[Ballerholic]

Hello Everybody! So I decided to start this new thread to keep track of my plays and to help some of you out. I hit a big time parlay for just under $900 two weeks ago. After withdrawing a large sum I went on a hot streak and I now have a roll of $830. Everything is in my previous thread, http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-plays-p3.html. Now what I want to do is start a new thread using the Kelly Criterion and betting 5% of my bankroll. My goal is to make just 2 units a week, at least. If consistent I'll be at around 50k before the end of the year. So without further adiedu, let's get started.

Starting Bankroll: $830

Chicago Bears +4.5 $40.80 to win $40 (5D)

Best of Luck to us all!

[Ballerholic]

Well that is our first winner! The game was a lot closer than it should have been.

YTD: 1-0 +$40.

Teaser-Raptors -3, Cavs -1.5 $44 to win $40

Pelicans-Mavs Under 211 $44 to win $40

Wizards-Thunder Under 218 $44 to win $40

[jjgold]

hard to win 2 units a week guy but good luck

[Ballerholic]

Well last night did not go very well at all. 0-3. To be honest all 3 plays seemed too good to be true and they were. Now down 2 units for the week, we'll have to make it back. I'll have at least two plays tonight, possibly three if we can get a good number on the Clips game.

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 1-3 -$92. 2 more plays to come.

Mavericks +7 $44 to win $40.

The Mavs were beaten by 16 in LA earlier this season. Nowitzki and Jordan got into it then and I think they'll get into it tonight as well. Cuban should be at this game and he alone I expect to have this Mavs team motivated tonight. This is a multiple revenge spot we need to play.

[snip3r2006]

YTD: 1-3 -$92. 2 more plays to come.

Mavericks +7 $44 to win $40.

The Mavs were beaten by 16 in LA earlier this season. Nowitzki and Jordan got into it then and I think they'll get into it tonight as well. Cuban should be at this game and he alone I expect to have this Mavs team motivated tonight. This is a multiple revenge spot we need to play.

GL to you but i think w'll See a statement by La

[Ballerholic]

Grizzlies +7 $44 to win $40

Kings +2 $44 to win $40

[Ballerholic]

GL to you but i think w'll See a statement by La

Thanks, the Clips should be a bit motivated as well. We'll see how it goes.

[Ballerholic]

2-1 night. I don't think it's possible to bet against the Warriors anymore

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 3-4 -$56. 2 plays for tonight, one locked in now.

Buffalo Bills +2.5 $44 to win $40

The Jets are extremely banged up at the moment. Fitzpatrick needs surgery. 2 of the top 3 cornerbacks are missing. The starting and backup safety are both out. Both Wide receivers and starting center are injured. Place kicker is out and had to be put on IR to make room for a FA to play tonight. On the other side the Bills are finally near full health and the Bills know how important this is to Rex. This is Rex Ryan's superbowl, if the Bills lose tonight they travel to Foxborough next week and the season is most likely over.

[Ballerholic]

Alright, just capped another game and I'll be adding two more plays.

Virginia Tech +3 $44 to win $40

GT is extremely banged up and they'll be playing a lot of freshmen tonight. Brewer has been playing amazingly for the hokies and I expect them to come in and at least cover. The past few games between these two teams have been decided by one possession.

Virginia Tech-Georgia Tech Under 53.5 $44 to win $40

Both teams have good defences, and GT are more of a running team. Recently the majority of home games for GT and the majority of away games for VT have gone under. I expect a low scoring Thursday night game

[Ballerholic]

1 more play for tonight.

Phoenix Suns -1.5 $44 to win $40

Phoenix Suns -2 $44 to win $40

CP3 and Reddick out. Revenge spot here for the Suns, and this is a terrible spot schedule wise for the Clips.

[Ballerholic]

going well so far

[Ballerholic]

Great night, hitting all plays and going 4-0. At least 2 plays for today.

YTD: 7-4 +$144

Gonzaga -4 $44 to win $40

This line seems way to short, but playing on a neutral court I don't see how anybody could take Pitt +4. Gonzaga have an exceptional frontcourt, and this should be a good game.

[red12sox]

Good work in here buddy!

