[SBRPicks]

Nick Kalikas from MMAOddsBreaker.com, professional MMA oddsmaker and MMA betting consultant, and Brian Hemminger, MMA analyst also from MMAOddsBreaker.com, joined SBR Videos host Peter Loshak to preview the Main Card from UFC 173.


Renan Barao vs TJ Dillashaw
Elite P4P Barao a huge favorite over Dillashaw



Dan Henderson vs Daniel Cormier
Hendo looks to keep career going as huge underdog



Robbie Lawler vs Jake Ellenberger
Resurgent Lawler coming off of close loss in title fight



Takeya Mizugaki vs Francisco Rivera
Exciting bantamweights square off



Jamie Varner vs James Krause
Varner a substantial fave coming off of two losses

[Vaughany]

Lol within openin few mins already a statement that there may be value in Barao in a parlay but certainly not in a straight!

[BIGDAY]

I'm taking Ellenberger +190 to the bank.

[CarpeDime]

I'm taking Ellenberger +190 to the bank.

dayer did you watch the end of the vid? I'm going with ellenberger too baby!

i read he is seeing a shrink to help him be less afraid or something like that, that will help!

[getlucky2win]

not worth a straight bet? just put it n a parlay. i cant stand these fckn jerks

[BIGDAY]

dayer did you watch the end of the vid? I'm going with ellenberger too baby!

i read he is seeing a shrink to help him be less afraid or something like that, that will help!

He's going to pressure Lawler. I see the same fight as Lawler/Hendricks. Ellenberger has power and he should be able to pull the trigger. Hendricks pressured Lawler and Ellenberger is capable of the same technique.
At +190 it's a good bet.

We're cashin.

[JIBBBY]

Nice video presentations of these guys talking lol.. Just seeing this thread now.. Disagree with some of their assumptions though.. They do talk on fighter facts, trends, and history of each fighter which is good..

[BIGDAY]

Nice video presentations of these guys talking lol.. Just seeing this thread now.. Disagree with some of their assumptions though.. They do talk on fighter facts, trends, and history of each fighter which is good..

Jibby, Kileekass talks big. Next time I visit CR I'm going to throw him in a flying armbar just for sh!ts n giggles.

[getlucky2win]

ellenberger didnt pressure mcdonald at all. and he isnt as good as johnny anywhere imho. u guys thnk jakes wrestling is better than hendricks? and more importantly u thnk he will use it. i not sure. havent pulld the trigger on lawler yet. which way yall thnk the line will move?

[BIGDAY]

ellenberger didnt pressure mcdonald at all. and he isnt as good as johnny anywhere imho. u guys thnk jakes wrestling is better than hendricks? and more importantly u thnk he will use it. i not sure. havent pulld the trigger on lawler yet. which way yall thnk the line will move?

Line will probably not move much.

McDonald is not easily pressured imo.

[jjgold]

If you want action don't know much about MMA watch the videos and just tell the pics

I doubt you'll get carried out

Love the mohawk on Loshak

[CarpeDime]

Lol within openin few mins already a statement that there may be value in Barao in a parlay but certainly not in a straight!

thats not really what he said, what he said was "it was parlay material at -425 but at -800 unbettable even in a parlay" and then yeah said something like "especially not in a straight" at the end of his thought

i agree it was a sloppy way of expressing it, but remember these guys are not using scripts, maybe i should have them use scripts if they are gonna get slammed for misspoken phrases

[bjpenn85]

their track record is unbeatable anyways (when it comes to losing), i dont understand how they have the nerves to even come in here to make predictions...?

[getlucky2win]

brian says he wouldnt bet lawler strait obviously but maybe n a parlay. these guys say stupid sht all the time. and cant have a winning night to save their lives

[BIGDAY]

Side track.

How does Tony Ferguson lose this fight?

FML, I laid the JUICE!!!

[getlucky2win]

ferg could get kod or decd. kikuno is no slouch. has power and decent wrestling. ferguson leaves opening standing which can be exploited. u shoulda put him n a parlay instead of straight. lol. i took ferg by dec

[BIGDAY]

Ferguson has a very underrated ground game. In fact, I'd love to see him use it more often.

[rocky16]

They still have focking queers doing these vids? Focking loshak and kalikas look like they want to get the shit over with so they can fock eachother..lol. I watched about 90 seconds of the shit. Couple of phags in love. Haha.

[rocky16]

P.S.

If u want winnerz hit this motherfocking stud up via pm. I already gave MD a bastid child with one huge load.

[Vaughany]

thats not really what he said, what he said was "it was parlay material at -425 but at -800 unbettable even in a parlay" and then yeah said something like "especially not in a straight" at the end of his thought

i agree it was a sloppy way of expressing it, but remember these guys are not using scripts, maybe i should have them use scripts if they are gonna get slammed for misspoken phrases

So yeeah, point still stands... "Even in a parlay".... Makes no difference if its in a parlay or mot,..the odds will still be -425 or -800.

And yes its easy to make mistakes when you dont have a script, but they make the same "mistakes" all the time in their write ups on their website.

[Vaughany]

If you want action don't know much about MMA watch the videos and just tell the pics

I doubt you'll get carried out

Love the mohawk on Loshak

Lol yee right as their record suggests http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...loshak-p2.html

[bjpenn85]

his gets tagget a lot hin his fights. He gets tagged so much that i dont want to bet him at -300. Take a good luck, watch some tape and come back to me if you still think he is a good bet. I doubt it...i doubt it. Its to bad because ferg was a promising fighter if it wasnt for his chin.

[getlucky2win]

• MMAOB Premium Betting Record

Bets provided by Nick Kalikas.

• 
  
  • Bet-by-Bet
  
  

UFC Fight Night 40: 1-3, -3.825 units
Wins: 2.5u: Matt Brown (+190)
Losses: 2.5u: Parlay of Desmond Green(-175)) with Kyojo Horiguchi, Parlay of Kyojo Horiguchi (-185) with Lorenz Larkin (-235) at +120, Parlay of Yan Cabral (-450) with Cariaso/Smolka OVER 2.5 rounds (-255) at -143
UFC 172: -7 units
Wins: none
Losses: 3.5u: Yancy Medieros (+165), Parlay of Phil Davis with Jones/Texiera UNDER 3.5 rounds (+129)
UFC on Fox 11: -9.45 units
Wins: none
Losses: 3u: Ray Borg (+190), Rafael dos Anjos (+235), Brad Tavares (-115)
TUF Nations Finale: -2.2 units
Wins: 3u: Elias Theodorou (-150)
Losses: 4u: Kyle Noke (-130)
UFC Fight Night 39: 0 units
Wins: 2.5u: Roy Nelson (-120)
Losses: 2.5u: Tatsuya Kawajiri (+125)
UFC Fight Night 38: -7.2 unitsWins: none
Losses: 3u: Gian Villante (-140), Parlay of Pepey/Lahat OVER with Maldonado/Villante OVER (+140)
UFC 171: -3.65 units
Wins: 3u: Parlay Hector Lombard with Myles Jury at +145
Losses: 4u: Raquel Pennington (+245), 4u Robbie Lawler (+310)
TUF China Finale: -2.45 units
Wins: 3u: Matt Mitrione (+105)
Losses: 2u: Nam Phan (-130), 3u: Michael Kuiper (Titan FC 27) (+170)
UFC 170: -1.7 units
Wins: 2u: Parlay Eye/Davis OVER 2.5 with Munhoz/Assuncao OVER 2.5 at +115
Losses: 2u: Demian Maia (+265), Pedro Munhoz (+215)
UFC Fight Night 36: -9 units
Wins: none
Losses: 3u: Gegard Mousasi (+225), Jesse Ronson (+165), Two-Team Parlay at (+121) of Albert Tumenov with Joe Proctor

[Domestic]

• MMAOB Premium Betting Record

Bets provided by Nick Kalikas.

• 
  
  • Bet-by-Bet
  
  

UFC Fight Night 40: 1-3, -3.825 units
Wins: 2.5u: Matt Brown (+190)
Losses: 2.5u: Parlay of Desmond Green(-175)) with Kyojo Horiguchi, Parlay of Kyojo Horiguchi (-185) with Lorenz Larkin (-235) at +120, Parlay of Yan Cabral (-450) with Cariaso/Smolka OVER 2.5 rounds (-255) at -143
UFC 172: -7 units
Wins: none
Losses: 3.5u: Yancy Medieros (+165), Parlay of Phil Davis with Jones/Texiera UNDER 3.5 rounds (+129)
UFC on Fox 11: -9.45 units
Wins: none
Losses: 3u: Ray Borg (+190), Rafael dos Anjos (+235), Brad Tavares (-115)
TUF Nations Finale: -2.2 units
Wins: 3u: Elias Theodorou (-150)
Losses: 4u: Kyle Noke (-130)
UFC Fight Night 39: 0 units
Wins: 2.5u: Roy Nelson (-120)
Losses: 2.5u: Tatsuya Kawajiri (+125)
UFC Fight Night 38: -7.2 unitsWins: none
Losses: 3u: Gian Villante (-140), Parlay of Pepey/Lahat OVER with Maldonado/Villante OVER (+140)
UFC 171: -3.65 units
Wins: 3u: Parlay Hector Lombard with Myles Jury at +145
Losses: 4u: Raquel Pennington (+245), 4u Robbie Lawler (+310)
TUF China Finale: -2.45 units
Wins: 3u: Matt Mitrione (+105)
Losses: 2u: Nam Phan (-130), 3u: Michael Kuiper (Titan FC 27) (+170)
UFC 170: -1.7 units
Wins: 2u: Parlay Eye/Davis OVER 2.5 with Munhoz/Assuncao OVER 2.5 at +115
Losses: 2u: Demian Maia (+265), Pedro Munhoz (+215)
UFC Fight Night 36: -9 units
Wins: none
Losses: 3u: Gegard Mousasi (+225), Jesse Ronson (+165), Two-Team Parlay at (+121) of Albert Tumenov with Joe Proctor

[bjpenn85]

To be the world best in anything is very hard. They have at least showed some evidence of actually being the world best in picking wrong. Hats off.

[forthewin]

He's going to pressure Lawler. I see the same fight as Lawler/Hendricks. Ellenberger has power and he should be able to pull the trigger. Hendricks pressured Lawler and Ellenberger is capable of the same technique.
At +190 it's a good bet.

We're cashin.

.

Good value, but with Ellenberger's proposed pressuring of Lawler in a similar way of Hendricks, there is one missing intangible and that's Hendricks chin; Ellenberger doesn't have it. If he pressures Lawler like that he is going to sleep. BOL

[Vaughany]

Indeed, ellenberger wont take the punishment. He'll start doing desperate telegraphed takedowns as soon as he gets tagged

[CarpeDime]

They still have focking queers doing these vids? Focking loshak and kalikas look like they want to get the shit over with so they can fock eachother..lol. I watched about 90 seconds of the shit. Couple of phags in love. Haha.

HEY! Do NOT disparage me for my sexual preferences. My sexuality has zero to do with these videos or my MMA analysis.

Yes I have a strong sexual attraction towards men. Am I attracted to Nick? I mean, sure he's cute, whatevs, but that is not in my mind when I am doing these videos with him.

Now you are going to go back and you are going to watch ALL of these videos, is that understood???

[rocky16]

HEY! Do NOT disparage me for my sexual preferences. My sexuality has zero to do with these videos or my MMA analysis.

Yes I have a strong sexual attraction towards men. Am I attracted to Nick? I mean, sure he's cute, whatevs, but that is not in my mind when I am doing these videos with him.

Now you are going to go back and you are going to watch ALL of these videos, is that understood???

Loshak.

Where are your glasses?

Did kalikas get so excite he blasted thru a lens?

Either way you are an alpha stud.

I will watch the vids.

They are quite informative.

[BIGDAY]

Something about Loshak fired up.

Losher. We got good value at +190. He has dropped.

[BIGDAY]

Ferguson the easiest money on the card.

[BIGDAY]

Doesn't get any fukken easier than that.