1. 10-08-15 12:46 PM #36
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by zackaflacka View Post
    you should've taken them +850 to win the ws yesterday before the game... and +450 to win NL pennant
    Not the same thing because they won't win pennant. The Mets/Dodgers NLDS is really the NLCS. In fact, winner of that series probably wins World Series. AL is so weak that I actually like Astros.
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  2. 10-08-15 12:53 PM #37
    jt315
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not the same thing because they won't win pennant. The Mets/Dodgers NLDS is really the NLCS. In fact, winner of that series probably wins World Series. AL is so weak that I actually like Astros.
    Mets 30 games over .500 against NL losing teams.
    12 under vs. winning NL teams and the AL.
    You're saying Mets beat either Cubs or Cards if they advance?
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  3. 10-08-15 12:55 PM #38
    SportsGEEEEK
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    This is 2015. The Cardinals had one of best teams in the league in recent years, so of course they did well. THIS year and right now, Cubs are better team, don't get blinded by the 100 wins and overachieving ERA numbers.
    It's hard to not get blinded by 100 wins, it doesn't happen by accident. This year, Cubs aren't better, they didn't win the division. Right now, the Cubs are hotter. This is typical Cardinals. When you least expect them to achieve, they will. We thought they wouldn't come near 100 wins this year when Wainwright went down for the year but, they finish with the best record in the MLB. What the Cubs have going for them is, they're the "hot" team entering the playoffs. What I don't like about the Cubs in this series, Arrieta pitched last night. The Cardinals just have this way of knowing how to win games in any way, shape or form. It's incredible. It's because they've been here plenty of times before. I'm leaning Cardinals in this series. We just agree to disagree in this one, LT. Best of luck to whatever you play.
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  4. 10-08-15 12:57 PM #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by jt315 View Post
    Mets 30 games over .500 against NL losing teams.
    12 under vs. winning NL teams and the AL.
    You're saying Mets beat either Cubs or Cards if they advance?
    Mets win World Series if they advance because that have best overall starting rotation in playoffs. Dodgers easily have best 1-2 (and one if the best of all time), but 3-4 starters are weak.
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  5. 10-08-15 01:01 PM #40
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsGEEEEK View Post
    It's hard to not get blinded by 100 wins, it doesn't happen by accident. This year, Cubs aren't better, they didn't win the division. Right now, the Cubs are hotter. This is typical Cardinals. When you least expect them to achieve, they will. We thought they wouldn't come near 100 wins this year when Wainwright went down for the year but, they finish with the best record in the MLB. What the Cubs have going for them is, they're the "hot" team entering the playoffs. What I don't like about the Cubs in this series, Arrieta pitched last night. The Cardinals just have this way of knowing how to win games in any way, shape or form. It's incredible. It's because they've been here plenty of times before. I'm leaning Cardinals in this series. We just agree to disagree in this one, LT. Best of luck to whatever you play.
    I am looking at my ratings for the entire season, not just during Cubs hot run. Over the whole year, Cubs have better starters and better bullpen. Keep in mind my model is sabre based and could not care less about common stats like ERA and WHIP. We shall see.

    Good Luck to You too.
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  6. 10-08-15 01:03 PM #41
    cankid
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    Cubs they should take it I believem Molina is s truggling with a thumb injury, big part of the Cards not 100%
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  7. 10-08-15 01:03 PM #42
    jt315
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Mets win World Series if they advance because that have best overall starting rotation in playoffs. Dodgers easily have best 1-2 (and one if the best of all time), but 3-4 starters are weak.
    Facing Arrieta game 1,4 and 7 in the NLCS .
    Good luck with that.
    Last edited by jt315; 10-08-15 at 01:07 PM.
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  8. 10-08-15 01:08 PM #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by jt315 View Post
    Facing Arrieta game 1,4 and 7 in the NLCS .
    Good luck with that.
    No problem, Arrieta in Game 1 and 4, Mets win the rest and don't see him a third time.
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  9. 10-08-15 01:09 PM #44
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    Anyhow, one series, or better yet one game at a time.
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  10. 10-08-15 01:42 PM #45
    jjgold
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    All the experts here
    Love it

    Most lost everything in the careers

    Vegas rarely wrong men
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  11. 10-08-15 01:46 PM #46
    gregmav1
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    I don't want to repost it all, so I'll just say I hope people look at what I said in multiple posts on page 3 of this thread -

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...s-cubs-p3.html
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  12. 10-08-15 02:29 PM #47
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    Totally disagree, Cubs sweep in 3.


    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    Cardinal starters are very mediocre.


    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Who has the better pitching?
    Cubs easily.




    Cubs starters overall ERA = 3.36

    Cardinals starters overall ERA = 2.99


    ONLY advantage Cubs have in this series is that Cardinals played this season with key injuries throughout
    and they still have some of those key injuries.
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  13. 10-08-15 03:01 PM #48
    CubsFan1908
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    ERA is an awful stat.
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  14. 10-08-15 03:01 PM #49
    gregmav1
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    Fidel ^^ Word. Go Cards. Go Veterans. Slow and Steady like always.
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  15. 10-08-15 03:56 PM #50
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post












    Cubs starters overall ERA = 3.36

    Cardinals starters overall ERA = 2.99


    ONLY advantage Cubs have in this series is that Cardinals played this season with key injuries throughout
    and they still have some of those key injuries.
    Stop looking at ERA. Cubs starters have far superior sabre numbers. My fourth rated Cubs starter (Hendricks) grades out almost equal to my highest rated Cardinals starter (Lackey). Cubs should have the pitching edge in every game, hence my "daring" sweep prediction.
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  16. 10-08-15 04:36 PM #51
    Seto
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    LT if you feel so strongly about Chicago winning the series and even have them sweeping how are you not pounding them at -115? I know you're a big numbers guy and we all have our betting styles but seems weird to me.
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  17. 10-08-15 04:38 PM #52
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seto View Post
    LT if you feel so strongly about Chicago winning the series and even have them sweeping how are you not pounding them at -115? I know you're a big numbers guy and we all have our betting styles but seems weird to me.
    -115 is a bullshit line.
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  18. 10-08-15 04:48 PM #53
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seto View Post
    LT if you feel so strongly about Chicago winning the series and even have them sweeping how are you not pounding them at -115? I know you're a big numbers guy and we all have our betting styles but seems weird to me.
    Yeah I have a tough time pricing series without knowing exact pitching matchups throughout, which is why I do not makes series bets unless I get at least decent + odds.
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