1. 05-25-15 05:11 PM #1
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    NBA: When Was The Last Time You Saw A -5 + Closeout Game An The Underdog Covered?

    I'm being 100% serious here. Even the most elite here won't figure it out.

    I've been wagering for 15+ years and honestly... I don't recall it ever happening.



    Again... it's a closeout game -5 or more. The underdog actually covered.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 05-25-15 05:15 PM #2
    OckertCR
    OckertCR's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-14
    Posts: 641
    Betpoints: 823

    How many of those teams lost by 35 in the previous game?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 05-25-15 05:23 PM #3
    KiDBaZkiT
    September 2021 POTM
    KiDBaZkiT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-09
    Posts: 14,962
    Betpoints: 1291

    Off the top of my head I wanna say Celtics/Magic series in 09 or 2010. Pretty sure Celts were up 3-0 and was 5 or 5.5 if I remember correctly and Orlando won/covered.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 05-25-15 05:28 PM #4
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Knicks beat the Heat as an 8 point underdog down 3-0 in 2012. Last one I can think of.

    Boston+8 pushed this year against Cleveland, but the line was around 7/7.5 most of the time. Still, if you got a good line you could have pushed.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 05-25-15 05:30 PM #5
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Uh, last round. Clippers/Rockets, game six.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 05-25-15 05:33 PM #6
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Oh wait I thought he was talking about teams down 3-0 for some reason. Well yeah, if it's just closeout games obviously there are plenty of examples then.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 05-25-15 05:33 PM #7
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Uh, last round. Clippers/Rockets, game six.
    Giant... you're hurting my point of view.




    So in a closeout game.... -5 or higher... what would you say is the success rate in the favorite covering? 65-70%?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 05-25-15 05:34 PM #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Every sharpening knives status on the Houston Rockets tonight and if you're not you are a square
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 05-25-15 05:37 PM #9
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Giant... you're hurting my point of view.




    So in a closeout game.... -5 or higher... what would you say is the success rate in the favorite covering? 65-70%?
    No clue, honestly.

    It seems like when teams used to get up 3-0, the losing team would mail it in the fourth game. It doesn't seem that way as much anymore though. I'm not exactly sure why.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 05-25-15 05:44 PM #10
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    No clue, honestly.

    It seems like when teams used to get up 3-0, the losing team would mail it in the fourth game. It doesn't seem that way as much anymore though. I'm not exactly sure why.
    I was rather surprised with the opening line Game 3. Everyone hammered Houston it seemed? Roughly PK -1. I always use the theory 6 point swing on the line from HOME to ROAD. G.S. -10 at home... should of been -4 on the Road. Oddly enough... it was PK. 10 point swing from HOME to ROAD. But this Game 4 line is right where it should of been to begin with. To me it's just crazy to see G.S. -5 on the ROAD. I just thought Vegas was trying to get your action on Houston. But who really knows?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 05-25-15 06:44 PM #11
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Every sharpening knives status on the Houston Rockets tonight and if you're not you are a square
    stuff like this scares me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »