1. #1
    iceman02
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    Need advice on this pick for tomorrow

    Guys need some advice...

    My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

    I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

    Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

    Whats your input and advice on making this move?

  2. #2
    Cuse0323
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    All-in on the Rangers. Make a nice 2400 or so.

  3. #3
    iceman02
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    All-in on the Rangers. Make a nice 2400 or so.

    The ranger should destroy Montreal tomorrow.

  4. #4
    konck
    Listen the toilet is flushing
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    Montreal will push it to game 7

  5. #5
    STAX
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    Guys need some advice...

    My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

    I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

    Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

    Whats your input and advice on making this move?
    If you are gonna make a big play, put $500 on the over 206.5

  6. #6
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    The ranger should destroy Montreal tomorrow.
    Yessir, there you go. Go big or go home and put it all on Blue.

  7. #7
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    Guys need some advice...

    My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

    I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

    Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

    Whats your input and advice on making this move?
    If you have a 5k bankroll and you are betting 500 dollars and you win, I guarantee you you will get cleaned out sooner or later. Not 99% sir; a guarantee.

    Expect a 0-10 run sooner or later no matter how good you are.

  8. #8
    iceman02
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    If you have a 5k bankroll and you are betting 500 dollars and you win, I guarantee you you will get cleaned out sooner or later. Not 99% sir; a guarantee.

    Expect a 0-10 run sooner or later no matter how good you are.
    last 3 days i went 1-9 which put me in the $770 hole. Thats why i wanted to bet big to get back to green.

  9. #9
    sergiudec
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    HEAT Live ML at home in gm6 is what I'd recommend if you're getting a good number in-play. By good I mean around -400.

  10. #10
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    last 3 days i went 1-9 which put me in the $770 hole. Thats why i wanted to bet big to get back to green.
    It might in the short term. But like I said it's a guarantee that every time u get into a 770 hole if u chase with a 500 bet you'll get buried. I've been gambling since I've been 13 years old man. I can promise you every person apart from me that has responded in this thread is a losing player just from listening to wgat advice they offer you. They only see the next short term play vwry much like yourself.

    But what does it matter I can't stop ya. You won't understand. BOL man I hope you learn faster than I did about BRM

  11. #11
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Why you won't understand?

    Well you want to win your nnext bet and that's your ultimate goal.

    My ultimate goal is to be constantly better and better. And if that causes me to lose $700 I'd pay it every day till it changes me.

    How interestingly different our perspectives of that -770 is

  12. #12
    KRIT
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    Here are is a really square parlay that should hit, not sure on the pay-out though: Heat ML (gm6) + OKC ML (gm6 on Saturday).

    If you want something for tomorrow, I like Spurs -4. So no, I do not like your OKC ML play. Gl with whatever you decide to play.

  13. #13
    TwoWays
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    okc all games vs. spurs that ibaka plays in.

  14. #14
    iceman02
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    It might in the short term. But like I said it's a guarantee that every time u get into a 770 hole if u chase with a 500 bet you'll get buried. I've been gambling since I've been 13 years old man. I can promise you every person apart from me that has responded in this thread is a losing player just from listening to wgat advice they offer you. They only see the next short term play vwry much like yourself.

    But what does it matter I can't stop ya. You won't understand. BOL man I hope you learn faster than I did about BRM

    What would you advice me? iam in this for the long run

    What type of money management do you recommend?

    Instead of risking $500 on the okc moneyline i decided to diversify it

    Ticket Accepted Date Risk To Win Status Wager
    245721224-1 5/29/14 3:08am $58.85 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +4 -107* vs San Antonio Spurs
    245721224-2 5/29/14 3:08am $64.65 $112.49 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +174* vs San Antonio Spurs
    245721224-3 5/29/14 3:08am $60.50 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101½ -110* vs San Antonio Spurs
    245721119-1 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $132.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:15pm MLB Baseball 953 San Francisco Giants +132* vs St. Louis Cardinals (R Vogelsong - R must Start J Garcia - L must Start)
    245721119-2 5/29/14 3:00am $116.00 $100.00 Pending 5/29/14 7:05pm MLB Baseball 964 Toronto Blue Jays -116* vs Kansas City Royals (J Shields - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)
    245721119-3 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $116.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Houston Astros +116* vs Baltimore Orioles (U Jimenez - R must Start B Peacock - R must Start)
    Totals: $500.00 $570.49

  15. #15
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    What would you advice me? iam in this for the long run

    What type of money management do you recommend?

