[SteelRain]

I will hope manning wins so he can finally stfu the haters like lebron did the last 2 years.

[stevenash]

The guy is trying to make it look like he's on Denver, but it sounds like he's trying to get you on Seattle. Read his post carefully.

I think most of the betting public has their mind made up already.

[PAULYPOKER]

The guy is trying to make it look like he's on Denver, but it sounds like he's trying to get you on Seattle. Read his post carefully.

He's enticing the degens to bet points on Seattle.......

The line says it all

Seattle +3 +100
Denver -3 -120

Bookmaker odds (which SBR mirrors) is set at 2.5 -110......Lol.......

27 out of 30 books ATS is @ 2.5.......

[Thor4140]

I see Moreno having a good game. Seattle's strength is their secondary, not their front 7. That allows them to single coverage more often but I promise you, Manning is better than the Seattle secondary. They haven't faced anyone near as smart as Manning. He gets rid of the ball quick. He may get sacked once but he doesn't get hit often. Too smart. He'll audible at the line and things should open up for Moreno as Seattle realizes they cannot win in man to man.

I'll bump this after the game

he gets rid of the ball quick because he is throwing against garbage that doesn't cover shit. Lets see how he does against a defense that can actually cover people instead of three out of four guys wide open.

[Thor4140]

I will hope manning wins so he can finally stfu the haters like lebron did the last 2 years.

lebron was awful in the finals three years ago. Had a lot of help two years ago and last year if it wasn't for Allens three late he would have lost that one. He should be fine this year tho. Indy is the better team but when the refs take Hibbert out of the game for Lebron like they do every time Miami beats Indy, he can drive freely thru the lane. No susperstar in the history of sports needs as much help as Lebron. Now they go get him Odom. Maybe they can somehow get Durant off of Ok City to help him out.

[kfranz31]

no but sherman is now bow down to his greatness

[slacker00]

No. You are wrong again.


Matthew Michael "Matt" Hasselbeck (born September 25, 1975)^[1] is an American football quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts of the National Football League (NFL).^[2] He was drafted in the sixth round of the 1998 NFL Draft by the Green Bay Packers. After a season on the practice squad and two seasons backing up Brett Favre, he was traded to the Seattle Seahawks in 2001. Hasselbeck gained the starting role in 2003, and led Seattle to six playoff appearances and a Super Bowl appearance; he was selected to three Pro Bowls and an All-Pro selection.

Your source is wrong. Hasselbeck was the SEA starting QB in 2001 and 2002. What is the source? Your mom?

[frostno98]

he gets rid of the ball quick because he is throwing against garbage that doesn't cover shit. Lets see how he does against a defense that can actually cover people instead of three out of four guys wide open.

You talking about that same overrated defense, that almost lost in OT at home to the buccaneers and Mike Glennon right?

[Rangers901]

WARNING: Peyton Manning actually is God. Fading him can cause such side effects as face in hands, nausea, regret, and a lighter wallet. Please consult with your financial advisor before fading Peyton Manning.

[slacker00]

WARNING: Peyton Manning actually is God. Fading him can cause such side effects as face in hands, nausea, regret, and a lighter wallet. Please consult with your financial advisor before fading Peyton Manning.

Peyton is 1-4 ATS in his last 5 playoff games. Fading Peyton in the playoffs is money in the bank.

[Rangers901]

Peyton is 1-4 ATS in his last 5 playoff games. Fading Peyton in the playoffs is money in the bank.

First, lighten up, it was intended to be a joke (kind of).

Second, tell me how those last 5 playoff games are relevant when discussing this game?

[frostno98]

Peyton is 1-4 ATS in his last 5 playoff games. Fading Peyton in the playoffs is money in the bank.

A lot of people were fading Manning moneyline pretty heavy the last two games expecting a classic Peyton Manning choke, and lost miserably. And I saw ton here alone moneylining both the Pats and Chargers.

[BigdaddyQH]

Thank you. I am feeling more confident that denver will win....now that lakerboy and sbr_john don't believe in manning.

2nd year QB's dont beat veteran QB's like manning unless your name is tom brady and have spies stealing signals.

Proabbaly last chance for manning to win superbowl....NFL will make sure he wins his 2nd superbowl. Referees decide most of the games in NFL.

So you think that most NFL games are fixed. Is that what you are saying. If so, GET A LIFE. You know absolutely NOTHING about what it takes to fix a game. NOTHING.

[slacker00]

First, lighten up, it was intended to be a joke (kind of).

Second, tell me how those last 5 playoff games are relevant when discussing this game?

The spreads are tilted against the guy. He's a 1st ballot HOFer, but he's not God. That's the discussion.

[Rangers901]

The spreads are tilted against the guy. He's a 1st ballot HOFer, but he's not God. That's the discussion.

I would say that this would be a legitimate point, except the sample size you use is so small.

