1. #36
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by sneakerhead View Post
    head to head? Auburn and Mississippi are out though and there is no way it will come down to a tie breaker between all four
    It is not impossible. IF Alabama beats MSU, Ole Miss beats MSU and Auburn beats Alabama, they will all have two losses assuming they win their other games. Yes that is a lot, but none of the pieces are far fetched.

  2. #37
    Book Crook
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    MSU beating Miss. = maybe
    AU beating Alabama...at home...after that shit they pulled last year... = no freaking way!

  3. #38
    yankees10
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    I thought there was a chance they could was just wondering who would win the division should it happen cause they would have all beaten each other right ??

  4. #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by yankees10 View Post
    I thought there was a chance they could was just wondering who would win the division should it happen cause they would have all beaten each other right ??
    I think Auburn because given the scenario I mentioned above, them and Ole Miss would be 2-1 vs. the other tied teams while Bama and MSU would be 1-2, and Auburn beat Miss head-to-head.

  5. #40
    yankees10
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    Ok thx for clarifying !!

  6. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by yankees10 View Post
    Ok thx for clarifying !!
    Remember that was only for the scenario I mentioned. Not sure if there are other combinations that could result in 4-way tie.

  7. #42
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    Miss. State is due for a loss. They didn't look good against Kentucky. They barely escaped at home against Arkansas. This is going to be a tough environment for them. Plus, I think they can afford a loss and still get in the playoff. If they lose to Bama but beat Ole Miss on the road, they still are more than likely in the final 4. Of course it would depend how they lose next week, whether it's close or a blowout.
    Bama barely escaped against Arkansas too.

  8. #43
    Sam Odom
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    Looks like a solid 7 is the 'opener'

    Sammy is passing ... may bet really small just for action/interest

  9. #44
    Ralphie Halves
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    Books know that players want to pound Bama at -6.5, so we may never even see it get there.

    Everyone on SBR likes Bama. If I can get +7.5 on MSU, I'm taking it. I like you guys, but fading the forum when they're all on the same team is hitting at about a 95% clip.

    You wanna talk +ev, look no further.

  10. #45
    boss_of_um
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    Sims...Not so good!!!!
    you need to add 'on the road' to that statement.
    At home I think he has the highest Qb rating in the country. Or Top 3 at worst.

  11. #46
    lyon804
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    Lay the pts or take St on the ML. Reasoning is simple. If the game plays out like it should Bama will beat miss st handily. If not, most likely Alabama will not win a close game at home against them. Alabama usually does not win close games at home.

  12. #47
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Their "crap schedule" is better than Baylor & TCU. Their Ooc schedule is hilariously bad and won't have the caliber wins Miss St. will.

    It will be-

    1. 1 loss or less SEC champ
    2. Fsu
    3. 1 loss PAC 12 champ
    4. 1 loss sec team

    1 loss big 12 champ
    Ohio state

    After that who knows.
    Not even close. If Florida State wins out they are #1. Oregon, who is better than any SEC team should be #2. The SEC Champ (if they have lost only one game) should be #3. Baylor will be #4. Conference champions pull a lot more weight than some dumb arse idiots who actually believe that the SEC is that good. They are NOT. It does not matter if the SEC Champ is #2 and Oregon #3. They will play each other in the Rose Bowl, a place where Oregon has already defeated UCLA 42-30. This time, Oregon will have the "home field" advantage. The SEC gets one team, and one team only in the Playoffs.

  13. #48
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie Halves View Post
    Books know that players want to pound Bama at -6.5, so we may never even see it get there.

    Everyone on SBR likes Bama. If I can get +7.5 on MSU, I'm taking it. I like you guys, but fading the forum when they're all on the same team is hitting at about a 95% clip.

    You wanna talk +ev, look no further.
    This is the beauty of playing in Vegas, and not one of those rip off books off shore. I took 'Bama -6.5 at the Wynn, and took Miss. State +7.5 at the old LV. I do not mind middling 7 at all. You are also spot on about fading this forum. When they all agree, they are just terrible. You really have to wonder just how many people in here actually place wagers because they have allegedly wagered and lost so much.

  14. #49
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie Halves View Post

    If I can get +7.5 on MSU, I'm taking it.

    Then you should love +8

  15. #50
    Lorne
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    Maybe someone can answer this for me. Now that Miss St. is at +8.5, does anyone know what the largest underdog spread for a number 1 ranked team is of all time?

