[EaglesPhan36]

History shows that at least one #13 has won in eight of the last nine NCAA tournaments against the #4. So who is the most susceptible #4 this year?

South: UCLA vs. Tulsa
East: Iowa State vs. NC Central
West: Creighton vs. Louisiana
Midwest: Louisville vs. Manhattan

To me, it is Creighton. A team that shoots teams out of the gym, but if their jumpers are not falling, they can be beaten. Teams that have beaten them this year have played good perimeter defense, beat the Blue Jays on the board and been aggressive in getting to the FT line. I think the big keys are being able to score against Creighton, rebounding and making some key stops.

Lafayette can score with this team, they are 13th in the country in points per game. They are 39th in rebounding. FT shooting is a little beat of a weak spot @ 67%. Defensively, Lafayette is not going to be a shut down team - but they have adequate defenders to match up with Creighton.

What they do have is solid guard play and a big in Shawn Long who will challenge McDermott and has more bulk than the Creighton bigs. This will be one of the best 1st round one-on-one match-ups, although I am sure both coaches will rotate defenders some.

For me, if a #13 wins this year - I think it's Lafayette. I'll also be in attendance at this one.

[thetrinity]

Nice but Creighton's is 3 seed

[Zeus54]

Creighton-ULL is a 3-14 matchup, bruh.

San Diego St. is the 4 seed that will bow out in the 1st round...

[EaglesPhan36]

Man I need to drink more.

[EaglesPhan36]

History shows that at least one #13 has won in eight of the last nine NCAA tournaments against the #4. So who is the most susceptible #4 this year?

South: UCLA vs. Tulsa
East: Iowa State vs. NC Central
West: San Diego State vs. New Mexico State
Midwest: Louisville vs. Manhattan

Yeah there fixed, so my analysis is moot for this. I actually think Creighton and Syracuse may go down in the opening round. I'm not high on my Orange at all at this point and Western Michigan is a good club.

[ZetaPsi808]

Ucla can lose

[nvrlose37]

Iowa st is a 3 seed as well, Mich st is the 4 seed in that bracket.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah I criss crossed all over with 3s and 4s. Can't blame it on booze. shameful.

[InTheDrink]

Yeah there fixed, so my analysis is moot for this. I actually think Creighton and Syracuse may go down in the opening round. I'm not high on my Orange at all at this point and Western Michigan is a good club.

Maybe if the game wasn't in buffalo

[EaglesPhan36]

You get beat on your home court by Boston College, pretty sure you can get beat in Buffalo by Western Michigan. Not sure I will pick it, but I won't be surprised if the Orange go down. I do think if they can skirt that one, that they can win an ugly 2nd rounder, especially if Ohio State makes it.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Sd St/UCLA both look super vulnerable and over seeded to me.

[Cuse0323]

Maybe if the game wasn't in buffalo

drinker, what's the beef with the Cuse. Florida playing in Florida, that's no issue. North Carolina teams getting home games for years but you hate us for some reason. Let it out, pal.

[Cuse0323]

I really don't see an upset this year in these games.

[SBRMAN23]

Those Jaspers can ball also watch out Pitino

[TakingVegasMoney]

I think New Mexico st can play with Sam Diego st. They have those 2 monsters inside that will be able to dominate the paint.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Thursday 3/20
New Mexico State +7 (2x)
The San Diego State Aztecs have a massive monkey on their back when it comes to the NCAA Tourney. They seem to be in the same position every year and end up in the same position at the end of every tournament game, walking off the court, head down, fans scratching their heads. Here is why this is bad news for SD St. They like to own the paint, they like to impose their will and they aren't going to own the paint against one of the largest teams in the country. They block shots behind 7-3 Sim Bhullar and 6-10 Nephawe whose first name I won't attempt to spell. Due to their size they get to the line a ton and if things get tough for San Diego St their 207th 3 point percentage won't bode well. Not to mention San Diego State isn't exactly in the business of blowing out teams in the first place. Look ML here,

[jtoler]

Not moot, SDSU could lose.

[jjgold]

How is Tulsa??

[RollinDo]

Tulsa could win. They are super hot right now and really have nothing to lose...at least consider them vs. the spread vs. UCLA - I'll be on that in a heartbeat if it's +4 or better! They are awesome vs. the spread this year - like Shox.