[EaglesPhan36]

I've actually changed my mind on this one.

[G5] Chicago-Milwaukee Over 16.5 @ +114

[EaglesPhan36]

Should have trusted my instincts. Need like 3 OT for this.

[Pick'nParlays]

its ok EP

3props are not the best plays this early

[EaglesPhan36]

They are if you're not an idiot about ones that don't make sense aka that last one


Took Over 14.5 off the board in Memphis-Portland. Was actually the one I thought about taking of the last two, but decided against knowledge to go with a dumb one earlier instead.

[jjgold]

These type prop that seems so unpredictable you just don't know how the team is going to play that night and what strategy they're going to use

Anyway you do your homework Eagle at least you have a chance and all these games

[EaglesPhan36]

Most of them have been damn close to the # most nights. Portland-Memphis the last two games literally went over in the final minutes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 4-6 [-1.29]

[EaglesPhan36]

4.29.15
[G4] Atlanta-Brooklyn Over 17.5 @ -120
There have been two great shooting games in this series that easily passed this number and two poor shooting nights that went under this number. Last game was good shooting to get Brooklyn back into the series. Back at home, thinking Atlanta should continue their good 3 pt pace. This should come down to Brooklyn adding 6-8 as the deciding factor into whether or not this gets over.

[EaglesPhan36]

BTW it appears DSI is pussying out on these props today. Got the above on at 5Dimes who also has the Memphis-Portland # at 14.5. Likely to try that over, but going to think about it a bit. That number has been very close the last few games in that series, but trended over.

[EaglesPhan36]

Gonna be rough if Brooklyn is gonna shoot like this tonight. Gonna need ATL to hit a dozen probably minimum to give this a boost.

[EaglesPhan36]

Apparently the term pussying out gets results. DSI has the Memphis-Portland 3 prop.

[Pick'nParlays]

i watch this prop every year

gets less profitable as playoff teams are eliminated and books get focused.

just my humble opinion EP, but I hope you get back to your bread and butter.

[EaglesPhan36]

Wound up an easy cash.

[EaglesPhan36]

[G5] Memphis-Portland Over 14.5 @ -115
Calathes wound up being a big part of this cashing the last game with four makes as he got inserted into the starting lineup with Conley out. This still matters more for Portland to get theirs for this to have a chance. They have 33 makes in this series so far with at least eight threes in 3/4. Memphis is never going to put up a high volume amount of threes, but if they can hit their 5-6, I think this goes, especially if Afflalo can get some more minutes for Portland. It will likely be close again, but I'm feeling froggy on this one.

[EaglesPhan36]

No way this one gets close. Horrible blah game

[EaglesPhan36]

Need McCollum to rub off on any Memphis player ... Griz can't buy a three off open looks. McCollum unconscious - maybe he can make 14?

[EaglesPhan36]

Classic. Grizzlies 1/14. Prop finishes at 14.

[EaglesPhan36]

Guess the books - especially DSI - going back to pussy mode on these and not posting.

[EaglesPhan36]

I pussy shamed them again. Yes! Props up @ 18 for ATL-BRK. I'm on the mother f-er.

5.1.15
[G6]Brookyln-Atlanta Over 18 @ -115

[Pick'nParlays]

very very limited props up at 5d

[EaglesPhan36]

I see they are just now rolling out. Pretty pathetic these Fs are waiting this late for stuff. They must be getting beat a lot on these.

[Pick'nParlays]

rolling out sooo late

took the over on Millsap pts+reb over 24.5

[EaglesPhan36]

So glad ATL is moving on. They are great for Overs.

[Pick'nParlays]

congrats to us both

felt good to finish early 3rd quarter

[EaglesPhan36]

5.3.15
[G1]Atlanta-Washington Over 18.5 @ +100
The majority of this is on the Hawks to get double digit threes made. I think Washington has plenty to add to the mix though. In the 1R, ATL had 67 makes in six games, while WASH had 43 makes in four games. The Wiz got especially hot late with 27 of those makes in the last two games of the Toronto series. This series to me is an Overs try every game until it proves to not be in back-to-back games. You've got two teams who have shown the ability to get double digit threes and that always makes this a good shot.

[EaglesPhan36]

[G1] Golden State-Memphis Over 17 @ +110
I think this is a fair #, but I do like taking a chance with the plus money. If Memphis can make anything, this will be a probable over. The problem of course is that Memphis' 3 pt shooting is poor. This is still a team that averages about five per game and the feeling is that if they can get their average, then this should always have a chance. G-State can easily crush this by making a dozen or more any given day. In the 1st round, they only had one poor game where they had less than eleven makes. My feeling here is that if the Warriors are hitting theirs and getting their 11 or 12, this will always have a great shot.

[EaglesPhan36]

So pretty much hit that to a T and Memphis again not doing enough. Shame when one team hits 13 that you can't even make four to push. At least today Memphis just isn't even making an effort to take 3s, not just shooting bricks like they did last round. Well I mean they still shoot bricks, but a lot of the attempts I think have come in garbage time.

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 7-8 [-0.54]
Expecting ATL-WAS to be 19.5 or 20 for the rest of the series. Hoping for a middle type of # for CLE-CHI. Think that could be a good overs series even with Love out. LAC-HOU # likely to be set somewhere like the DAL-HOU series which will make that one difficult to bet. Would probably think unders first there, but gonna see how it sets up.

[EaglesPhan36]

5.4.15
[G1] Cleveland-Chicago Over 18 @ +100
While Love's absence takes away a solid three point shooter, it should not effect the rate of 3s that Cleveland puts up and that should give this number a chance. When Love was out via injury or rest in the regular season, the Cavs still put up a large volume of three point attempts. They averaged 10 makes during the regular season on 27 attempts. In their 1st round series with Boston, they made 39 in four games. Chicago was a bit Jekyll & Hyde in their series with Milwaukee. Over six games, the Bulls banged hom 67 threes. It was a road-centric three point show with 39 of those coming on the road in three games on 80+ attempts. That could bode well here. The last regular season meeting between these two came on April 5th without Love. In that one, there were 64 combined three point attempts with 27 makes. The other three regular season meetings saw 16, 17 & 19 makes. It may take 50 shots for this to have a legit shot as these two teams can get hot, but do more damage on a higher volume of shot attempts. Give me 50 or more three attempts though and I am on this number for the series.

[EaglesPhan36]

Passing on the Clips-Rockets @ 20. None of the regular season meetings had Howard involved, so I'd like to see how it plays out with him in the game. I would tend to think this might go under, but obviously with Houston they can hit 12-15 on any given night to blow that up. I don't think the number will get larger this series barring a ridiculous shooting night tonight, so this will probably be around 19-21 for the series maybe dipping up and down due to the previous game.

[EaglesPhan36]

F-ing agony on this one.

[EaglesPhan36]

Gotta dig that Clips-Rockets - 66 attempts and 20+ makes. Books gonna have to bump it up to at least 21 I would think. Be interesting though when Paul comes back because they'll lose the threes Rivers accounted for I would think.

[EaglesPhan36]

5.5.15
[G2] Atlanta-Washington Over 18 @ -115
3 units.

[EaglesPhan36]

Can't believe 5dimes has it at 18. Unloaded. Was expecting it bumped up from G1.

[EaglesPhan36]

Guess I will have to say it again, DSI pussying out on these #s.... have the prop listed with no #s next to them for both games. I should offer to make lines for them.