1. #71
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    One more pick, can't resist this one, Cubs 10u @1.57, how can they lose with the best pitcher in the world? Free money.

  2. #72
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Gays how many times of you been a gamblers anonymous? Also when your Vegas look me up I'll take you out for a steak

  3. #73
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Motherfukking Vaduz winning 1:0 in the 66th minute and then conceding 3 fukking goals in 9 minutes from the first 3 shots on target by the home team. Reminds me of the time I bet on Under 2.5, and it lost with 3 goals in injury time.

    Anyway, MLB lookin good, hopefully Cubbies don't blow it in the 9th.

    Why would I go to gamblers anonymous? I'm winning!

  4. #74
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Alright, Cubs +5.7u, Indians +4.47 = +10.17, next bet 21.17u on something tomorrow.

  5. #75
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    I deviate a lot from my original plan of very low odds, but what the hell.

    HJK + Zamalek 21.17u @2.14 (Willhill)

  6. #76
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,625
    Betpoints: 10359

    Gaze I do something similar but with open parlays 7 slots, which payoff is even better. You might want to try this instead. With your 10 unit investment if you hit 5 straight you should be up roughly 75 units if avg odds 1.5

  7. #77
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Well of course the payoff is better, but mathematically it would be pure gambling.

  8. #78
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,625
    Betpoints: 10359

    Uh, no, mathematically you are getting a better payoff while taking the same exact risk. So I don't get why you say it's pure gambling when you are taking the same risk of 10u initially. You might want to do the math on this and get back to us.

  9. #79
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    I read it wrong, thought you wanted me to win 7 straight @1.5 which has mathematically only 5.4% chance of cashing.

    Anyway, it would still be more risky. Sure, the risk is only 10u, but there's a lower chance of the open parlay cashing when you wait for 75u profit instead of 40. In the long run I'll hopefully win e.g. 10*40 = 400 units, and your approach would win maybe 5*75=375 or 450 with some luck.

  10. #80
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Internacional - Recife U3.5 + Orioles +1.5 10u @1.93 (1xbet)

  11. #81
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,625
    Betpoints: 10359

    Quote Originally Posted by Gaze73 View Post
    I read it wrong, thought you wanted me to win 7 straight @1.5 which has mathematically only 5.4% chance of cashing.

    Anyway, it would still be more risky. Sure, the risk is only 10u, but there's a lower chance of the open parlay cashing when you wait for 75u profit instead of 40. In the long run I'll hopefully win e.g. 10*40 = 400 units, and your approach would win maybe 5*75=375 or 450 with some luck.
    Dude, one last time then I give up. If you do an open parlay, instead of just doubling your bets, making the same # of plays using the same initial starting amount, then you will have nearly twice as many units as you would doing your current system.

  12. #82
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    I am essentially doing an open parlay, just spread over more bookies for best prices.

    Look: Bet 1 - 10u @1.5, wins 5u
    Bet 2 - 15u @1.5, wins 7.5u
    Bet 3 - 22.5u @1.5 wins 11.25
    Bet 4 - 33.75u @1.5 wins 16.87

    Total profit: 40.62 - series closed because 40 units is really damn enough. Open parlay with these 4 picks would risk 10 units @5.062 to win exactly the same units, 40.62. If I wanted 75 units per open parlay/series I'd have to gamble further with all that nice profit.

  13. #83
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Another bitch cashed, HJK + Zamalek 21.17u @2.14 wins 24.13u.

    I'm gonna play it safe and cash this one out so that haters can't talk shit while I'm in profit.

    Thread total: 12 + 35.3 = 47.3 units

    Now I have 14 bullets to gamble.
    Last edited by Gaze73; 05-27-16 at 12:08 AM.

  14. #84
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,073
    Betpoints: 11862

    I got a system

    Points Awarded:

    SteveKerrsJunk gave JIBBBY 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  15. #85
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Wtf Orioles, first sweep of the season, against a shitty team, by two runs...
    BR: 137.3u

  16. #86
    SteveKerrsJunk
    SteveKerrsJunk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-13
    Posts: 2,706
    Betpoints: 134

    You gotta have a great head on your shoulders to make it. How many of us have chucked the rest of our account balance on the last game to make up for a losing day? You have to deal with losses well, make your plays after some research and be done. And of course you have to know how to pick winners and know what to look for. Something I know nothing about. I think if you had a 250k-500k bankroll, were incredibly prudent and wise, you just let your money make you more money. Oh I lost my 400 bet, I'll bet 600, I lost that, oh no worries I still have 467K, 2K game I really like lose, no worries, 4K game I really like, a Dog too! BAM! Back up to 475K. You need money to make money...

  17. #87
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Belfort - Strasbourg U2.5 + Brisbane Broncos ML @1.95 (1xbet) 10u

  18. #88
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Quote Originally Posted by SteveKerrsJunk View Post
    You gotta have a great head on your shoulders to make it. How many of us have chucked the rest of our account balance on the last game to make up for a losing day? You have to deal with losses well, make your plays after some research and be done. And of course you have to know how to pick winners and know what to look for. Something I know nothing about. I think if you had a 250k-500k bankroll, were incredibly prudent and wise, you just let your money make you more money. Oh I lost my 400 bet, I'll bet 600, I lost that, oh no worries I still have 467K, 2K game I really like lose, no worries, 4K game I really like, a Dog too! BAM! Back up to 475K. You need money to make money...
    A guy with 467K gambling BR wouldn't bother betting 400 on a game. And with a good strategy even 10k-20k is enough to go pro.

  19. #89
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Fuckin Broncos lost by one point.
    BR: 127.3

    Belfort - Strasbourg U2.5 20u @1.5 the game will probably end 0:0

  20. #90
    allabout the $$$
    Update your status
    allabout the $$$'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-17-10
    Posts: 9,833
    Betpoints: 26823

    this thread is about a system that you dont even follow

  21. #91
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    It doesn't matter who we are, what matters is our plan! Real pros know when it's profitable to deviate from their self-inflicted boundaries.

  22. #92
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Pirin +1.5 30u @1.43

    Plovdiv is remarkably awful away.

  23. #93
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Mallorca - Cordoba U2.5 42.9u @1.64, odds dropping fast.

  24. #94
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Derry City 15u @1.71

  25. #95
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    What up bitches?
    Cordoba U2.5 42.9u @1.64 = 70.35, profit on the series 50.35
    Derry City 15u @1.71 +10.65

    BR: 127.3 + 61 = 188.3, just one more win and I'll have proven my point by doubling the bankroll in less than two weeks. Soccer is so fuckin easy to cap. You have home goal stats, away goal stats, past 12 games, and combine that to make a reasonable bet. Ain't no rocket science.

  26. #96
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    Let's finish this.

    Not sure if I should do an easy public parlay of Columbia + Brazil or take a normal pick, but I'll go with the latter.
    Zamora 20.65u @ 1.7

  27. #97
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    It is done.
    Zamora 20.65u @ 1.7 win + 14.45
    BR : 202.75u


    70 to 202 in 7 days. Luck you say? Consider that just the last 3 picks all won by 2 goals, and even the discarded Columbia + Brazil parlay. Bookies must've lost a fortune on that one.

    I have shown you the power of open parlays.
    Now go and do likewise, gents. The money’s out there. You pick it up, it’s yours. You don’t, I got no sympathy for you.

  28. #98
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,082
    Betpoints: 3358

    Gazer...let's do it again...this time without the "ahhh fukk it, all in with 60% of the starting roll" bet, ok?

    i'll set aside a roll and follow along play for play...pulling out one of our ten fixed-sized bullets at a time and snowballing it to quintuple its size or to its demise...operating throughout via clearly-defined, segregated projects...and we'll see how many projects are required to double the account

    either continue right here...or start up a spankin' new thread for a "this time no bending the bet-sizing rules" stab at shutting all the naysayers up
    Last edited by fitguy67; 05-31-16 at 07:09 AM.

  29. #99
    Gaze73
    Gaze73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-14
    Posts: 3,105
    Betpoints: 1192

    I'm not here to post picks. I merely suggested that this pseudo-open parlay system is good, but naysayers didn't believe me so I made 100 units as promised. I would be in huge profit regardless of changing bet sizes, but when I bet big it's because I have a good reason to. And sure enough, all high confidence picks won by two goals. Now if y'all excuse me I'm gonna make myself a fortune.

First 123
Top