We are talking about Italy here.
When you hear Italy first thing that cross your mind is 1-0 win against the underdogs. They never push for more. Sure, they can win by 2, but odds don't reflect any value.
On the other hand, Costa Rica made great result against Uruguay. Evreone expected that they will be 4th in this group, but now they have chance to reach 1/8 finals. Even Italy ML doesn't represent value for me.