1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 6/15/16

    4 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Yankees / Rockies UNDER 12.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres +109 (5 Dimes)
    Blue Jays / Phillies UNDER 8.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
    Astros +110 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 191-208-9, -11.21

  2. #2
    PorkChop
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    Thoughts on game total 8.5, Padres/Marlins?

    Leaning FF Under 4.5 & Game U 8.5 right now

  3. #3
    RavensFan2k3
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    I almost played San Diego early, but figured let me do some more research. How do you rate the Marlins and Padres pitchers?

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Thoughts on game total 8.5, Padres/Marlins?

    Leaning FF Under 4.5 & Game U 8.5 right now
    Lean Over. model has 9.3 for game

    Same with FF, I have 5.1

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    I almost played San Diego early, but figured let me do some more research. How do you rate the Marlins and Padres pitchers?
    Both suck about equally, but for that very reason, Miami should not be a road favorite.

  6. #6
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Both suck about equally, but for that very reason, Miami should not be a road favorite.
    Why do you think Nicolino sucks so bad? Perdomo yes, although looked decent vs Colorado when he got thrown in there due to Cashner injury
    Last edited by RavensFan2k3; 06-15-16 at 07:55 AM.

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Dodgers 71% (-245)
    San Francisco 66% (-194)
    Washington 60% (-150)
    Toronto 61% (-156)
    Mets 67% (-203)
    White Sox 68% (-213)

    Currently no line on Mets so keep an eye on that one.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Why do you think Nicolino sucks so bad? Perdormo yes, although looked decent vs Colorado when he got thrown in there due to Cashner injury
    I actually have Nicolino rated worse of the two. He is a contact pitcher with only 4.24 strikeouts per nine innings and the majority of that contact is in the air because he has a meh 43.5% ground ball rate. Perhaps most importantly he has a HARD contact rate of 37.0%, which is terrible and would be fifth worst in the majors if he had enough innings to qualify. It all shakes out to an ugly 5.06 xFIP.

  9. #9
    Brock Landers
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    Being down 11 units should tell you that your LONG TERM PROFITS approach isn't working
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: chargers4222

  10. #10
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I actually have Nicolino rated worse of the two. He is a contact pitcher with only 4.24 strikeouts per nine innings and the majority of that contact is in the air because he has a meh 43.5% ground ball rate. Perhaps most importantly he has a HARD contact rate of 37.0%, which is terrible and would be fifth worst in the majors if he had enough innings to qualify. It all shakes out to an ugly 5.06 xFIP.
    Thank you. Two more match ups I'm interested in are Nova(Yankees)/Betttis(Rockies) and Desclafani(Reds)/Norris(Braves)

  11. #11
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Thank you. Two more match ups I'm interested in are Nova(Yankees)/Betttis(Rockies) and Desclafani(Reds)/Norris(Braves)
    Tell this guy to do his own research.

  12. #12
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Tell this guy to do his own research.
    I do lol, just like to get 2nd opinons on some players lol

  13. #13
    goduke
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    On the Astros again....I hope one day they win for you.

  14. #14
    mikefan1034
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Being down 11 units should tell you that your LONG TERM PROFITS approach isn't working
    This guy gets it. I'm
    Gonna show everyone that in this contest. I'm simply going by gut and feel for the game because I've played it, and watch almost every game and pay attention to
    Every team. I'm
    Not some geek crunching numbers looking at models.

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Being down 11 units should tell you that your LONG TERM PROFITS approach isn't working
    -11 units feels like winning the way my year had gone, it has seemed a lot worse. Time to run off another 30-unit streak like last time I sunk to these depths (actually, streak began after sitting at season low -19.80).

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    I wonder if baseball parity has hurt you LT this year?

  17. #17
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Thank you. Two more match ups I'm interested in are Nova(Yankees)/Betttis(Rockies) and Desclafani(Reds)/Norris(Braves)
    Yankees/Rockies dead even, 50% (+100) both ways

    Reds are actually playable, I have them 53% (-113) and they are now tiny dogs.

  18. #18
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I wonder if baseball parity has hurt you LT this year?
    Parity would help me theoretically because I do not bet big favorites

  19. #19
    unusialsusp5
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    it seems you're struggling with totals more than straight up plays. totals can be frustrating. too many factors determine outcome.

  20. #20
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yankees/Rockies dead even, 50% (+100) both ways

    Reds are actually playable, I have them 53% (-113) and they are now tiny dogs.
    Im askin how you rate the pitchers

  21. #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Im askin how you rate the pitchers
    Well, considering the starting pitchers account for around 80% of the line, it should not be hard to figure out.

    Actually that is not quite true in Yankee game where I have Bettis average and Nova a smidgeon below average. However, HUGE bullpen edge for Yanks brings game to even.

    DeSclafani average, Norris WAY below average in other game, Cincy pen preventing Reds from being bigger fave.

  22. #22
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Yankees / Rockies UNDER 12.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres +109 (5 Dimes)
    Blue Jays / Phillies UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Astros +110 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +112 (Heritage)

  23. #23
    juicername
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    What about the over in Twins/Halos? I mean, if the Twins are to win with Duffey they're gonna have to score A LOT of runs, lol.

  24. #24
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    What about the over in Twins/Halos? I mean, if the Twins are to win with Duffey they're gonna have to score A LOT of runs, lol.
    Not true at all, Duffey has 47 strikeouts vs. just 11 walks in 52.1 innings, his 3.55 xFIP is nearly two runs lower than his ERA! He should be fine once his BABIP allowed stabilizes (a ridiculous .358 right now).

  25. #25
    killawookie
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    Hope the Phillies game goes OVER.. I want to watch a hitting contest while being there, when I'd care less about the two teams.

  26. #26
    RavensFan2k3
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    SD game is going over smh and idk how SD keeps up

  27. #27
    funnyb25
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    Padres every day

  28. #28
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    What about the over in Twins/Halos? I mean, if the Twins are to win with Duffey they're gonna have to score A LOT of runs, lol.
    In fact, I just added the Under

  29. #29
    LT Profits
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    2 More MLB Additions

    7 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Yankees / Rockies UNDER 12.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres +109 (5 Dimes)
    Blue Jays / Phillies UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Reds / Braves UNDER 8 +105 (Heritage)
    Astros +110 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +112 (Heritage)
    Twins / Angels UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)

  30. #30
    funnyb25
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    Already forcing more plays...sigh...

  31. #31
    Ralphie1412
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikefan1034 View Post
    This guy gets it. I'm
    Gonna show everyone that in this contest. I'm simply going by gut and feel for the game because I've played it, and watch almost every game and pay attention to
    Every team. I'm
    Not some geek crunching numbers looking at models.
    Hahahhaha ya THAT guy is Brock Landers and I assure you he "gets" nothing. I still can't stop laughing about your thread you have been bragging about. 11-6 bhahhhha

  32. #32
    funnyb25
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    Same slow start in rockies about to fly over again

  33. #33
    funnyb25
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    Kind of waiting for the 0-2 start so we get 10 more additions

  34. #34
    mikefan1034
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    Hahahhaha ya THAT guy is Brock Landers and I assure you he "gets" nothing. I still can't stop laughing about your thread you have been bragging about. 11-6 bhahhhha
    Up 1000 ur in a losing thread waiting for a miracle

  35. #35
    RavensFan2k3
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    Lets go Padres! My stupid ass played Yankees too tho

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