1. #1
    Seaweed
    Update your status
    Seaweed's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-12
    Posts: 26,287
    Betpoints: 6952

    52.5 is a trap as line should be 49.5 but public wants the over tonight. I studied this game thoroughly and decided to release it a little earlier so my followers can grab the good line of -110. Under it is for 2 units

  2. #2
    tony_come
    tony_come's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-31-10
    Posts: 21,695
    Betpoints: 1122

    Thank you sellweed

  3. #3
    DOM_Toretto
    Hoop Head
    DOM_Toretto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-13
    Posts: 9,035
    Betpoints: 989

    Ahhh I respect your picks seaweed, but just locked in the over 52.5. Lots of injuries to both defenses - that didn't sway you?

    I'm also on colts-3, and a few good value props: Wayne o5 catches -140, eagles1H/colts final +550, tie1H/colts final +1150

    Thoughts?

  4. #4
    Seaweed
    Update your status
    Seaweed's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-12
    Posts: 26,287
    Betpoints: 6952

    Youre welcome Tony.

    Will be abou 10-7 after 1

    13-14 after 2

    23-17 after 3

    Then about 26-24 final

  5. #5
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Will go over after 3 qtrs

    Bad bet

  6. #6
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    get em!

  7. #7
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,930
    Betpoints: 14368

    Priceless

  8. #8
    innovation
    innovation's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-12
    Posts: 6,218
    Betpoints: 239

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: I/O

  9. #9
    Seaweed
    Update your status
    Seaweed's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-12
    Posts: 26,287
    Betpoints: 6952

    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Ahhh I respect your picks seaweed, but just locked in the over 52.5. Lots of injuries to both defenses - that didn't sway you?

    I'm also on colts-3, and a few good value props: Wayne o5 catches -140, eagles1H/colts final +550, tie1H/colts final +1150

    Thoughts?
    Eagles are missing two starting linemen. Expect lots of pressure on the qb. 82 percent of vegas public is on over. That is a warning sign. Following a loss, Colts are 14-2 against a winning side, but the under has hit 67 percent of time. If this wasnt a primetime game would be different story. Look for Eaglea to establish the run and chew clock with long possessions

  10. #10
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Ahhh I respect your picks seaweed, but just locked in the over 52.5. Lots of injuries to both defenses - that didn't sway you?

    I'm also on colts-3, and a few good value props: Wayne o5 catches -140, eagles1H/colts final +550, tie1H/colts final +1150

    Thoughts?

  11. #11
    mcdonae101
    mcdonae101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-14
    Posts: 3,646
    Betpoints: 2617

    lol. after this post 99% of public is on over

  12. #12
    Seaweed
    Update your status
    Seaweed's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-12
    Posts: 26,287
    Betpoints: 6952

    Mcdonald clearly you did not see my play last night sir

  13. #13
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Youre welcome Tony.

    Will be abou 10-7 after 1

    13-14 after 2

    23-17 after 3

    Then about 26-24 final
    if u project this game to land at 50 points and your confident about under 52.5 thats not much room for error.

    I will pass but since the public is on the over i like your chances. Good Luck pal.

  14. #14
    Seaweed
    Update your status
    Seaweed's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-12
    Posts: 26,287
    Betpoints: 6952

    Thanks bear

    Football is a game of inches just like life

    Half a second late that bus has left

    Half a second too slow that girl is taken

    Half a second too long that pizza is burnt

    Every point matters and is factored into my methodology

    Good lick bear

  15. #15
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10


  16. #16
    Bcatswin
    Bcats Winning Everywhere
    Bcatswin's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-21-10
    Posts: 13,929
    Betpoints: 5350

    Seaweed is onto something here.

  17. #17
    SmittyZ28
    SmittyZ28's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-12
    Posts: 1,469
    Betpoints: 807

    Public was on Denver overs every week and it hit constantly last year. Public plays are less of a consideration on totals compared to sides IMO. At the end of the day who cares who else bets what, go with your gut. I love the over here, both teams throw so much the clock is going to tick very slowly and both will have some BIG plays. Like all totals a turnover or special teams TD can turn the tide no matter what, but these two teams on Monday night with the defensive injuries? Over or nothing.

    Eagles will run 80 plays, Colts are going to be close to that maybe 70-75. Barring a turnover fest, this game should be in the high 50s EASY

    Good luck people
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: CWD

  18. #18
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    if u project this game to land at 50 points and your confident about under 52.5 thats not much room for error.

