1. #53866
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    I hope that's her ass hangin out there and some major flapjacks...nomsayin?


  2. #53867
    KVB
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    Second half line now 24.


  3. #53868
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...In terms of the TOTAL the sharp forecast has lost all four triggered bets against the TOTAL. The stacking forecast has lost its last four against the TOTAL. Both indicate OVER...
    If this games stays UNDER it might be wise to pay attention to my posts the next couple of games.


  4. #53869
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...In checking, I see the line is up to 53.5 and tend to want to counter that action. One problem here is that the sharper forecast has failed against TOTAL bets all playoffs, when triggered and I tend to think that the line opening so close and moving towards 55 sidelines some of the sharper groups, allowing the market to pay the OVER.

    But I’m often a contrarian, I also see a potential TOTAL bet next game, and the price is cheap for me, therefore I am taking in the trading account UNDER 53.5 (-102) for Green Bay vs. Dallas.

    You see the situation however, and we can learn if that bet is wrong....
    If you've followed my posts at all I think you would forgive me for coming back here and bitching about how I made a mistake in the trading account for that bet.

    That first paragraph in bold should have been directing the plays and I think anyone who's read my posts would tend to agree.

    It's good to identify mistakes and why they were made. I can say I was pressed for time. I can say I was stuck in a contrarian mode. Also, that -102 in the trading account can be tempting.

    The market has a psychological affect on all of us. I can't deny that even some "modes" get stretched too far as the market almost sees fit.

    I'll stop there.


  5. #53870
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Taunting that 1 point KC win this early tells me it's not the 1 point KC win.

    I hope...

  6. #53871
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...Now, I must say that I've called in some extremely large Pittsburgh bets, including the spread.

    But in the end, I believe the moneyline will count.

    Also, remember my posts about the AFC North and the upset I believe is coming? Well, it doesn't have to be a 10 point upset, a small line in an NFL playoff game would have the same effect.

    We've been patient enough...
    Fuk yeah.

    Now, have we really satisfied the market need for an upset, even in the AFC North?

    The next one would be pretty high profile. It's the first of many metrics yet to resolve for the next batch of games.


  7. #53872
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  8. #53873
    PerfectGrape
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  9. #53874
    PerfectGrape
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    hawks under

    MLK incredible speaker, puts Mr I have a tweet to shame

  10. #53875
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
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  11. #53876
    PerfectGrape
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    King's rhetoric unified people, Trump's rhetoric brings them apart, interesting contrast

  12. #53877
    dlowilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    King's rhetoric unified people, Trump's rhetoric brings them apart, interesting contrast
    Don't mean to bring down this thread

    But when today's definition of "unity" is not enforcing immigration laws (which lets illegals drain social services, commit crimes on US soil, get paid low wages in cash undercutting and stealing jobs from citizens), catering to a very very small percentage of the population (by letting them in whatever restroom they want to go in and changing the pronouns of the English language), and pretending cops are to blame for blacks always being in trouble with the law? If that is today's unity hopefully you can understand why a lot of people say "no thanks".

  13. #53878
    PerfectGrape
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  14. #53879
    PerfectGrape
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    pence is gay, look at him trying to kiss that dude


  15. #53880
    PerfectGrape
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  16. #53881
    PerfectGrape
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  17. #53882
    PerfectGrape
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    anyone have enough guts to play over 60?

  18. #53883
    KVB
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    Strain Highlights

    First bred by Jordan of the Islands, Cactus is an indica cross between Afghani and Northern Lights and is named after its vague resemblance to the pear cactus. Cactus buds are conic with knobby formations and emit an organic earthy aroma with citrus notes. This indica is an adept painkiller, providing relief to aches and sore muscles as well as spasms and anxiety. While its indica genetics prepare us for a sleepy, relaxed experience, many describe Cactus as having more uplifting, energizing effects characteristic of sativa strains. Cactus has become a popular staple among the connoisseurs of Seattle, and was among the first place winners in the 2012 High Times Cannabis Cup.


