[stevenash]

Ever since baseball resumed Friday night from the All Star break, the under's (betting totals) have been covering at an astounding rate.

Friday night, 9 out of 15 games finished with 8 total runs or less.
Saturday, 15 games, 10 finished with 8 total runs or less.
Sunday, 15 games, a remarkable 11 games finished with 8 runs or less.

Today, five games in the books so far, 4 ended with 6 runs or less, the sixth game (KC Cleveland) is 2-0 in the 8th.
Reds went 8-2 for the only over.

I don't recall such a lack of run scoring like this in a very long time.

[slayer14]

Its better quality of baseball i think

[jjgold]

Nashy your trying any angle to try to win and you make things too complicated and ir is why your not successful handicapping right now let's get back into the board room and come up with a new strategy

[jackbo]

Pitchers are trying to get traded....happens every year before the deadline.

[stevenash]

Nashy your trying any angle to try to win and you make things too complicated and ir is why your not successful handicapping right now let's get back into the board room and come up with a new strategy

Not true, I bet six games since Friday, won four.
Just bringing up a trend is all.

How about that monster rally from KC, this could be the spark that gets the boys in blue back in the pennant race. KC exploited Indians weakness, the bullpen.

[jjgold]

Nashy nobody can hit in mlb anymore for the most part

Any sport actually always more value on unders than overs

Nashy keep pounding away

[daneblazer]

This is usually when more runs are scored too

[RollinDo]

U

Nashy nobody can hit in mlb anymore for the most part

Any sport actually always more value on unders than overs

Nashy keep pounding away

JJ you base,this off of a 4-day stretch when runs have been plenty this season and Unders are hard to find.
Where the heck have you been?

[Jayvegas420]

I noticed this too. Several (4-5 teams), that are playing today, are on under streaks greater than 6 games.
I think the books will temporarly lower the totals until this trend balances out.

Maybe Syndergard & Arrieta is the exception.

[mohye1980]

Give us a winner nash!!!!!

[Grivas_Digeni]

Wow deep insight. Are you subscribed to the Dave Malinsky podcast?

[Antibet]

Guys, be very careful with unders today. I'm warning you

[thekoreanmang]

Guys, be very careful with unders today. I'm warning you

Why?

[klemopixx]

Guys, be very careful with unders today. I'm warning you

Exactly what I was thinking! Every time someone notices a trend, the next day it gets blown up!

[slayer14]

Unders again tonight

[Muller Rose]

Why?

Same question....

[7deuceoff$uit]

Man I had the under on the Grand Salami at 140.5. Stupid Padres and Cards got rained out.... I guess a no bet is better than the Pads/Cards scoring 47 runs.

[cankid]

bad luck on the rainout making it a no play for the salami

[RollinDo]

Gonna hit a couple Unders Wednesday.

Under 9 in Detroit and Under 8 in Philly.

[nocturnal012]

11 out of 14 went under last night. Nice call nash

[Grivas_Digeni]

Nice call Dave

[7deuceoff$uit]

Went with the under GS again yesterday at 151.5. Only thing is I somehow missed the pads/cards were playing a double header. Thought I was getting a good deal at 15 games instead of 16. 2nd day in a row that game screwed me.

[stevenash]

Four teams face LH starters today. Except for the Natty's the other three teams have trouble vs. LHP

Balty sucks this year vs. LHP, even if it's CC, Brews have a couple of sticks that can hit LHP but overall they suck, and Oakland is not hitting this year right handed or left

9 game slate, couple of quality pitchers salami is 86.5 (two games are double digit totals)

I'm up for under on a get away day.

Ticket	Accepted Date	Risk	To Win	Status	Wager
387290622-1	7/21/16 10:00am	$115.00	$100.00	Pending	7/21/16 12:05pm MLB Baseball 991 Away Runs Today/Home Runs Today Under 86½ -115* (Fixed Price)

[Smoke]

Cheers mate

[7deuceoff$uit]

Missed the GS this morning but I'm rolling the under on bal/ny. BOL!

[stevenash]

Missed the GS this morning but I'm rolling the under on bal/ny. BOL!

