1. #106
    bobbywaves
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    Quote Originally Posted by ArunSh View Post
    Yes BJ specials have lower variance, but to claim they are better EV is not true at all.
    In my experience BJ specials have been better +EV, as I never lost. I'm sure there's many others who haven't lost on BJ specials as well. The same simply can't be said for book specials.

    It's a matter of opinion, I prefer the guaranteed win.

  2. #107
    ArunSh
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    Quote Originally Posted by bobbywaves View Post
    In my experience BJ specials have been better +EV, as I never lost. I'm sure there's many others who haven't lost on BJ specials as well. The same simply can't be said for book specials.

    It's a matter of opinion, I prefer the guaranteed win.

    To a point it's an opinion - in some sense I agree, I like the security of a guaranteed win. That said though, as a poker player if you are playing a cash game, is it better to win $200 on each of two days or to win $1000 one day and lose $100 the second? Likewise if you consider say the SBR daily tourneys, is it better to min-cash or close two consecutive days or to win first place one day and not cash the second?

    I don't know the exact EV of a Blackjack promo, depends how long, how fast u play etc. etc. But based on my instincts, them giving us three games today with hugely +EV lines compared to say a one hour blackjack special, the former was a way better EV opportunity..

  3. #108
    trytrytry
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    i never saw a real texas t tech special line listed

    what was it?

  4. #109
    ArunSh
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    Quote Originally Posted by trytrytry View Post
    i never saw a real texas t tech special line listed

    what was it?

    Was Texas Tech +3. Glad I didn't chicken out after the first special got destroyed - second and third both won pretty cleanly for a good day overall, thanks SBR!

  5. #110
    daneblazer
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    Let's have a Black Friday deal in the book...

    i think the main thing about thanksgiving is time. Many don't have an hour to burn on blackjack

  6. #111
    yisman
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    blackjack is not a guaranteed win

    look at the past blackjack threads, every time there were posters who lost points

    the EV of a blackjack special vs. the sportsbook specials we had yesterday are not comparable, and that's without even factoring in the time element involved.

    The main reason is the discrepancy in the limits. Yesterday's NFL, you could've bet 10k.

    Blackjack you can play a lot of hands, but the limit is so low, that no matter how fast you play in an hour (sometimes less), it will not come close to the kind of special we saw on Dallas (loss, but hugely +EV play) or Texas Tech (win).

    The sportsbook special is actually a guaranteed win if you know how to play it.

    Blackjack not only has a lesser EV, it is definitely not a guaranteed win. Over the course of an hour, it is very possible to play basic blackjack strategy and show a loss even with 3/1 blackjack payouts (sometimes you go long runs without hitting one).
    Last edited by yisman; 11-27-15 at 01:46 PM.

  7. #112
    d2bets
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    I made over 25k net pts on Texas Tech/Chicago.
    If SBR book crashes, now you'll all know why.

  8. #113
    SharpAngles
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    Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is....

    The SBR book


    Cowboys made them nice and fat this holiday season.

  9. #114
    BiTeMe UsAdOj
    Profundity
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    Quote Originally Posted by SharpAngles View Post
    Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is....

    The SBR book


    Cowboys made them nice and fat this holiday season.
    Yeah, I truly can't believe the number of peeps that fell for that

    Cowgirls

    Ticket #: 3015401
    Nov 26 12:30 PM
    Nov 26 04:30 PM
    NFL
    NFL
    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [106] DETROIT -145
    [107] CAROLINA -105
    1500.00 / 3448.28 3448.28 WIN
    WIN
    WIN
    11/26/2015 12:10 PM

  10. #115
    mikejamm
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiTeMe UsAdOj View Post
    Yeah, I truly can't believe the number of peeps that fell for that

    Cowgirls

    Ticket #: 3015401
    Nov 26 12:30 PM
    Nov 26 04:30 PM
    NFL
    NFL
    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [106] DETROIT -145
    [107] CAROLINA -105
    1500.00 / 3448.28 3448.28 WIN
    WIN
    WIN
    11/26/2015 12:10 PM
    Hell of a nice hit Bite!
    Points Awarded:

    BiTeMe UsAdOj gave mikejamm 50 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  11. #116
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by SharpAngles View Post
    Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is....

    The SBR book


    Cowboys made them nice and fat this holiday season.
    SBR Book lost 2 of the 3 specials.

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