[eidolon]

Here is a map and the states and how they are trending (blue/red)
Which states do you think I'm wrong?
Information taken from: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...lls/president/ and http://www.270towin.com/

[matt08]

Definitely more and more Trump now, with all the stuff against Clinton.

[Foxx]

God Bless us all one way or the other.

[LVHerbie]

Wrong on Kansas...

[jtoler]

His goons been working overtime, no need for the threats though.

[grease lightnin]

Wrong on VA

[StatePenn]

My financial advisor has told all of his clients to pull out of the market if Trump is elected.

[DwightShrute]

he could win Colorado, Minnesota and Wisconsin as well.

[DwightShrute]

My financial advisor has told all of his clients to pull out of the market if Trump is elected.

time to get a new financial advisor.

[d2bets]

My financial advisor has told all of his clients to pull out of the market if Trump is elected.

Would that be before or after the market falls 5% on November 9?

[jjgold]

so many views

impossible to project

[d2bets]

Trump already planning his news network after he loses.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016...s-network.html

[DwightShrute]

Would that be before or after the market falls 5% on November 9?

if the market goes down 5%, as in your example, and you have all your money in the stock market and you are ready to retire tomorrow or real soon, then you have a lousy financial advisor. If you're still years away, then it doesn't matter what happens November 9th.

[goduke]

Can we really stop with the election threads. Clinton has been picked to win for at least two years now. If you guys really think these elections and statistics are legit you're pathetic

[d2bets]

if the market goes down 5%, as in your example, and you have all your money in the stock market and you are ready to retire tomorrow or real soon, then you have a lousy financial advisor. If you're still years away, then it doesn't matter what happens November 9th.

It matters if you sell November 7 and buy back 5% cheaper Nov. 9.

And the 5% would just be the start. That would become 25% over the next couple years. If the country exists and we are still alive, then I'd buy back.

All hypothetical because he's not winning.

It's going to be close. And Hillary wins. Just like the Cubs.

[Auto Donk]

If the nation gets a real good whiff of her, every single state could turn "red" in an instant, according to her own campaign manager, John Podesta:

[nyplayer33]

She's winning period. He would win easily..but he said some crazy crap. Making fun disability guy...grabbing girl by pussycat...blood coming out if her eyes..comes across nutty. I want trump..but she's winning. Period.

[nyplayer33]

Putin..ussr...hates hillary...ww3

[jjgold]

She's winning period. He would win easily..but he said some crazy crap. Making fun disability guy...grabbing girl by pussycat...blood coming out if her eyes..comes across nutty. I want trump..but she's winning. Period.

same feeling here

[d2bets]

That map has Trump winning Virginia. No freakin way. He has a better chance to win Colorado, which is to say, not much.

[rizespor]

That map has Trump winning Virginia. No freakin way. He has a better chance to win Colorado, which is to say, not much.

http://cnn.it/2fgm477

[d2bets]

http://cnn.it/2fgm477

Yeah, and here's Virginia. Virginia is far too educated for Trump. Not fertile ground for him. He did poorly there in the primary. Plus, Kaine's home state.
Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Clinton (D)	Trump (R)	Johnson (L)	Stein (G)	Spread
RCP Average	10/23 - 10/30	--	--	47.0	42.3	4.3	1.7	Clinton +4.7
Emerson	10/28 - 10/30	800 LV	3.4	49	45	3	1	Clinton +4
Remington Research (R)*	10/30 - 10/30	1106 LV	2.9	47	43	3	--	Clinton +4
Washington Post	10/27 - 10/30	1024 LV	3.5	48	42	6	2	Clinton +6
Winthrop	10/23 - 10/30	712 LV	3.6	44	39	5	2	Clinton +5
Christopher Newport Univ.	10/23 - 10/26	814 LV	4.2	46	39	5	1	Clinton +7
Quinnipiac	10/20 - 10/26	749 LV	3.6	50	38	4	2	Clinton +12
Remington Research (R)*	10/20 - 10/22	1787 LV	2.3	48	43	3	--	Clinton +5
Christopher Newport Univ.	10/16 - 10/19	834 LV	3.9	45	33	8	1	Clinton +12
Christopher Newport Univ.	10/11 - 10/14	809 LV	3.6	44	29	11	2	Clinton +15
Emerson	10/10 - 10/12	600 LV	3.9	46	43	6	0	Clinton +3
Roanoke College	10/2 - 10/6	814 LV	3.4	45	36	7	1	Clinton +9
Christopher Newport Univ.	9/27 - 9/30	892 LV	3.7	42	35	12	1	Clinton +7
CBS News/YouGov	9/21 - 9/23	1237 LV	3.3	45	37	7	1	Clinton +8
Christopher Newport Univ.	9/15 - 9/23	1003 LV	3.9	39	33	15	3	Clinton +6
Quinnipiac	9/13 - 9/21	659 LV	3.9	45	39	8	1	Clinton +6
Roanoke College	9/11 - 9/20	841 LV	3.4	44	37	8	1	Clinton +7
Univ. of Mary Washington	9/6 - 9/12	685 LV	4.4	40	37	8	1	Clinton +3
PPP (D)	9/9 - 9/11	878 LV	3.3	45	39	6	2	Clinton +6
Emerson	8/30 - 9/1	800 LV	3.4	44	43	11	3	Clinton +1
Quinnipiac	8/9 - 8/16	808 LV	3.5	45	34	11	5	Clinton +11
Washington Post	8/11 - 8/14	707 LV	4.5	46	39	9	3	Clinton +7
NBC/WSJ/Marist	8/4 - 8/10	897 RV	3.3	43	31	12	5	Clinton +12
Roanoke College	8/7 - 8/17	803 LV	3.5	48	32	8	3	Clinton +16
CBS News/YouGov*	8/2 - 8/5	1181 LV	3.7	49	37	7	2	Clinton +12

[SBR Breadman]

Not to bust your bubble, but most polls show Killary still firmly in the electoral lead. Five Thirty Eight is about as trust worthy as they come for showing the legit numbers

[jjgold]

Most of legit polls

Not to bust your bubble, but most polls show Killary still firmly in the electoral lead. Five Thirty Eight is about as trust worthy as they come for showing the legit numbers

[slambam]

My financial advisor has told all of his clients to pull out of the market if Trump is elected.