    Instead of risking $500 on the okc moneyline i decided to diversify it

    Ticket Accepted Date Risk To Win Status Wager
    245721224-1 5/29/14 3:08am $58.85 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +4 -107* vs San Antonio Spurs
    245721224-2 5/29/14 3:08am $64.65 $112.49 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder +174* vs San Antonio Spurs
    245721224-3 5/29/14 3:08am $60.50 $55.00 Pending 5/29/14 9:00pm NBA Basketball 519 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101½ -110* vs San Antonio Spurs
    245721119-1 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $132.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:15pm MLB Baseball 953 San Francisco Giants +132* vs St. Louis Cardinals (R Vogelsong - R must Start J Garcia - L must Start)
    245721119-2 5/29/14 3:00am $116.00 $100.00 Pending 5/29/14 7:05pm MLB Baseball 964 Toronto Blue Jays -116* vs Kansas City Royals (J Shields - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)
    245721119-3 5/29/14 3:00am $100.00 $116.00 Pending 5/29/14 8:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Houston Astros +116* vs Baltimore Orioles (U Jimenez - R must Start B Peacock - R must Start)
    Totals: $500.00 $570.49
    My advice? Dump your current thinking or understanding of capping. It makes no sense whatsoever to step up your bet size to 500$ if u are on a losing streak. Hence chasing bets always lose.

    If you told me at the start you were on a 10-0 run, it wouldn't be that bad to bet 500 as you are in your zone and your head is in the game atm.

    Go back to 50$ bets. You have the rest of your life to win money. More importantly, you have to become a gambler that is capable of making money. Take my word for it man, the posters in here, 99% of them are all losing cappers, and 90% of these lovers are losing due to brm. (Like your decision of chasing with 500). There's only 2 cappers that are good on thus site imo

    I understand you want your money back. I don't know if this will make any sense, but betting 50$ to chase your 770 has more than double the chance to recover or learn rather than stepping up your bets.

  16. #16
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Look at all the posters above. They actually fail to even notice the problem in your bet sizing.

    I'm 25 now and I've started gambling since 12 or 13. That's half my life sitting in casinos with sharks. Half my life staring at lines and analysing gambling mentality. Every single poster that has responded to you is a losing capper. They think the next bet will help you. I think the result of your next bet is irrelevant; if I was you I'd go back to your 1-7 run, think why u went wrong and what factors would have changed your mind. Apply for next game for 50. Eat sleep rave repeat.


    Take care man

  17. #17
    TwoWays
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    Walking is sharp. Let us strive to be more like him. I need to have the experience.

  18. #18
    IamsoBurnt
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    Young reckless and broke boy

  19. #19
    IamsoBurnt
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    I do like the thunder and over and the rangers tomorrow all in

  20. #20
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    Walking is sharp. Let us strive to be more like him. I need to have the experience.


    25, he knows it all.


  21. #21
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post


    25, he knows it all.

    Yup I'm young. But if I were to choose between which of two cappers was better, age would not be a factor at all. Rather his net worth, his plays, and his playing style.

    I repeat once again OP; these posters are not winning EV players. Just this response should be testament. He replies with pride; he puts pride before winning. I only care about getting better.

  22. #22
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Yup I'm young. But if I were to choose between which of two cappers was better, age would not be a factor at all. Rather his net worth, his plays, and his playing style.
    Yes, you are superior to us all. Except those two other successful handicappers here, or the one if you include yourself.

  23. #23
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    Yes, you are superior to us all. Except those two other successful handicappers here, or the one if you include yourself.
    I don't care at all brother. If it makes u feel better I think you are better at sports capping than I am. I am merely trying to help a fellow capper. BOL

  24. #24
    TwoWays
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    Walker I'm not wise as u. I want an apprenticeship if u are offering.

  25. #25
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    I don't care at all brother. If it makes u feel better I think you are better at sports capping than I am. I am merely trying to help a fellow capper. BOL
    Just busting your balls, you take yourself pretty seriously. I hope you continue to smash the books and live a long prosperous professional gambling life.

    I'm trying to help him too, make some big change on one play with them Rangers baby.

  26. #26
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    Just busting your balls, you take yourself pretty seriously. I hope you continue to smash the books and live a long prosperous professional gambling life.

    I'm trying to help him too, make some big change on one play with them Rangers baby.
    I'm a very serious person man. When I'm sober

  27. #27
    TwoWays
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    If u show me the light I would fall in a dark hole

  28. #28
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    I'm a very serious person man. When I'm sober
    Not sure what that's like, sobriety. For the record, I'm 26...gambling since 4 so age/experience is definitely not a factor. Good on you for being smart.

  29. #29
    z-doggie
    yo dog ,,i am the ish...
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    not good money management..

    your chasing..

  30. #30
    sergiudec
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    go with the heat ml at home this is just one of those moments. you'll get your $770 back and rethink everything fresh.

  31. #31
    iceman02
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    Whats the best money management.
    Same units on all the bets or different units based on the confidence of the game.

  32. #32
    bryant81
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    I won't say which side to bet on, because I truly don't know. However, if you believe OKC will tonight, do you believe they will close the series out in game 6? It's hard to imagine them not doing so if they win tonight. So why not bet on OKC to win series 4-2 at +400 rather than just putting money on OKC ML tonight. If you believe OKC wins tonight, you have to believe the close it out at home in game 6. More value in 4-2 series bet IMO.

  33. #33
    SSSuperSergSSS
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    Guys need some advice...

    My accounts down $770 which is about 15% of my account.

    I have a $5,000 Bankroll and down 770 so $4,230 current balance.

    Im thinking of putting $500 (10% of my original Bankroll) on the OKC thunder money line +170 to win 1350.

    Whats your input and advice on making this move?

    When end listening to people make sure the advice is positive, you can make it back gradually. Think straight and don't chase. I've been doing this for years, I know what I'm talking about. Always remember you aren't up or down if you lost 770 then forget it. You are now at 4230 so your unit shouldn't be 500 it should be 423. Never bet more than unit unless it's what you want to do. Never take any tips you aren't happy with taking or you end up being a hater and angry at everyone. Best of luck and stay disciplined. You will get there mate ;-)

    incase se you want to know what I like: spurs O206.5 (I believe they will put up at least 27 a Q) and OKH will be close if not win . Like I said only do what you are happy with

  34. #34
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Look at all the posters above. They actually fail to even notice the problem in your bet sizing.

    I'm 25 now and I've started gambling since 12 or 13. That's half my life sitting in casinos with sharks. Half my life staring at lines and analysing gambling mentality. Every single poster that has responded to you is a losing capper. They think the next bet will help you. I think the result of your next bet is irrelevant; if I was you I'd go back to your 1-7 run, think why u went wrong and what factors would have changed your mind. Apply for next game for 50. Eat sleep rave repeat.


    Take care man
    This is SBR, people are here to post plays. They post plays in any random thread for any random reason, including myself, because, well, that's what a gambling forum is. It doesn't mean they genuinely think that the bet they are suggesting is the cure, or that any one bet is.

  35. #35
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Yup I'm young. But if I were to choose between which of two cappers was better, age would not be a factor at all. Rather his net worth, his plays, and his playing style.

    I repeat once again OP; these posters are not winning EV players. Just this response should be testament. He replies with pride; he puts pride before winning. I only care about getting better.
    Agree here. Why do people make out age to be a factor?

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