tells me Aus win.

    Nice bet on the Eels! Kind of sucks that we got on them at the worst time (yesterday) - But all good!

  22. #11677
    kingsr
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    Let's ride the eels train tonight! Choo Choo

    im on them for 8 units - $1.78 ML

    p.s. Welcome back Ex!

  23. #11678
    sando
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    NRL

    My favourite match up (from a betting POV) in a long time.

    Warriors v Roosters
    2* Warriors -7.5
    1* Warriors 13+ ($2.50 Sportsbet)
    1* Warriors team total Over 25.5 ($1.82 Sportsbet)
    1* Over 45.5

    3rd & 4th worst teams defensively.
    Between them they concede over 50ppg.
    In 3 of 5 matches this season at Mt Smart, the Warriors have scored 26+ but they are currently in their best form of the season.
    Warriors have put on 84 points in their last 2 matches.
    Roosters had 46 put on them last week, but it wasn't a once off as they have conceded 30.5ppg over their last 4 and I expect the Warriors to put 30+ on them as well. Roosters defence is certainly not helped by the loss of star back rowers Cordner & Guerra.
    No doubt coach will have torn shreds off them & would expect a better effort this week, however it won't be enough. Very little in the NRL is scarier than a confident an in form Warriors team. Their spine of Johnson, lo-lo & Luke are electric when they are in form, and that they are...

  24. #11679
    kingsr
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    Love it! Cheers Sando...if my parra play comes off tonight I'm gonna pump warrior hard.

  25. #11680
    mohye1980
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    Good luck on the eels fellas!!!


  26. #11681
    sando
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    Name:  eels2.bmp
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  27. #11682
    ExodusNZ
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    Lol the refs and commentators were putting down the eels the whole game pretty much

  28. #11683
    kingsr
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    Winner!!!! penetrate yeah!! Sippin on scotch, what a lovely start to the weekend

  29. #11684
    therealdealau
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    Nice win Sando! Beast mode! I think we're in for a high scoring affair in Perth tomorrow. I think the Dockers can notch their third win in a row.

  30. #11685
    mohye1980
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    Easy Peasy. Well done fellas.

  31. #11686
    sando
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    Quote Originally Posted by therealdealau View Post
    Nice win Sando! Beast mode! I think we're in for a high scoring affair in Perth tomorrow. I think the Dockers can notch their third win in a row.
    Thanks mate. Agree 100% on the high scoring affair. Season not looking so bad after after all for the purple haze with 2 rising star nominations in a row...

  32. #11687
    sando
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    AFL

    Freo v Port
    1.5* Over 179.5 (William Hill - 180.5 is ok)

    Two good looking forward lines on paper, although Freo's depends somewhat on how much gas super Pav has left in the tank & whether Ballantyne is back in form? (4 goals last week). Anyway Port hasn't had a game under 180 points in 6 weeks & appears to be back playing their trademark run n' gun footy. Also Freo put 147 on hapless lions last week. Perfect football weather predicted.

    Geelong v Western Bulldogs
    1* Geelong 1-39 ($2.30 William Hill)

    Almost a 50/50 non betting game, but after already losing so many A graders (Murphy, Johannisen, Wood, etc) I feel like the underrated Dahlhaus is just 1 star too many. Also the power of Danger-Wood appears to be unstoppable at the moment haha. Feel like there is a definite edge to Geelong here and hence the $2.30 available on the Cats 1-39 provides enough for a small bet. Dogs biggest loss has been 25 points this season, hard to see them losing by more than 40.
    Points Awarded:

    kingsr gave sando 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  33. #11688
    sando
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    AFL

    Essendon v GWS
    2* GWS -60.5 (Pinnacle)
    Was going to play big, but I don't like Shane Mumford out (huge out) for GWS & McDonald-Tipungwuti in (huge in) for Essendon, so not as excited as I was originally but still expect Giants to cover...

  34. #11689
    garygroundwork
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    Sando what are your thoughts on the NBA final tomorrow?

  35. #11690
    therealdealau
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    Unfortunately the Freo game didn't go as expected lots of pressure on the ball from both sides and lots of missed shots cooked the over. Happy with how my boys looked, I think theyll beat Collingwood for four in a row. Our forward line is much better than theirs.

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