  19. #53884
    PerfectGrape
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    cookies x NL5 was a favorite back in the day


  20. #53885
    PerfectGrape
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    wizards are a guaranteed winner

  21. #53886
    PerfectGrape
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    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave PerfectGrape 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  22. #53887
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    wizards are a guaranteed winner

  23. #53888
    KVB
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    In October we got a piece of Matsuyama +1850.

    I picked up Patrick Reed let's see if another +1850 will pay out for the FlyMe thread...


    Short Description
    Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - CareerBuilder Challenge - Odds to Win CareerBuilder Challenge 2017 - Patrick Reed +1850


  24. #53889
    Jayvegas420
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    Strain Highlights
    Tahoe OG is the perfect rainy day strain. Strong and fast-acting, you may not want to use this strain when you’re planning to leave the house. Great for those suffering from insomnia, pain, or lack of appetite, Tahoe OG has made a name for itself among other indicas. A top nighttime strain, it provides an extremely lazy, heavy body sensation. Due to superb breeding, Tahoe OG embodies all of the typical indica effects with an added euphoric, sativa-like kick. This strain features an earthy, lemon taste, and is a phenotype of OG Kush. Maturing at around 10 weeks, Tahoe OG is a must-try for those looking for a great night’s sleep.

  25. #53890
    KVB
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    Man, be careful with my golf plays. Similar to losing a few playoff games before hitting some of those upsets hard, I will likely post quite a bit of bait at those long odds. We'll get some, but expect some losers as well.

    That's the nature of those long odds.

    Jay, I got that Tahoe OG concentrated in an oil form from those Brass Knuckles I posted about earlier...good stuff for sure.




  26. #53891
    PerfectGrape
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    thinking we see a sell off of financials tomorrow




  27. #53892
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  28. #53893
    KVB
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    At it again...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Mickelson and Haas both look tempting at these levels, but I think that's why they are at these levels.

    I took an alternative in Hudson Swafford at +1600...

    Short Description
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    Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - CareerBuilder Challenge - Odds to win CareerBuilder Challenge 2017 - Hudson Swafford +1600


    If there's a surprise this week, he's put himself in position, even though there are two different courses to play over the next two days. It seems the Stadium Course may be a bit tougher, there should be plenty of room to make up for mistakes on all courses. I think we see some low scores the next two days...

  29. #53894
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfectGrape View Post
    thinking we see a sell off of financials tomorrow...
    Why? Buy on the election, sell on the inauguration?

    Looks like more pressure on Mexico markets than US, but it's early.

  30. #53895
    KVB
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    I think I need a smoothie, but without whatever that green shit she was putting in...wheatgrass?


  31. #53896
    PerfectGrape
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Why? Buy on the election, sell on the inauguration?

    Looks like more pressure on Mexico markets than US, but it's early.
    was thinking the rally was too much too soon and people come to their senses a little. if they are going to sell off or reposition a little, wouldn't they sell stocks they have too much of? feel like the rally was pricing in favorable regulations/changes too much and not as much of the unknown or things not happening. thinking a short term dip while people wait to see how things go a little bit. don't really understand much, just a crazy theory.

    or maybe they will just hold? why buy today before the speech, what new info is there that would attract anyone?


    Last edited by PerfectGrape; 01-20-17 at 07:12 AM.

  32. #53897
    PerfectGrape
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  33. #53898
    KVB
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    I need to go back and track each golf trade in this thread, and in the Be The Ball thread. I've had winners and losers in each, and some across both. I need to combine them. I know this thread had a +1850, which offset some losses.

    I want to say again how happy I am to be able to post each game in the NFL playoffs and have you guys see things play out for themselves. Of course, the playoffs allow for that each year. I also appreciate how we've remained a bit low key, and thank you for it. But, I also like some discussion or questions, so don't be afraid to chime in a bit, or even PM. It will make us all better bettors. Also, I am trying to get better with PM's, I know I owe Omedo, at the very least, some discussion, the guy is sharp and destined to do well.

    I want to get a similar thing going with golf, like with the playoffs, as we lead up to a major. It's not what they bring, it's how they bring it and telling you it's raining outside means far less then you walking outside into the rain.

    I hope I can tell the story.





  34. #53899
    PerfectGrape
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  35. #53900
    PerfectGrape
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    freedom zag at trump tower

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