1. 06-10-16 10:14 AM #1
    gregmav1
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    Chances this parlay hits?

    I'm a small time gambler, do it for fun and a hobby, $10 or $20 a game normally unless I really like a play.

    Won a $50 free play on 5dimes and threw down this big parlay. You guys think it's got a shot?

    $50.00 FP* $828.06 Pending 6 Team Parlay
    Pending 6/10/16 7:05pm MLB Baseball 902 Washington Nationals -260* <small>vs</small> Philadelphia Phillies (J Hellickson - R must Start S Strasburg - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 7:35pm MLB Baseball 905 Chicago Cubs -1½ -145* <small>vs</small> Atlanta Braves (J Hammel - R must Start B Norris - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:40pm MLB Baseball 910 Colorado Rockies -184* <small>vs</small> San Diego Padres (A Cashner - R must Start J Gray - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 7:05pm MLB Baseball 916 New York Yankees -136* <small>vs</small> Detroit Tigers (M Pelfrey - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:10pm MLB Baseball 921 Boston Red Sox -138* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Twins (S Wright - R must Start T Duffey - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:10pm MLB Baseball 924 Chicago White Sox -160* <small>vs</small> Kansas City Royals (I Kennedy - R must Start C Sale - L must Start)
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  2. 06-10-16 10:18 AM #2
    ThaWoj
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    Looks pretty logical. Chisox scare me for some reason.
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  3. 06-10-16 10:19 AM #3
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    looks like a Brock Landers chalk parlay

    one of the dogs will probably win but gl
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  4. 06-10-16 10:21 AM #4
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by gregmav1 View Post
    I'm a small time gambler, do it for fun and a hobby, $10 or $20 a game normally unless I really like a play.

    Won a $50 free play on 5dimes and threw down this big parlay. You guys think it's got a shot?

    $50.00 FP* $828.06 Pending 6 Team Parlay
    Pending 6/10/16 7:05pm MLB Baseball 902 Washington Nationals -260* vs Philadelphia Phillies (J Hellickson - R must Start S Strasburg - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 7:35pm MLB Baseball 905 Chicago Cubs -1½ -145* vs Atlanta Braves (J Hammel - R must Start B Norris - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:40pm MLB Baseball 910 Colorado Rockies -184* vs San Diego Padres (A Cashner - R must Start J Gray - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 7:05pm MLB Baseball 916 New York Yankees -136* vs Detroit Tigers (M Pelfrey - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:10pm MLB Baseball 921 Boston Red Sox -138* vs Minnesota Twins (S Wright - R must Start T Duffey - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:10pm MLB Baseball 924 Chicago White Sox -160* vs Kansas City Royals (I Kennedy - R must Start C Sale - L must Start)
    Not good...

    its baseball but good luck it's a fp. Take a shot
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  5. 06-10-16 10:28 AM #5
    RollinDo
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    Take best 3 plays...almost guarantee 1 of these teams screws you.
    Nats, BoSox, and Cubs look good.
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  6. 06-10-16 10:45 AM #6
    gregmav1
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    I know, it's just so tempting once you have 3 or 4 plays to add one more, adding like a -150 play to a 4-team parlays makes it jump up from like $400 to $600! So hard not to throw in those extra guys you feel good about.

    Obviously chances are unlikely, around 17/1 from odds it looks like, but we'll see. I like all the plays but yes chances are obviously a dog wins. Feel least secure about Yankees and Nationals... Should have left off Yankees, oh well too late, let's ride.
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  7. 06-10-16 10:49 AM #7
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by gregmav1 View Post
    I'm a small time gambler, do it for fun and a hobby, $10 or $20 a game normally unless I really like a play.

    Won a $50 free play on 5dimes and threw down this big parlay. You guys think it's got a shot?

    $50.00 FP* $828.06 Pending 6 Team Parlay
    Pending 6/10/16 7:05pm MLB Baseball 902 Washington Nationals -260* vs Philadelphia Phillies (J Hellickson - R must Start S Strasburg - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 7:35pm MLB Baseball 905 Chicago Cubs -1½ -145* vs Atlanta Braves (J Hammel - R must Start B Norris - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:40pm MLB Baseball 910 Colorado Rockies -184* vs San Diego Padres (A Cashner - R must Start J Gray - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 7:05pm MLB Baseball 916 New York Yankees -136* vs Detroit Tigers (M Pelfrey - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:10pm MLB Baseball 921 Boston Red Sox -138* vs Minnesota Twins (S Wright - R must Start T Duffey - R must Start)
    Pending 6/10/16 8:10pm MLB Baseball 924 Chicago White Sox -160* vs Kansas City Royals (I Kennedy - R must Start C Sale - L must Start)
    Looks good except for CWS. Sale hasn't been too good last 2 or3, and they aren't hitting. BOL.
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  8. 06-10-16 10:53 AM #8
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Looks good except for CWS. Sale hasn't been too good last 2 or3, and they aren't hitting. BOL.
    Man yeah he has had some rough last few starts hasn't he, damn
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  9. 06-10-16 10:57 AM #9
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by gregmav1 View Post
    Man yeah he has had some rough last few starts hasn't he, damn
    Take out CWS, add LAD, if you can.
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  10. 06-10-16 11:00 AM #10
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Take out CWS, add LAD, if you can.
    Nah it's already locked in so what I got is what I got... Heavily thought about adding Kershaw, guy is just so good, but LAD bats not great and Cueto a very very good pitcher, could be a 2-1 SF win so I just stayed away
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  11. 06-10-16 11:03 AM #11
    JMon
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    good luck greg! I had a three teamer last night that I really liked. Only one team won...
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  12. 06-10-16 11:07 AM #12
    CanuckG
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    2 of them will find a way to fukk you.
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  13. 06-10-16 11:17 AM #13
    klemopixx
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    Don't like the Yanks on the road.
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  14. 06-10-16 11:19 AM #14
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaWoj View Post
    Looks pretty logical. Chisox scare me for some reason.
    The fact is that the ML shouldn't be that high ... it's much more likely to go under, actually. But hey, I don't want to talk you out of it. I like Sox to win, just think it should be -125.
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  15. 06-10-16 11:21 AM #15
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by klemopixx View Post
    Don't like the Yanks on the road.
    Yankees are at home

