WEDNESDAY, 10/26
Cubs / Indians UNDER 7 +100 (Heritage)
YTD: 452-464-25, +3.66
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 10-13-2, -2.15
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10-26-16 06:30 AM #141
MLB Play Wednesday
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10-26-16 09:10 AM #142
Now you take the under... What's your model results for tonight? Thanks, LT!
Originally Posted by LT Profits
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10-26-16 09:53 AM #143
Cubs 59% (-144), 6.8 Originally Posted by Snake24
I was gambling on the weather, but may have screwed up given the line movement on the Over.
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10-26-16 09:57 AM #144
Sharps do NOT like arrieta.
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10-26-16 10:03 AM #145
does this mean this play is no good now?
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10-26-16 10:04 AM #146
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10-28-16 06:42 AM #147 MLB Play Friday
FRIDAY, 10/28
Indians / Cubs UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
YTD: 453-464-25, +4.66
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 11-13-2, -1.15
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10-28-16 06:49 AM #148
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10-28-16 07:06 AM #149
Then why is total so low? Usually they post double-digit totals at Wrigley when wind is blowing out, you'd expect around 9 with these two pitchers. Regardless, model has weather-neutral 6.9 and the deed is done. Originally Posted by Brooklyn Dick
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10-28-16 07:24 AM #150
I'll make a side bet with you, the game goes over 6.9 ??? Originally Posted by LT Profits
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10-28-16 07:40 AM #151
If the pitchers are on, game could still resemble first two games. Originally Posted by 44 Mag
I'll make a side bet with you, the game goes over 6.9 ???
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10-28-16 07:42 AM #152
Gentlemen's bet then, no points or money ??? Originally Posted by LT Profits
If the pitchers are on, game could still resemble first two games.
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10-28-16 09:12 AM #153
Na no point. I will take exactly 7. Originally Posted by 44 Mag
Gentlemen's bet then, no points or money ???
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10-28-16 10:13 AM #154
OK, as stated earlier (6.9) I am taking over 7 GL boss. Originally Posted by LT Profits
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10-28-16 02:18 PM #155 1 MLB Addition Friday
FRIDAY, 10/28
Indians +187 (5 Dimes)
Indians / Cubs UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
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10-29-16 12:04 AM #156
Excellent bets. Been following your posts for years and just love when these types of unders (and ml dogs) hit for ya.
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10-29-16 09:07 AM #157 MLB Play Saturday
SATURDAY, 10/29
Indians / Cubs UNDER 6.5 +110 (Heritage)
YTD: 455-464-25, +7.53
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 13-13-2, +1.72
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10-29-16 01:04 PM #158
I'm assuming you like Cleveland, but line is too far off of model #?
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10-30-16 09:49 AM #159 MLB Play Sunday
SUNDAY, 10/30
Indians / Cubs OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
YTD: 455-465-25, +6.53
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 13-14-2, +0.72
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10-30-16 09:52 AM #160
A Rare over for LT. Originally Posted by LT Profits
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11-01-16 06:42 AM #161 MLB Play Tuesday
TUESDAY, 11/1
Cubs / Indians OVER 7.5 +110 (Heritage)
YTD: 455-466-25, +5.48
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 13-15-2, -0.33
Note that Over 7 is OK up to -120
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11-01-16 08:33 AM #162
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11-01-16 09:05 AM #163
Lean Tribe, model loves them at Cubs 54% (-117) Originally Posted by eddycash
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11-01-16 09:18 AM #164
LT, any reason you are not playing Cleve here?
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11-01-16 09:43 AM #165
If this was a regular season game, I would not hesitate. I am worried about the Cubs desperation factor, and the market is buying into that it looks like. I still reserve the right to MAYBE add Cleveland later though. Originally Posted by Brooklyn Dick
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11-01-16 01:06 PM #166
LT, nearly every game has had +EV on Tribe. Kluber should have been a bigger favorite in game 1, though not a bad line, Arrieta rightful fav in game 2 against Bauer who may have been "injured" ... but the Cubs since then have been overvalued immensely games 3-4-5.
Tonight, don't overthink it: Tomlin and Tomlin +1.5
The Cubs don't score easily. The AL is a superior league than the NL. End of story. This Cleveland team isn't even close to full strength, either.Last edited by StackinGreen; 11-01-16 at 01:09 PM.
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11-01-16 02:04 PM #167
This guy makes me want to take cubs lol
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11-02-16 06:26 AM #168 MLB Play Wednesday
WEDNESDAY, 11/2
Indians +108 (Bookmaker)
YTD: 456-466-25, +6.58
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 14-15-2, +0.77
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11-02-16 09:28 AM #169
The Naquin/Chisenhall blooper set the table last night.
Still, it'll revert to the Indians, even though it will be close.
I say Indians 4-2.
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11-02-16 02:27 PM #170
Hmm I'm not sure LT, cubs might take this
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11-02-16 03:41 PM #171
Give me the best pitcher in the AL as a home underdog and I will take my chances. Originally Posted by eddycash
Model has Cleveland 57% (-133)
And this is one case where the large variance does not bother me as much as it normally would, I understand the need to skew the Cubs line is what may be the most heavily bet MLB game of the year.
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11-02-16 11:57 PM #172
Well, it was not another +93 unit season like my year from the gods last season, but at least I finished in the black, coming back from a low-water mark of -19.80
2016 FINAL: 456-467-25, +5.58
Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 14-16-2, -0.23Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: POOLSIDE
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11-03-16 01:33 AM #173
Not bad LT, way to grind it out for a profitable season
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11-03-16 10:47 AM #174
Way to hang in there boss, nice job. Originally Posted by LT Profits
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11-04-16 08:03 PM #175
I enjoyed the ride this season, LT.
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