Sherman and co. will make things tough for the outside receivers, resulting in more targets for Welker over the middle. That dropped pass in the Superbowl a few years ago has been on Welker's mind for years. I say he has a big game today.
If Welker has a big game then Manning has a big game. It would have to be well over half of catches and yards to Welker. He'd need like 15 catches and 200+ yards to get it. Good luck.
Where are these odds coming from they're beautiful. Concern though is that if Welker does well (or any receiver) then Manning is also (and there's bias anyway for any QB to win it let alone it's Peyton Manning bias). Other concern is that since he's a slot receiver it's harder to make the huge TD runs. Still love the odds.
If you are going to wager on a Bronco, Manning is the obvious wager. No other Bronco will have a chance unless some freak play turns the game around. Welker should be +6000. That is about how much of a chance he has of winning the award.
I tend to agree with basically every poster in this thread.
In fact, I was at the point where I was thinking Manning winning MVP at + money was +EV. I mean, in reality, there aren't many scenario's where Denver wins the game and Peyton isn't the MVP.
I think there's such a miniscule chance any Broncos WR/TE wins it because, as many have already stated, if a WR/TE has a big game, odds are Manning does as well.