[eidolon]

So I found this information to be interesting and maybe/hopefully useful (please correct the numbers if you find them to be wrong, but this is what I found)


Since 2003, lines -2, -2.5, -3 have overall been losers in the long run:
line...........................Favorite team wins........................................ ..Favorite line wins
-3...... 555 300-255-0... 54.1%....................... 1.87 228-283-44............. 44.6%
-2.5.... 150 79-71-0...... 52.7%....................... 1.79 69-81-0................. 46.0%
-2...... 42 22-20-0........ 52.4%........................ 1.33 19-20-3................. 48.7%

[unusialsusp5]

break it down to home teams favored by those numbers and road teams favored by those numbers. you're onto something but need it more defined.

[terrortwylight]

seems to be a lot of 2-3 pt lines this week. interesting.

[TheMoneyShot]

We're onto something here fellas

[AchillesTG]

That is exactly why you Tease the Dog, of course with proper handicapping!

Tease Dogs +1.5 to +2.5

This way your are crossing 4 of the 5 key numbers(3,4,6, and 7). Sometimes they are hard to find, but it increases your odds of having a positive outcome.

[Jupiter333]

Here is what the database has going back over 25 years.

Home

-2 90-80-4 ATS

-2' 111-104

-3 232-253-32


Away

-2 59-55-1

-2' 73-95

-3 192-178-37

[Ghenghis Kahn]

those stats are meaningless since the extra point is no longer automatic.

[shaunovery]

Yes lines are pointless , so many different factors and with teams going for 2 a lot more this yr