This is just a gift, TCU and 10 points against a team they matchup really well against and have played really well against the past few years.
TCU is to Baylor as Stanford is to Oregon. Patterson has shut down this offense cold 3 out of the past 4 years. Only reason Baylor scored 41 last year on TCU was because of 2 pick sixes and a fumble recovery at the 1 yard line when TCU had one of the worst offenses in the country. Patterson has held Baylor to its lowest yardage output in 3 of the past 4 years as well. No reason to believe that can't continue.
For TCU the deep ball was a problem in the 1st half against Oklahoma but adjustments were made and Knight did nothing in the 2nd half. And Petty isn't the run threat Knight was. Baylor doesn't have the run game Oklahoma does therefore TCU can sit back on the deep pass.
I really like TCU in this spot. Not only am I on the +10 I am also pounding the MONEY LINE when it comes out. Patterson really wants this game and word is he has prepared for Baylor since spring, after what happened last year.
Not saying TCU will win but their defense is a matchup problem for Baylor like Stanford is to Oregon. Only time Baylor has figured it out vs. TCU was the first game of the year in 2011 with RG3 and TCU was breaking in 9 new defensive starters after the Rose Bowl team was gutted by graduation.
Also this is by far the best offense Baylor will have played so far. SMU, Northwestern State, Buffalo, get real. Iowa State and Texas are two of the worst Big 12 offenses.
EDIT: BobRoss