1. 07-27-15 06:54 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Monday, 7/27/15

    5 MLB Play Monday

    Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
    Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
    Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
    Brewers +158 (Heritage)


    YTD: 358-322-19, +69.12
    Points Awarded:

    Conqueror gave LT Profits 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    zero86ea gave LT Profits 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Fieldysnuts44 gave LT Profits 12 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 07-27-15 06:59 AM #2
    Conqueror
    Conqueror's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-08-13
    Posts: 16,120
    Betpoints: 5662

    You'll surely pass the 70-unit mark today. Thanks for the good work.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 07-27-15 07:00 AM #3
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5251

    I like the Under 9 in that one LT.
    Maybe you'll have a write-up later on that one?
    Right now it's not high on my list anyhow.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 07-27-15 07:03 AM #4
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969
    Betpoints: 0

    LT what line/percentage to you get on CWS/BOS? If you wouldn't mind sharing.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 07-27-15 07:22 AM #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Ra77er View Post
    LT what line/percentage to you get on CWS/BOS? If you wouldn't mind sharing.
    Boston 56% (-128), 10.1
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 07-27-15 07:23 AM #6
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    You'll surely pass the 70-unit mark today. Thanks for the good work.
    Don't put the whammy on me now!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 07-27-15 08:00 AM #7
    spro23
    spro23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-15
    Posts: 1,129
    Betpoints: 8091

    Danks has a nice little scoreless inning streak going. He might surprise everyone against boston despite his shit ERA
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 07-27-15 08:07 AM #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Rangers a sold play

    LT looking to hit 70 unit mark today
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 07-27-15 08:19 AM #9
    spro23
    spro23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-15
    Posts: 1,129
    Betpoints: 8091

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Rangers a sold play
    you have a lot of faith in their pitcher Harrison? why do you think that? The Yankees offense is pretty good
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 07-27-15 08:21 AM #10
    Regul8er
    Wordd
    Regul8er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-07
    Posts: 10,666
    Betpoints: 4101

    Because his system shows value in Texas.......Rangers have a pretty solid offense themselves, while Nova is no ace.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 07-27-15 08:43 AM #11
    unusialsusp5
    unusialsusp5's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-18-10
    Posts: 4,184
    Betpoints: 3601

    kyle lohse is a scary pitcher to back. heston almost threw another no-hitter last out. although, i'm sure the model shows SF slightly overpriced, i wouldn't be brimming with confidence with that MIL pick.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 07-27-15 08:53 AM #12
    Nitronett
    Nitronett's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-11-14
    Posts: 116
    Betpoints: 786

    Any confidence in rockies?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 07-27-15 08:56 AM #13
    STAX
    STAX's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-13
    Posts: 3,718
    Betpoints: 1

    good luck LT, I love love love the DBacks today... Robbie Ray has impressed me this year... got him in a couple lineups in DFS tonight...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 07-27-15 09:03 AM #14
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by spro23 View Post
    Danks has a nice little scoreless inning streak going. He might surprise everyone against boston despite his shit ERA
    Probably just fluky variance, Danks still has a 4.30 FIP and 4.50 xFIP that are basically in line with his ERA.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 07-27-15 09:11 AM #15
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by spro23 View Post
    you have a lot of faith in their pitcher Harrison? why do you think that? The Yankees offense is pretty good
    What's wrong with Harrison? He seemed fine in his second start back throwing six scoreless in COLORADO, he should only get stronger with more starts. And remember he is coming back from back surgery, there was never anything wrong with his arm. Nova on the other hand is not yet where he needs to be following Tommy John, averaging 4.55 strikeouts vs. 3.03 walks and 1.21 home runs allowed per nine innings.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 07-27-15 09:12 AM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    kyle lohse is a scary pitcher to back. heston almost threw another no-hitter last out. although, i'm sure the model shows SF slightly overpriced, i wouldn't be brimming with confidence with that MIL pick.
    Agree Lohse is scary these days, but you are also right about Brew being undervalued.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 07-27-15 09:14 AM #17
    Nitronett
    Nitronett's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-11-14
    Posts: 116
    Betpoints: 786