II'm debating switching to bonds temporarily myself too.

[KingJD31]

Hillary is taking Kansas?

That map has Trump winning Virginia. No freakin way. He has a better chance to win Colorado, which is to say, not much.

[KingJD31]

Hampton university just conducted a poll PRIOR to the FBI thing with trump 3 point lead in va

[rizespor]

All 538 does is take the polls and then just run a lot of simulations to arrive at their number. When polls had Clinton up by double digits, she was 85% (or whatever it was) to win the presidency. When Trump gained ground this past week, that percentage dropped. It's not rocket science.

But when the polls are literally all over the place not just from day to day, but from poll to poll, it's not unreasonable to say there are inefficiencies at play here that points to these numbers not being quite so "legit"

[eidolon]

Wrong on Kansas...

Good catch

Wrong on VA

good catch

[ByeShea]

I can't believe how many clowns here gently slurp down everything the media feeds them.

Some important points:

1) Hillary lost. There is no saving her now. Unlike the past two presidential elections, more Republicans showed up to vote in the primaries than Democrats ... could be the number 1 factor deciding this contest alone, but things have grown shockingly in Trump's favor. Ridiculously so.

2) Trump is winning in a landslide. The numbers are already coming in. 5 times the rate of black votes than Romney, more than competitive with milennials (Obama owned them), Trump is doing great with Asians & Indians (remember them non-white votes? Millions in the US but apparently they don't exist in these polls that already have Hillary with the election wrapped up ... and speaking of, Trump is kicking her azz so hard he's by passing her... will win by 5 or 6 points, 10 pts of her final Wikileaks is as explosive as rumored - and there's been little reason to believe Wikileaks won't continue delivering the potent goods that have already blown Hillary's campaign to bits.)

3) These polls aren't D-inflated for Hillary's benefit, they know she's toast, but to try and salvage down ticket contests.

4) Wiki already highlighted her "Vote Early!" strategy and connections with media, debate, and poll fixing. (Up 20pts in Michigan and lost to Bernie ... like anything has changed? Auto union guys screaming their lungs out for Trump while their bosses tepidly support Hillary ... Michigan is as red as the nose some of you have glued to your face.

5) The FBI (supported by FOIA) have Hillary by her giant hairy balls. She was already getting whipped in the Independent vote and struggling for key voter bloc turnout - she is stinky kryptonite now.

Many people who let the mainstream media (who donate Democratic at a 98% clip) shape their opinion for them will look back on November 9th and say, "how the fuk did I think a soon-to-be-indicted corrupt sow running private email servers to hide the x's and o's in building a net worth of $200 million would be elected President?"

I'll be here laughing.

[dante1]

time to get a new financial advisor.

Dwightie, always has a very astute comment. Have you noticed that for the past 31,000 posts? Now watch how he might answer this it will be historically relevant, can't wait.

BTW, I have been saying since day one Trump could win, I don't think he will and the irony of this entire debate is even if he does win he will not govern. Absolutely not, he will delegate everything to a few key people. This guy can't be bothered to even prepare for a debate do you think he will spend days and months thinking and studying policy? That is hysterical, he will not. So what might happen. Who TF knows? His administration might be incredibly right wing or might be very moderate. No telling what might happen. But, he will do absolutely nothing concerning policy. I doubt it will even happen but if it does and he wins I will repost this a year or so later.

[DwightShrute]

Dwightie, always has a very astute comment. Have you noticed that for the past 31,000 posts? Now watch how he might answer this it will be historically relevant, can't wait.

BTW, I have been saying since day one Trump could win, I don't think he will and the irony of this entire debate is even if he does win he will not govern. Absolutely not, he will delegate everything to a few key people. This guy can't be bothered to even prepare for a debate do you think he will spend days and months thinking and studying policy? That is hysterical, he will not. So what might happen. Who TF knows? His administration might be incredibly right wing or might be very moderate. No telling what might happen. But, he will do absolutely nothing concerning policy. I doubt it will even happen but if it does and he wins I will repost this a year or so later.

dishonest dante always has a very astute comment. Have you noticed that for the past 10,000 posts? Now watch how he might answer this it will be historically relevant, can't wait.

poor dishonest dante

[trytrytry]

the winner of florida will win the election and its so tight there we might have Chads again. will be a disaster, close elections always are.

[dante1]

[QUOTE=DwightShrute;26504332]dishonest dante always has a very astute comment. Have you noticed that for the past 10,000 posts? Now watch how he might answer this it will be historically relevant, can't wait.

poor dishonest dante



back to the mocking strategy dwightie, good job. ignoring didn't work, lying your ass off didn't work, might as well try mocking it so very well illustrates your mental age which is about 9. continue my friend, when I am around I will ridicule you and you can mock it since you are unable to defend yourself intellectually it is all you have. continue.

poor dwightie

[The Kraken]

Hes gonna win every swingstate?