    And about ChiSox yeah I agree ML was high but I wasn't worried about ML really I was just picking teams I thought win since it was a parlay. Love Sale but agree he's had a few bad outings recently. Royals just average this year though so hopefully Sale will be the difference in that game
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  16. 06-10-16 11:29 AM #16
    reed_barrington
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    I was planning this same exact parlay. Best of luck to us all - Reed
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  17. 06-10-16 11:49 AM #17
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by reed_barrington View Post
    I was planning this same exact parlay. Best of luck to us all - Reed
    Holla baby, holla. When I got my free play I was hoping we had a lot of MLB games today with big favs and I got exactly that. If it all hits but Cubs only win by one run I will gladly jump off a bridge. -230 or whatever just wasn't juicy enough for me and I think they get another 7-3 win or so.
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  18. 06-10-16 12:06 PM #18
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by gregmav1 View Post
    Yankees are at home

    And about ChiSox yeah I agree ML was high but I wasn't worried about ML really I was just picking teams I thought win since it was a parlay. Love Sale but agree he's had a few bad outings recently. Royals just average this year though so hopefully Sale will be the difference in that game
    Royals are really struggling, Sale should be ok, glad this is a parlay you don't lose too much of a price. I just think it's not good to bet solo.

    I love your NYY pick, Pelphrey sucks, the only reason the Sox didn't get him last time was because they were scuffling. New York will get 5-6 runs tonight, minimum.
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  19. 06-10-16 12:46 PM #19
    NardVa
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    Looks good. Washington which should be safe might screw you and lose. It's always the team you expect to win that leaves you saying WTF.
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  20. 06-10-16 12:59 PM #20
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Royals are really struggling, Sale should be ok, glad this is a parlay you don't lose too much of a price. I just think it's not good to bet solo.

    I love your NYY pick, Pelphrey sucks, the only reason the Sox didn't get him last time was because they were scuffling. New York will get 5-6 runs tonight, minimum.
    I agree I haven't bet Yankees much at all this year, but Pelfrey is so bad and CC been surprisingly okay/good this year... Just worried that dangerous Detroit lineup gets 2 or 3 HRs, but we'll see.

    nardva i agree kinda worried about wash too. phillies arent a bad team and hellickson isnt bad at all, but hopefully strasburg keeps them in line.
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  21. 06-10-16 01:15 PM #21
    StackinGreen
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    Definitely, focus on NYY and get a saver parlay with Sale/Kennedy under 7.5

    Take Kershaw/Cueto under the total too, don't worry that it's low
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  22. 06-10-16 01:28 PM #22
    gregmav1
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    this parlay is already locked in guys, cant change it. wouldnt normally play this aside from the free play aspect of it obviously, gotta play the big + odds with the free plays.
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  23. 06-10-16 01:32 PM #23
    johnnyvegas13
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    wont win

    u gotta pick at least 1 dog
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  24. 06-10-16 01:36 PM #24
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    wont win

    u gotta pick at least 1 dog
    what an insightful post. now if any one of the 6 MLB teams I picked loses, you called it! great job man.
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  25. 06-10-16 01:46 PM #25
    19th Hole
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    Greg, Best Of Luck.
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  26. 06-10-16 02:01 PM #26
    homerbush
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    It will got 3 for 6 sorry.
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  27. 06-10-16 02:05 PM #27
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    Greg, Best Of Luck.
    thanks bud. unlikely it hits without a doubt but will be a fun night and potentially very lucrative haha

    homerbush you mind telling me which 3? or just throwing out a random number with no information?
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  28. 06-10-16 02:47 PM #28
    ThaWoj
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    Looking at this post again, Rockies are the other team that scares me fwiw.

    Pads capable of putting up a big number in this game.
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  29. 06-10-16 02:56 PM #29
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    The fact is that the ML shouldn't be that high ... it's much more likely to go under, actually. But hey, I don't want to talk you out of it. I like Sox to win, just think it should be -125.
    Agreed...but I don't like Under today...very hot today and Sale usually gets good run support except for last couple starts.
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  30. 06-10-16 02:58 PM #30
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaWoj View Post
    Looking at this post again, Rockies are the other team that scares me fwiw.

    Pads capable of putting up a big number in this game.
    i hear you, i just think rockies put up bigger. pads lineup is not bad but rockies is better. jon gray is a super legit pitcher, just high ERA from playing at coors. cashner is garbage. shootout, 7-4 rockies or something is my guess. they got the better pitcher and the better bats.
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  31. 06-10-16 03:01 PM #31
    jjgold
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    in reality like 15-1
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  32. 06-10-16 06:25 PM #32
    eidolon
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    chances about 1-20
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  33. 06-10-16 06:30 PM #33
    YouHave2outs
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    5% chance
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  34. 06-10-16 06:38 PM #34
    gregmav1
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    Yeah I mean odds I get from it at 17/1 so right around 6% chance, I'm aware of that, would never do this play with actual money, but free play i wanted to take a shot. Subpar start, Yankees up 3-0 which is great, but Nationals down 2-0 to the Phillies with Strasburg on the mound... Wtf stephen let's go.
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  35. 06-10-16 08:26 PM #35
    gregmav1
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    going to win every game except cubs.... rizzo being out killed me
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