Nice hit

[7deuceoff$uit]

Nice hit

Thanks! Took about 85% of my winnings and put it on Det/Chi 1st 5 under. Had a little on Mil Pit under 9 too. They made me sweat that one.

[sweethook]

looks like we need bet unders

[Jayvegas420]

I love the games in KC & Col to go over today.
The rest of the games can finish 1-0, for all I care.

I expect poor performances from Tehran & Duffffy.

[Jayvegas420]

Over is 4-0 in Darvishs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 5-1 in Duffys last 6 starts on grass.

If Duffy is on grass again today, this game is bound to be high scoring & go over.

[vividjohn45]

U

JJ you base,this off of a 4-day stretch when runs have been plenty this season and Unders are hard to find.
Where the heck have you been?

Depends which shift jj. You talking to.

[stevenash]

Over is 4-0 in Darvishs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 5-1 in Duffys last 6 starts on grass.

If Duffy is on grass again today, this game is bound to be high scoring & go over.

The game is at the K, so yes the game is on grass, Royals infield and outfield is Kentucky Blue grass.

Royals haven't faced Darvish since 2014, Darvish has started only four games this year (injuries)
Hasn't seen the sixth inning in any start yet because he walks the park, 4 starts - 20 innings (5 innings avg. per start) 10 walks.
Stingy with hits (14) control all over the place, if this holds true to form, Texas will have to go to the bull pen for four innings, and Texas 'pen is pretty leaky,

Duffy is not hard to figure out, throws left, and left handed batters can't touch him, never have, never will, which is why managers stack right handed batter when Duff pitches. Duffy holds RH batters to .245, but gives up a shit load of homers to them.

This is that Texas has versus LH pitching as right handed hitter.

Desmond (R) vs. LHP .402 97 AB 5 HR

Andrus (R) vs. LHP .368 76 AB

Rua (R) vs. LHP .338 71 AB

Beltre (R) LHP .337 86 AB 4 HR
Beltre is one of the greatest lefty killers of my generation, dude has been crushing lefties his whole career, 19 years in the majors, just a tick under .300 LIFETIME vs LHP, with over 100 LIFETIME bombs.
I know this first hand, as a former scholastic right handed batter, (ask any right hand batter that played the game) facing left handed pitchers is no easy chore. I have nothing but respect for Beltre.

Odor hits LHP well, but he bats left.

Texas leads the majors in team avg .286 versus LHP, and the power numbers are near the top as well.

While KC may only scratch a run or two from Darvish, they should exploit that not so good Rangers bull pen.

Total is 7.5 and I endorse your over bet here.

[stevenash]

I love the games in KC & Col to go over today.
The rest of the games can finish 1-0, for all I care.

I expect poor performances from Tehran & Duffffy.

It's no secret Rox at home are lethal with the stick, and barely ordinary on the road.

The home/away splits are ridiculous.
Rox hit .302 at home, .240 on the road.
They hit more HR's at home..... up and down the stat charts, monsters at home, very beatable on the road, I've watched a ton of Rox games this year, it's painfully obvious.

Tehran blanked the Rox (in ATLANTA) last week 1-0, but recent splits show Rox club him at Coors last three seasons.
Gray (starting pitcher for the Rox tonight) is not really a hamburger (1.17 WHIP) but gives up too many long balls, holds LH batters to .208 average.

Here's what I don't like about this total, besides Freeman where are you going to get the power?
Markakis? He's a 15 million dollar singles hitter and he hits left anyway?

Game total is 10.5, Tehran is an ace, and a top 10 NL pitcher, Braves have nothing much on offense, and Gray is not a bad pitcher.
Can't bet under at Coors, but don't like this over.
Gotta pass here

[Jayvegas420]

Was inaware of Terahn's outing last week and it apoears i may have underestimated him.


I will likely stay away from this now as well.

[stevenash]

^
Took a couple of days off this week, finally getting a chance to catch on my baseball.

Two games on paper (games are played on the field however) but on paper two games scream over.

First one is Red Sox and Twins, both starters are punching bags, and the second one is Miami and Mets