  16. #51
    tony_come
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    Take bama!

  17. #52
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    This is the beauty of playing in Vegas, and not one of those rip off books off shore. I took 'Bama -6.5 at the Wynn, and took Miss. State +7.5 at the old LV. I do not mind middling 7 at all. You are also spot on about fading this forum. When they all agree, they are just terrible. You really have to wonder just how many people in here actually place wagers because they have allegedly wagered and lost so much.
    So youre not taking a true side on the game? When it doesnt middle then what, youre fine with that?

  18. #53
    Ralphie Halves
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    Then you should love +8
    I love my laziness even better.

    +9 some places, and not many takers. I might just keep waiting.

  19. #54
    Lorne
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    So I found that Norte Dame was #1 and got +8.5 points against Alabama in 2012. Are there any other games that were higher that the #1 ranked team was an underdog?

  20. #55
    TheMoneyShot
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    MISS STATE +8.5 ALL DAY......... ALL DAY

    Kiffin calling plays??? Call plays against that #1 team in the nation you're going against. Game will be close. Could careless who wins the game... but +8.5 is an ALL DAY STEAL!!!!!

  21. #56
    TheMoneyShot
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    BAMA LOVERS pushing the line. That's all it is...

  22. #57
    Spedizzo
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    There should be 3 SEC teams in the final 4

    Oregon should be put in as a consolation for blowing their load during the stretch the last few years, but they won't beat an SEC defense

    This year's Florida State team and TCU is a joke. Although I am sure Florida will eliminate Florida State from contention if Miami doesn't

  23. #58
    Ralphie Halves
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    Bama 25-25-1 in home games as faves ATS under Saban.

  24. #59
    Magnolia Slim
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie Halves View Post
    Bama 25-25-1 in home games as faves ATS under Saban.
    Yeah, but nick is notorious for letting off the gas second half cause they are usually skull FUKKING teams. One of my biggest wagers was when he played at col state and the col head coach was a former coordinator under Saban. Col st covered easily. So I think these numbers don't pertain to the game against msu.

  25. #60
    dfish
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie Halves View Post
    Bama 25-25-1 in home games as faves ATS under Saban.
    Saban not one to run up the score ,laying big points that is

  26. #61
    pavyracer
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    I took Bama ML and Miss St +8. Hoping to cash both or at least split.
    Points Awarded:

    dfish gave pavyracer 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  27. #62
    Magnolia Slim
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    Quote Originally Posted by dfish View Post
    Saban not one to run up the score ,laying big points that is
    Right, he is a very conservative coach. He gets the big lead then runs it up the middle the second half so he grinds the clock to avoid injuries and also he is not going to run anything for future opponents to utilize against him.

  28. #63
    Ralphie Halves
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    Good points fellas. Still not 100% sure what to do here.

    Blindly fading the forum when it's this lopsided is just way too good of a bet. Seriously, I can't remember the last time they actually won one.

    But Bama is start to finish 10 points better than MSU at home at least.

    Tick tick tick......

  29. #64
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I took Bama ML and Miss St +8. Hoping to cash both or at least split.
    I dont see the rationale in doing it that way.

  30. #65
    Ted Sheckler
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    Tease IT!
    Miss St!

  31. #66
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lorne View Post
    Maybe someone can answer this for me. Now that Miss St. is at +8.5, does anyone know what the largest underdog spread for a number 1 ranked team is of all time?
    Before Tommie Frazier and Osborne got it right they were a high double digit dog to Charlie ward in the orange bowl as the nations' number one. A few years ago manti teo's secret love team was 10.5 point dog to bama in national championship game. Should have been a 30.5 point line.

  32. #67
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    I dont see the rationale in doing it that way.
    I don't think Bama loses so if they win and cover I get my money back..if they win and don't cover I win 2X.

  33. #68
    Molibra
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    I believe ND was +10 in the 2012 NC game against Bama.

  34. #69
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I don't think Bama loses so if they win and cover I get my money back..if they win and don't cover I win 2X.
    Then just bet Alabama ML only. If you want a shot at 2x and are that confident, bet the ML 2x. I think Bama wins too but will most likely pass because I don't lay those kinds of odds. But I wouldn't criticize anyone doing so with Bama ML here.

  35. #70
    daneblazer
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    Laying 9 points here is a joke. Go check out what teams did the week after playing LSU. It's not pretty.

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