1. #1
    jjgold
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    Any real pro Gambers coming back with Baltimore tonight

    If you do not agree with me I think you do not know the industry and or semi or major Square which is not a bad thing because it is the norm.

    The question is why am I on Baltimore?

  2. #2
    grease lightnin
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    Because they're DUE

  3. #3
    Smoke
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    Im thinking balty but 1st 5 innings only

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    Guys law of percentages goes into my formulas

  5. #5
    RollinDo
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    I thought backing Baltimore was called chasing your losses, no?
    I went with Baltimore in Gm 1 and that was enough for me.
    I truly hope O's pull it out, but can't go against this hot Royals team...no pressure is when they play best...always finding ways to win late.

  6. #6
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    If you do not agree with me I think you do not know the industry and or semi or major Square which is not a bad thing because it is the norm.

    The question is why am I on Baltimore?
    Chen > Vargas

    and Chen is coming off a bad outing. The elite pitchers never have back to back poor outings.

  7. #7
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    If you do not agree with me I think you do not know the industry and or semi or major Square which is not a bad thing because it is the norm.

    The question is why am I on Baltimore?
    Chen > Vargas

    and Chen is coming off a bad outing. The elite pitchers never have back to back poor outings.

  8. #8
    Bostongambler
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    KC has won 9 playoff games in a row. Will tonight make 10?

  9. #9
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    KC has won 9 playoff games in a row. Will tonight make 10?
    no and once they lose that first one i think they lose multiple games in a row

  10. #10
    jjgold
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  11. #11
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    KC has won 9 playoff games in a row. Will tonight make 10?
    Best Guess: the law of averages would seem to indicate Baltimore wins game three, because they are due? Overall the better team on paper? The better manager as proven?? Not going to get swept ??? More homers, proven. However, this is MLB and all that goes out the window in the playoffs, hence, LAA & Detroit both getting swept by " Inferior" teams. KC has nothing to fear and just playing loose and enjoying their ride. Nobody expected the Red Sox to come back down 3-0 to the Yankees??? I say, ride the team getting hot at the right time. Timely hitting, actually belting a few homers and the home town crowd going crazy. I'll take my chances with the young upstarts. BOL to all.

  12. #12
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post

    The question is why am I on Baltimore?

    Good question...

  13. #13
    drfunkmaster
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    nope balt is done...

  14. #14
    klemopixx
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    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    Because they're DUE
    The worst reasoning in the history of gambling.

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Im thinking balty but 1st 5 innings only
    That IS my play.

  16. #16
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by klemopixx View Post
    The worst reasoning in the history of gambling.
    Irony, son, irony.

  17. #17
    LT Profits
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    Problem with due theory:

    Take a regular coin and let's say it comes up heads 10 times in a row. Thus the thought is that tails is "due" on 11th toss. What are the odds on 11th toss being tails?

    Due theory does not work, you have to handicap each game on its own merit. Now there ARE teams that respond well to desperation such as losing first two games at home in short playoff series. But that is not because of the "Due Theory", some teams play better with backs against the wall. You can't blindly just bet every team trailing in a series.

  18. #18
    grease lightnin
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    i·ro·ny1

    ˈīrənē/

    noun

    the expression of one's meaning by using language that normally signifies the opposite, typically for humorous or emphatic effect.

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    Many believe in riding trends not fading them

    I'm sticking with Baltimore

  20. #20
    innovation
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    just take the Under

    thats the solid play

  21. #21
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Problem with due theory:

    Take a regular coin and let's say it comes up heads 10 times in a row. Thus the thought is that tails is "due" on 11th toss. What are the odds on 11th toss being tails?

    Due theory does not work, you have to handicap each game on its own merit. Now there ARE teams that respond well to desperation such as losing first two games at home in short playoff series. But that is not because of the "Due Theory", some teams play better with backs against the wall. You can't blindly just bet every team trailing in a series.
    see above...

  22. #22
    moses millsap
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    This game going to get in with all the rain?

  23. #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by moses millsap View Post
    This game going to get in with all the rain?
    If game starts, they will finish. Even if it is not tonight.

  24. #24
    BIGDAY
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    Royals mop up.

    Don't overthink this.

  25. #25
    goduke
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    was anaheim due? was detroit due? What about kershaw, was he due after his first start? I'm starting to think you just get paid to post crap and try to steer the naive SBR crowd. Youre not a good gambler, youre not sharp, your record shows everything. Just quit

  26. #26
    LT Profits
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    Game is rained out. Game 5 now Thursday if necessary

  27. #27
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by goduke View Post
    was anaheim due? was detroit due? What about kershaw, was he due after his first start? I'm starting to think you just get paid to post crap and try to steer the naive SBR crowd. Youre not a good gambler, youre not sharp, your record shows everything. Just quit

    You're just starting to think this after four years of being here?

  28. #28
    jjgold
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    under also?

  29. #29
    smitch124
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    I had the rain -350 winna

  30. #30
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Royals mop up.

    Don't overthink this.
    thank you so much for saying that Big Day

  31. #31
    stump
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    Orioles tonight
    Points Awarded:

    TankHankerous gave stump 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  32. #32
    jjgold
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    Slumpy glad you're on the bandwagon now and best of luck with your new girlfriend

  33. #33
    TankHankerous
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    St. Ump

    I knew you were a baseballhead

    Godspeed, John Glenn.


  34. #34
    Ra77er
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    Greasy I got the sarcasm, it's a lost art on SBR. I love the "due theory" myself, usually use that as my reasoning for making picks so I don't confuse players talk.

  35. #35
    riffraff24
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    Hilarious how guys here still let JJ bot mindfuk them.

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