Trends, such as the one you stated, are typically useless to serious investors. Why did you choose to use the last 5 games as your sample size? What was his ATS record in the previous 5 games? It could have been 5-0, 4-1, etc.

The point is, trends such as the one you used are typically manipulated to better suit your own theory, rather than paint the entire picture.

[Vinnie Paz]

You talking about that same overrated defense, that almost lost in OT at home to the buccaneers and Mike Glennon right?

Please just stop. Overrated defence lol.

Peytons noodle arm soft tosses are a huge x factor no ones bringing up. His passes are awful looking and will limit them. He won't be able to throw a deep ball if its windy . Sea d all tackle well and can lay the wood and their press man coverage is no joke. They should be able to handle all the underneath stuff. Denver Wrs could really struggle here. I don't like this matchup for them offensively, I'd feel better if they drew san fran but it is what it is.

[Vinnie Paz]

Btw I think Denver gets all the calls. Anyone have an idea who the refs are or when they announce it?

[slacker00]

I would say that this would be a legitimate point, except the sample size you use is so small.

Trends, such as the one you stated, are typically useless to serious investors. Why did you choose to use the last 5 games as your sample size? What was his ATS record in the previous 5 games? It could have been 5-0, 4-1, etc.

The point is, trends such as the one you used are typically manipulated to better suit your own theory, rather than paint the entire picture.

Peyton is 10-12 ATS in his playoff career. Does that paint a better picture? If you have better info, please share.

[slacker00]

Btw I think Denver gets all the calls. Anyone have an idea who the refs are or when they announce it?

I started a thread earlier today. Add some insight if you know anything.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...-analysis.html

[Easy-Rider 66]

Btw I think Denver gets all the calls. Anyone have an idea who the refs are or when they announce it?

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...-analysis.html

[BigdaddyQH]

Yup books are gonna pay a 90% public play.

Just what do you smoke before you dream this B.S. up? You know NOTHING about how the books operate, so give it up. You rank amateurs are just so sad.

[No coincidences]

Why would the books not open this line at Denver -3?

[Sam Odom]

Could have opened at 3 and most likely stayed at 3

[Rangers901]

Peyton is 10-12 ATS in his playoff career. Does that paint a better picture? If you have better info, please share.

You just confirmed my point.

You manipulated that trend to better suit your your side.

You mentioned his record for his last 5 playoff games against the spread, 1-4 (20%), but you leave out the fact that he was 9-8 (53%) the 17 playoff games before that.

So, for someone who enjoys fading Manning, does a 1-4 (20%) record sound better, or 10-12 (43.5%)?

Also, Manning is 1-0-1 ATS in these playoffs (depending what line you got in the SD game). The comparison doesn't work because he's fielding statistically the best offense in NFL history this season.

[slacker00]

You just confirmed my point.

You manipulated that trend to better suit your your side.

You mentioned his record for his last 5 playoff games against the spread, 1-4 (20%), but you leave out the fact that he was 9-8 (53%) the 17 playoff games before that.

So, for someone who enjoys fading Manning, does a 1-4 (20%) record sound better, or 10-12 (43.5%)?

Also, Manning is 1-0-1 ATS in these playoffs (depending what line you got in the SD game). The comparison doesn't work because he's fielding statistically the best offense in NFL history this season.

Just because you fudge the numbers, doesn't me we all do it. DEN -7 vs SD? Give me a break.

My point is that Peyton has great fantasy numbers, that's why the line is shaded against him now.

[SBR_John]

He's enticing the degens to bet points on Seattle.......

The line says it all

Seattle +3 +100
Denver -3 -120

Bookmaker odds (which SBR mirrors) is set at 2.5 -110......Lol.......

27 out of 30 books ATS is @ 2.5.......

Not really. At 3 -120 we will still have an imbalance on Denver. I think it closes at -3 -115.

[lakerboy]

Why would the books not open this line at Denver -3?

By mistake they picked the winning team and no one believed them so everyone and their mom took den. Its just that simple. Den can't lose. Its free money.

[PAYTON20]

Why would the books not open this line at Denver -3?

they know Seahawks will win and didn't want to offer +money on the Seahawks ML... but now have no choice with public hammering Denver.

They open it Denver -3 and the Seahawks would be +150 or higher by now

[PAULYPOKER]

BigdaddyQH AKA Hank Hill spoutin off all kinds of driveling rants,remarks.... Lol.........

[Kermit]

I think Welker is going to have a big game as far as catches go.

[daneblazer]

Peyton won't be denied this time

[Thor4140]

You talking about that same overrated defense, that almost lost in OT at home to the buccaneers and Mike Glennon right?

And Denver almost lost to Dallas so what is ur point?

[Capper1124]

He will really struggle in this one if the weather is bad

[Andy117]

90 percent?
I bet you the line crosses zero four times in the next two weekes.
Seattle money will come in, line will go to Sea -1, and back and forth.

I don't think it ever gets to zero.

[pavyracer]

Does God watch the Superbowl? I don't remember reading about sports in the Bible.