1. 07-17-15 12:19 AM #71
    MoMoneyMoVaughn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Plaza23 View Post
    I use sportsdatabase.com to look up in play scenarios on baseball.

    The Royals are 85-5 the last two seasons when leading by > 1 run after the 5th inning.

    The Royals are 101-8 when leading by at least 3 runs at any point in a game.

    So if I have those types of situations come up where the win probability is more than 90%, as long as the juice is less than -900 I can play it and feel good.

    The easiest way to play baseball is bet teams live that have great bullpens, or bet teams early that get a 3 or 4 run lead. Usually 5Dimes will put out something like -650 if a team gets a 3 or 4 run lead in say the 2nd or 3rd inning. But the actual probability of that team winning is far greater - like 90%+.

    I only use this live betting method for baseball. Basketball, especially NBA, is stupid to be live unless you are just hunting better prices on the underdogs. There are so many runs in an NBA game that you could probably just trade live and make some dough. But just taking a team that gets a lead in the 2nd Q and thinking they'll hold that lead the entire game is dumb. I wouldn't recommend that.

    But baseball it works for me.

    Ah I gotcha. I did not realize you meant the Royals.

    I was looking at a game involving two teams with garbage bull pens and using Expected Win%
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  2. 07-17-15 04:26 PM #72
    jjgold
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    If the team is -575 and you think they have a very good chance to win you must make the wager and lay $575 to win $100
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  3. 07-17-15 06:41 PM #73
    manny24
    pay Bobby
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    let the losers pay your juice and just focus on winning
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  4. 07-17-15 06:43 PM #74
    Smoke
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    Manniest knew mama smoke make eveeything OK
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  5. 07-17-15 06:58 PM #75
    LEOLEO
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    primo, lays the juice
    all day
    everygoddamn day    @#!@!
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  6. 07-17-15 07:00 PM #76
    manny24
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    Primo is one of my favorite new posters
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  7. 07-17-15 07:07 PM #77
    Smoke
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    Thanks manniest
    #mamasmoke
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  8. 07-17-15 07:37 PM #78
    RubberKettle
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    Did Brock Landers make this tutorial?
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  9. 07-17-15 07:58 PM #79
    b1slickguy
    WDKYWMYAK
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  10. 07-29-15 09:47 AM #80
    Big Bear
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    we laying the juice today coach?
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  11. 07-29-15 10:36 AM #81
    jjgold
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    I might have too

    Its a tough card
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  12. 08-08-15 10:24 AM #82
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    JJ where was this man, you never told us

    looks nice
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  13. 08-08-15 11:05 AM #83
    jjgold
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    Reno
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  14. 08-08-15 11:29 AM #84
    Al Masters
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn View Post
    Fish Head



    Fishead spoted at slot machines recently..way to beat em Fishy.


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  15. 08-08-15 01:18 PM #85
    jjgold
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    What maniacs when a guy goes berserk… There are so many unstable people in the world today I think Waymore then years ago and I don't know the reason
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  16. 08-08-15 05:37 PM #86
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    What maniacs when a guy goes berserk… There are so many unstable people in the world today I think Waymore then years ago and I don't know the reason
    "Not having Money" is the ruler of all evil.
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  17. 08-08-15 05:46 PM #87
    jjgold
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    Bear yes

    We had a few kids here embezzle points
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