1. 02-25-16 10:13 PM #36
    lakerboy
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    Now to be on point without a doubt okc is the play.

    Do I bet them? I can't say. If they open up faves and the line don't move then maybe.
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  2. 02-25-16 10:15 PM #37
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Last month Miami was +14 at Golden State.

    LT's logic would lead you to believe they would be -4 at Miami.

    They weren't. They were -8.5.

    This team is a juggernaut, and you think they'll be an underdog? Not likely.
    Because of Bosh and Whiteside
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  3. 02-25-16 10:15 PM #38
    FlipsideRM
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    I can't bet okc as a fave so I hope warriors are favored as I assume they will be.
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  4. 02-25-16 10:16 PM #39
    FlipsideRM
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Because of Bosh and Whiteside
    Whiteside means 4.5 points?
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  5. 02-25-16 10:17 PM #40
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Sharps have been getting smashed fading the warriors all year.
    Irrelevant when it comes to setting lines, books still have to cater to whales to avoid heavy exposure.
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  6. 02-25-16 10:18 PM #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    Whiteside means 4.5 points?
    Weren't Bosh and Whiteside both hurt?
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  7. 02-25-16 10:18 PM #42
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Because of Bosh and Whiteside
    What about them?
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  8. 02-25-16 10:19 PM #43
    FlipsideRM
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Weren't Bosh and Whiteside both hurt?
    Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
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  9. 02-25-16 10:20 PM #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
    I was talking about the combination of the two injuries.
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  10. 02-25-16 10:20 PM #45
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
    He was talking about the first game in gs.
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  11. 02-25-16 10:21 PM #46
    The Giant
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    I think LT is losing it.

    Maybe downgrade him to the NHL moderator, and let JJ be the VIP moderator.
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  12. 02-25-16 10:21 PM #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    Yes but by your statement whiteside means 4.5 points then. Bosh is obviously unavailable for the rest of the season and didn't play last night
    But didn't he play in the first meeting?
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  13. 02-25-16 10:22 PM #48
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    I think LT is losing it.

    Maybe downgrade him to the NHL moderator, and let JJ be the VIP moderator.
    You are not getting it. Warriors were -14 at home with Miami at about full strength. They were -8.5 at Miami with the Heat decimated.
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  14. 02-25-16 10:23 PM #49
    FlipsideRM
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    You have me confused now, I think we're just not on the same page here or in misinterpreting what you're saying. Wel see how this line goes, you could be right about okc being faves but I'd be surprised. Will you have a play on the game?
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  15. 02-25-16 10:26 PM #50
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    You have me confused now, I think we're just not on the same page here or in misinterpreting what you're saying. Wel see how this line goes, you could be right about okc being faves but I'd be surprised. Will you have a play on the game?
    I don't get what is so confusing, read post #48. As for a play, I won't know until Saturday morning, I run model daily because every single game affects SOS, which affects model line.
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  16. 02-25-16 10:27 PM #51
    FlipsideRM
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't get what is so confusing, read post #48. As for a play, I won't know until Saturday morning, I run model daily because every single game affects SOS, which affects model line.
    Yes you're saying the heat were decimated last night. Who was out besides bosh? I'm confused
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  17. 02-25-16 10:28 PM #52
    FlipsideRM
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    Well I guess Tyler Johnson but I don't think he would effect a line
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  18. 02-25-16 10:29 PM #53
    lakerboy
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    I have concluded that okc will win.
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  19. 02-25-16 10:31 PM #54
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    You are not getting it. Warriors were -14 at home with Miami at about full strength. They were -8.5 at Miami with the Heat decimated.
    They were not decimated, only Bosh missed the previous game.

    I could list countless examples of there not being a 10 point swing due to home-court advantage.

    It's just not that simple.

    There are way too many factors involved.

    The biggest factor on Saturday is Golden State is a prohibitive juggernaut, a total square team, and the game is on national television. Plus, I've already read they'll only be underdogs at San Antonio. Nowhere else.
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  20. 02-25-16 10:33 PM #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    Yes you're saying the heat were decimated last night. Who was out besides bosh? I'm confused
    Oh game was last night. LOL OK, so Whiteside was back, I thought the rematch was earlier while Whiteside was out. Hold on, give me a minute.
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  21. 02-25-16 10:33 PM #56
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    They were not decimated, only Bosh missed the previous game.

    I could list countless examples of there not being a 10 point swing due to home-court advantage.

    It's just not that simple.

    There are way too many factors involved.

    The biggest factor on Saturday is Golden State is a prohibitive juggernaut, a total square team, and the game is on national television. Plus, I've already read they'll only be underdogs at San Antonio. Nowhere else.
    this is the reason I think the Warriors will be favorites. ESPN put up a stat showcasing the remaining schedules of the Spurs and warriors and according to their "oddsmakers" if you will, they had the Warriors being favored in every game except that San Antonio game.
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  22. 02-25-16 10:34 PM #57
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Oh game was last night. LOL OK, so Whiteside was back, I thought the rematch was earlier while Whiteside was out. Hold on, give me a minute.
    Not sure if being sarcastic or not lol. But yes whiteside has a big impact on that game in 31 minutes last night
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  23. 02-25-16 10:35 PM #58
    pilebuck13
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    Guys it opens at PK now stop fighting lol
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  24. 02-25-16 10:36 PM #59
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    No one is fighting.

    Flipper and I got this wrapped up.
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  25. 02-25-16 10:36 PM #60
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    They were not decimated, only Bosh missed the previous game.

    I could list countless examples of there not being a 10 point swing due to home-court advantage.

    It's just not that simple.

    There are way too many factors involved.

    The biggest factor on Saturday is Golden State is a prohibitive juggernaut, a total square team, and the game is on national television. Plus, I've already read they'll only be underdogs at San Antonio. Nowhere else.
    Of course not, it can only happen when two of the best home court teams face each other. Right now, Warriors, Thunder and Spurs are probably worth 5, Cavaliers around 4.5. Most of league is 3-3.5.
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  26. 02-25-16 10:38 PM #61
    FlipsideRM
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    Like Lakerboy said, if books are throwing up okc as a favorite they better be damn sure okc is going to win.
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  27. 02-25-16 10:41 PM #62
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Oh game was last night. LOL OK, so Whiteside was back, I thought the rematch was earlier while Whiteside was out. Hold on, give me a minute.
    OK I see it now, Whiteside was out the FIRST meeting in Oakland, only Bosh was out in Miami. So they were missing one key piece each game and the books weighed Bosh injury more.
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  28. 02-25-16 10:42 PM #63
    The Giant
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    LT, I want to punch you, but I've got to go.

    We will reconvene tomorrow and see where this line is at.

    Someone is going to have some egg on their face.
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  29. 02-25-16 10:42 PM #64
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    GSW will get HEAVY HEAVY ACTION

    They will be the chalk for sure

    51-5???????? Who the heck is going to go against them??

    There is zero value for sharps unless Okl City getting 4 or more
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  30. 02-25-16 10:43 PM #65
    FlipsideRM
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    Jj has spoken
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  31. 02-25-16 10:45 PM #66
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    Flipper I am a Pro pal
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  32. 02-25-16 11:07 PM #67
    MUHerd37
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    Fukk OKC. I love them, but you just can't trust them.
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  33. 02-25-16 11:11 PM #68
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    I wish I had points to bet you on this.

    Golden State won't be an underdog the rest of the year, except at San Antonio.

    +2.5? Are you cray?!?!
    Why no points? Seaweed clean you out on his whack superbowl props?
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  34. 02-25-16 11:12 PM #69
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Flipper I am a Pro pal
    Not picking. But it says "become a pro!"
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  35. 02-25-16 11:33 PM #70
    Ratpack
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    without monty williams and mo cheeks the thunder have no shot in this game if the pacers and cavs could go into okc and beat okc the warriors will blow out okc
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