[Ballerholic]

Thanks man

[Ballerholic]

Knicks-Cavaliers Under 201 $44 to win $40

All 3 games last season went under this total. The past game between this team went under this total. 2 out of 3 away games for the Cavs have gone under this total so far, and all but one of the Knicks home games this season have gone under this total. I expect this to be a close game until the end. Both team have big guys who can defend the rim, and I expect revenge to be on the Knicks minds.

[Ballerholic]

Orlando Magic +1 $44 to win $40

Bad scheduling spot for the Jazz.

waiting for a better line to take Pacers in game

[Ballerholic]

Indiana Pacers -4 $46 to win $39

[Ballerholic]

Bulls-Hornets Under 200 $44 to win $40

[Ballerholic]

Trailblazers +5.5 $48 to win $40

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 11-4 +$303. Gonzaga game was cancelled for us, who knows which way that game would have gone. 2 plays already locked in for tomorrow.

Mississippi St. +8 $44 to win $40

Auburn pk $44 to win $40

[red12sox]

YTD: 11-4 +$303. Gonzaga game was cancelled for us, who knows which way that game would have gone. 2 plays already locked in for tomorrow.

Mississippi St. +8 $44 to win $40

Auburn pk $44 to win $40

Let's keep that dough Rollin bro

[Ballerholic]

hell yea man, let's get this

Baylor -2.5 $44 to win $40

Detroit Pistons +3.5 $44 to win $40

[Ballerholic]

Pitt -2 $44 to win $40

Sirk is out, he's too important to his team.

[red12sox]

Any late plays man?

[Ballerholic]

No not tonight. Today hasn't gone our way so no need to force anything.

[Ballerholic]

12-8 +$167. Unfortunately it did not go our way today. I was sure Auburn and the Pistons would have covered, but they both threw their games away. Oh well, we've gotten very lucky a few times as well. A few plays for tomorrow.

Jaguars +4.5 $44 to win $40

The Jags are the better team. They have one of the better Rush D in the league and should contain Forsett. They also should not have a problem throwing the ball against this Ravens D.

Seahawks -3 $42 to win $40

Both teams have similar stats so far this season. The only difference is the Seahawks have had the much tougher schedule, and they are in a desperate need to start making a playoff run.

Packers -10.5 $42 to win $40

The Packers have lost two straight, and now host a very bad Lions team. The Lions have had two weeks off, but the Packers do not seem happy and I expect them to try and set things straight with a strong performance. As well, the Pack have been beating much better teams at home this season by at least 10. Last year the Lions came in with a chance for the NFC title in week 17 and lost by 10. They're 1-7 this year and I think this game will be a blowout.

Rams -6.5 $44 to win $40

The Rams are better than the Bears in almost every category. The Bears have not beaten a good team on the road this year. They were killed by a underperforming Seahawks team, then they went and beat a 1-4 KC team, lost to the Lions, and beat a 2-7 defensively challenged Chargers team. The Rams have faired very well at home so far this year and I expect a blowout.

Panthers -4 $44 to win $40

The Panthers a very good team, laying only 4 in Tennessee. I don't understand it, but I can't pass this one up. The Panthers have been terrific against the Pass this season and if they can contain Mariota passing the ball, I don't know how the Titans can win with a subpar running game.

*If you can get the Pistons take them, I'm waiting for the line to come out at my book.

[Ballerholic]

Pistons -4 $44 to win $40

[Ballerholic]

New England Patriots -7 $42 to win $40

[Igor_1965]

Go BB&TB

WagerType:PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
Date:	Team:
Nov 15	NFL [268] OAKLAND -163
Nov 15	NFL [270] DENVER -200
Nov 15	NFL [271] NEW ENGLAND -325
Nov 15	NFL [274] SEATTLE -145
Nov 15	NBA [703] MEMPHIS -150
Risking 1000 SBR To Win 7912.75 SBR

[Igor_1965]

If New England wins and covers the number:
10 betpoints will be transferred to everyone who wishes good luck to OP or to me before any of the games begin

If my parlay wins and New England covers the number:
100 betpoints will be transferred to everyone who wishes good luck to OP or to me before any of the games begin

That said GOOD LUCK!

[Ballerholic]

haha good luck man, that's a huge payday. To be honest I live every game you've chosen, the only questionable one for me is the Raider game.

[Ballerholic]

Grizzlies -4 $44 to win $40

[aggieshawn]

Good Luck

That said GOOD LUCK![/QUOTE]