    I will pass but since the public is on the over i like your chances. Good Luck pal.
    "public" is always on the over and that didnt stop a ton of mon night games from going over last year.. there plenty of misguided money on the under as the line is dropping, i dont care what any percentage site says who is on what obviously there plenty of money on the under and if ya ask me whether it big money or not it aint all that sharp cause i made this gm 56-58..donks te's abused colts last week and guess what chip kelly likes to use a lot? that right his te's, ertz and the old guy will go off, indy's lbs are shit so shady or sproles will kill them also. on the other side phi d aint gonna keep luck from getting his, henne and some undrafted rookie lit them up in the 1st half last week.. it gonna take 30+ to win this game, public or not..
    Points Awarded:

    SmittyZ28 gave 2daBank 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  19. #19
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by SmittyZ28 View Post
    Public was on Denver overs every week and it hit constantly last year. Public plays are less of a consideration on totals compared to sides IMO. At the end of the day who cares who else bets what, go with your gut. I love the over here, both teams throw so much the clock is going to tick very slowly and both will have some BIG plays. Like all totals a turnover or special teams TD can turn the tide no matter what, but these two teams on Monday night with the defensive injuries? Over or nothing.

    Eagles will run 80 plays, Colts are going to be close to that maybe 70-75. Barring a turnover fest, this game should be in the high 50s EASY

    Good luck people
    same can be said for mon night games in general.. this total too low so i guess the "public" (like weeder isnt public, lmao) who has any money left gonna actually win a gm today after getting curb stomped with the likes of aints, seachickens, sf all losing..

  20. #20
    SmittyZ28
    SmittyZ28's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-12
    Posts: 1,469
    Betpoints: 807

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    same can be said for mon night games in general.. this total too low so i guess the "public" (like weeder isnt public, lmao) who has any money left gonna actually win a gm today after getting curb stomped with the likes of aints, seachickens, sf all losing..
    Very true. The one bad one I still remember on MNF last year Colts and Bolts I think the total was set at 48 or 49 was on the over big time and it ended 19-9 I think? WTF

  21. #21
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Thanks bear

    Football is a game of inches just like life

    Half a second late that bus has left

    Half a second too slow that girl is taken

    Half a second too long that pizza is burnt

    Every point matters and is factored into my methodology

    Good lick bear
    thats hilarious about the pizza!!!

  22. #22
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,290
    Betpoints: 22206

    Lang has the over. Gulp

  23. #23
    eddycash
    eddycash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-06-13
    Posts: 4,499
    Betpoints: 15906

    if u want the under, u should take 1st half under 27.5

  24. #24
    lividrat
    lividrat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-13
    Posts: 121
    Betpoints: 1954

    Why don't you guys watch the first few possessions and lie bet the over, if they don't score you can get a great value if they score the live total will pretty much be the same

  25. #25
    CWD
    Update your status
    CWD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 7,667
    Betpoints: 190

    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Eagles are missing two starting linemen. Expect lots of pressure on the qb. 82 percent of vegas public is on over. That is a warning sign. Following a loss, Colts are 14-2 against a winning side, but the under has hit 67 percent of time. If this wasnt a primetime game would be different story. Look for Eaglea to establish the run and chew clock with long possessions
    chip kelly = ball control and long possessions

  26. #26
    Twisted_One
    Twisted_One's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 301
    Betpoints: 2508

    Quote Originally Posted by CWD View Post
    chip kelly = ball control and long possessions
    LONG Possessions?!?!?!

  27. #27
    IllyPhilly[DOC]
    IllyPhilly[DOC]'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-18-10
    Posts: 2,512
    Betpoints: 7288

    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Eagles are missing two starting linemen. Expect lots of pressure on the qb. 82 percent of vegas public is on over. That is a warning sign. Following a loss, Colts are 14-2 against a winning side, but the under has hit 67 percent of time. If this wasnt a primetime game would be different story. Look for Eaglea to establish the run and chew clock with long possessions
    Since when do the eagles eat up clock? Maybe in the last minutes if they have a lead... chip Kelly offense is the fastest pace in the league.

  28. #28
    kfranz31
    kfranz31's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-09-10
    Posts: 1,186
    Betpoints: 1914

    this should be a lock

  29. #29
    Seaweed
    Update your status
    Seaweed's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-12
    Posts: 26,287
    Betpoints: 6952

    Good luck to gentlemen i have spoken enough

  30. #30
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Good thing u took under 52.5 when under is sitting close to 54.5-55 now.

  31. #31
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Great nfl picks

  32. #32
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Good thing u took under 52.5 when under is sitting close to 54.5-55 now.
    damn Paco came in with the donkey punch on seaweed.

  33. #33
    Hot Jerry
    Hot Jerry's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-13
    Posts: 5,545
    Betpoints: 4638

    IF I was betting this game I would have to go with INDY !! O/U no opinion !!

  34. #34
    Tobit
    Tobit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-13
    Posts: 48
    Betpoints: 660

    I don't see how this goes under. Both teams are all O, and no D. The only team with a running game 'runs' it in a constant hurry up! Indianapolis might try to start slow, but as soon as Philly starts scoring (and they will) Andrew Luck will start airing it out to keep his team in the game.

  35. #35
    Jdizzle315
    Jdizzle315's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-13
    Posts: 76

    Why is line going down in public favor 75 percent on colts and line is dropping? Either were getting a gift or setting us up to get cornholed big time

123 Last
Top