    Love the analysis anything on col or kc?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 07-27-15 09:16 AM #18
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    Any confidence in rockies?
    I was actually considering Rockies, passing for now. Model does love them, only has Cubs 57% (-133).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 07-27-15 09:19 AM #19
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    Love the analysis anything on col or kc?
    Neutral on KC, I get Cleve 52% (-108)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 07-27-15 09:22 AM #20
    Nitronett
    Nitronett's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-11-14
    Posts: 116
    Betpoints: 786

    Thanks LT. I love the texas pick as yanks usually struggle vs lefties
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 07-27-15 11:20 AM #21
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    Any confidence in rockies?
    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    I was actually considering Rockies, passing for now. Model does love them, only has Cubs 57% (-133).
    I just added them
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 07-27-15 11:20 AM #22
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    2 MLB Additions

    7 MLB Play Monday

    Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
    Rockies +153 (DSI)
    Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
    Reds / Cardinals OVER 7 -120 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
    Brewers +158 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 07-27-15 11:51 AM #23
    wfoster2
    wfoster2's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-22-15
    Posts: 23
    Betpoints: 474

    Would you still bet on Reds OVER 7.5 at EVEN money?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 07-27-15 12:03 PM #24
    charcoalbbq
    charcoalbbq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-18-15
    Posts: 220
    Betpoints: 266

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    7 MLB Play Monday

    Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
    Rockies +153 (DSI)
    Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
    Reds / Cardinals OVER 7 -120 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
    Brewers +158 (Heritage)
    what are your thoughts on playing Braves and Rockies first half? Both team's bullpen sucks now and would suck if we lose the lead in the 8th/9th innings
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 07-27-15 01:49 PM #25
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by wfoster2 View Post
    Would you still bet on Reds OVER 7.5 at EVEN money?
    No, would want at least +110 at 7.5.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 07-27-15 02:37 PM #26
    RayrayJ
    RayrayJ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-15
    Posts: 5
    Betpoints: 132

    Hey LT, what does your model say about Cards today? thanks
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 07-27-15 02:55 PM #27
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RayrayJ View Post
    Hey LT, what does your model say about Cards today? thanks
    Cards 65% (-186)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 07-27-15 03:22 PM #28
    BeanTownClown88
    BeanTownClown88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-08-13
    Posts: 1,961
    Betpoints: 4131

    Win or lose LT, it's compelling watching your unit count.
    BOL!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 07-27-15 03:55 PM #29
    nyymvp
    nyymvp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-24-11
    Posts: 213
    Betpoints: 1908

    Hey, I've been reading these for a while, keep up the good work. Quick question: Is each play the same amount?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 07-27-15 04:06 PM #30
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by nyymvp View Post
    Hey, I've been reading these for a while, keep up the good work. Quick question: Is each play the same amount?
    yes.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 07-27-15 04:20 PM #31
    dirtycash66
    dirtycash66's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-12
    Posts: 2,958
    Betpoints: 18610

    Damn, no under play today? Thats what i look forward to the most
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 07-27-15 04:26 PM #32
    El Sol
    El Sol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-17-08
    Posts: 876
    Betpoints: 1802

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    but you are also right about Brew being undervalued.
    seems to be the consensus. My program has been spitting out MIL all season long

    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    Damn, no under play today? Thats what i look forward to the most
    I second this. Never comfortable betting overs as squares betting overs are a Books bread and butter, but I will blindly follow. Good luck
    Last edited by El Sol; 07-27-15 at 04:36 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 07-27-15 04:30 PM #33
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by charcoalbbq View Post
    what are your thoughts on playing Braves and Rockies first half? Both team's bullpen sucks now and would suck if we lose the lead in the 8th/9th innings
    Good question

    Amazing season LT, BOL to you and everyone
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 07-27-15 04:39 PM #34
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    8th MLB Play

    8 MLB Play Monday

    Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
    Royals / Indians OVER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Rockies +153 (DSI)
    Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
    Reds / Cardinals OVER 7 -120 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
    Brewers +158 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 07-27-15 04:40 PM #35
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Sorry guys, all three totals today are Overs.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »