1. #1
    stevenash
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    Suspended game (6:05pm) line Cleveland -1200/KC +775

    Just to get you up to speed, this is the conclusion of the game that got rained out (suspended) in the middle of the 10th inning, the conclusion is in Cleveland, but KC is the home team since it was rained out in Kansas City on Aug. 31
    Alex Gordon hit his second homer of the game in the ninth to tie the game at 2 and 2, Holland, who has been pretty much perfect all season, puked up 2 runs in the tenth to Chisenhall on a crushed deep double, to make the game 4-2, downpours forced the suspension.

    So this is where we are at.

    KC coming up, bottom of the tenth, they are trailing 4-2.
    Kyle Crockett was announced so he must start the tenth inning for Cleveland or be replaced.
    Shaw and Allen have been exhausted, and Crockett was announced in the tenth to relieve Allen.

    Lorenzo Cain made the last out in the ninth, KC will be sending up their 7-8-9 hitters, who are Moose (7) catcher Erik Kratz (8) Escobar (9)

    Sal Perez is the DH, so Kratz caught.

    Pitcher Crockett is have a pretty nice season, 40 games, all in relief, good K ratio, ERA and WH/IP
    Crockett has faced Moose 3 times, got him out all three times, one K
    Crockett has no history versus Kratz or Escobar.

    So, the books are offering +775 if you think KC can get two in the tenth to tie it up and extend the game, or three to win. Mind you if KC gets two in the tenth and lose later, well you lose (well duh)

    Now, the books are offering a o/u of 6.5 at +325/-410, which pretty much says if you think KC can scratch out at least 1 run, theyt'll pay you +325.

    Remember, KC is the speediest team in the American League, Moose has so-so speed, Kratz has no speed, but Escobar is fast, and if KC can flip it to the top of the order, the lineup from here on out has disrupting speed.
    KC has speed on the bench too, Roberto Perez is the games catcher for Cleveland, and he has only thrown out 7 of 20 would be base stealers, and KC loves to run.

    I can't handicap this inning much further, and after doing so, I think KC can scratch out a run, will make a tiny 20 or 30 dollar bet on the 'over' 6.5 and get paid at +325.

    If I'm wrong, so be it, but KC is very capable of getting one across here.
    Moose has to get on is imperative for this bet to click.

  2. #2
    KRIT
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    Why would anyone bet this game?

  3. #3
    DOM_Toretto
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    Could you please clarify... Is KC-CLE playing this half inning & potentially calling it a night, OR is there a normal game starting after this tonight as well?

  4. #4
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Could you please clarify... Is KC-CLE playing this half inning & potentially calling it a night, OR is there a normal game starting after this tonight as well?
    Game 2 is a scheduled game, in Cleveland.
    Duffy v. Carrasco.

  5. #5
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Why would anyone bet this game?
    Because I am offered better than 3 to 1 that KC scores a run in the tenth.
    I like the odds.

  6. #6
    JJJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Because I am offered better than 3 to 1 that KC scores a run in the tenth.
    I like the odds.
    nasher anything stick out to you tonight in MLB? need a winner

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by JJJ View Post
    nasher anything stick out to you tonight in MLB? need a winner
    Wainwright - run line, on the road.
    Even money, you won't get rich, but that looks like the best.
    Chalk is too expensive, I don't like to lay a big number

  8. #8
    JJJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Wainwright - run line, on the road.
    Even money, you won't get rich, but that looks like the best.
    Chalk is too expensive, I don't like to lay a big number
    thanks always appreciate your thoughts

  9. #9
    KRIT
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    FYI Eric Hosmer and Jarrod Dyson will both be available to pinch hit since neither played in the game that was suspended.

  10. #10
    JMon
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    Totally forgot about this..I had the over initially which graded as a loss. I like the play.. as +325 is salty. Being a Royals fan, it would be great to see some magic here.

  11. #11
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    FYI Eric Hosmer and Jarrod Dyson will both be available to pinch hit since neither played in the game that was suspended.
    I know this, if Moose or Kratz gets on base, look for Dyson to pinch run, Hosmer probably will pinch hit for Kratz.
    I've gone over the swithes, pinch hitter, pinch runner scenearios a gazllion times, I had time had work today so I ran through some data on the computer, I think KC can make the tenth inning interesting
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  12. #12
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Totally forgot about this..I had the over initially which graded as a loss. I like the play.. as +325 is salty. Being a Royals fan, it would be great to see some magic here.
    If KC pulls this out of their ass, load up, I MEAN LOAD UP, on KC with the Duff man.
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-29-15 at 12:50 PM. Reason: image does not exist

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    Line dropped -1100/+700, but the total remains at 6.5
    Very interesting.

  14. #14
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    If KC pulls this out of their ass, load up, I MEAN LOAD UP, on KC with the Duff man.
    I'll be rooting for the Royals and you
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-29-15 at 12:50 PM. Reason: image does not exist

  15. #15
    stevenash
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    It's on MLB network right now.

  16. #16
    stevenash
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    Moose with a single

  17. #17
    stevenash
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    One on, no out, here comes HOSMER to pinch hit
    Ball one

  18. #18
    stevenash
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    Hosmer K's stolen base Gore pinch running for Moose
    Man on second one out.

  19. #19
    CookiMonster
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    i'm trying to get up to speed with this game from your initial post nash. when this game is set and done will their be a different line up for the tribes home game against kc? thats whats on my mind right now

  20. #20
    stevenash
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    Ball one to Esco

    ONE TIME ESCO !

  21. #21
    stevenash
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    Escobar two hopper to third.
    Two down

  22. #22
    stevenash
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    Aoki - san

  23. #23
    stevenash
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    Aoki !!!!

    Winner

  24. #24
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by CookiMonster View Post
    i'm trying to get up to speed with this game from your initial post nash. when this game is set and done will their be a different line up for the tribes home game against kc? thats whats on my mind right now
    Oh yeah, check the lineups

  25. #25
    stevenash
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    Stolen base Dyson.

    Ohhhhh yeahhhh

  26. #26
    5918mike
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    Congrats!

  27. #27
    baseballstud
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Aoki !!!!

    Winner
    Pay this man HIS MONNNNNNEYYYYYY. NIce one my friend. After your detailed analysis I did the same. Makes up for my awful tennis beat this morning. This Kansas City team is exciting, they are fast as hell.

  28. #28
    JMon
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    Oh ya

  29. #29
    stevenash
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    Infante pops up, game over, cash that total bet at 3.25:1 odds.

    Ohh yeah

  30. #30
    Ra77er
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    What a sharp play

  31. #31
    drfunkmaster
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    winner!!!!!!!!!!

    Pending9/22/14 6:00pm MLB Baseball 899 Cleveland Indians/Kansas City Royals Over 6½ +325* (Fixed Price)

  32. #32
    stevenash
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    I would have hated myself for not betting KC to win the game if Infante tied it up, but the inning played out exactly the way I broke it down in advance.

    Listen, I apolgize if I come across a blowhard right now, I really do, but I am mighty proud of that wager.
    Very proud of myself.

  33. #33
    JMon
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    Very sharp. Royals need a good series here

  34. #34
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Very sharp. Royals need a good series here
    Small play on the Duff man, gravy money.
    Carrasco is a strike out artist, but KC doesn't strike out.

    KC 1*
    Chi/Jets under 45 1*

    Aoki is buying the first round.

  35. #35
    JMon
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    ^^ bol, not touching the first game. Only game I'm playing is SD in MLB. I actually grabbed the over at 44 on MNF.

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