1. #1
    Ballerholic
    Ballerholic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-13
    Posts: 2,767
    Betpoints: 1806

    Am I actually taking the Bears -1 tonight? You bet.

    Cowboys +1 @ Bears

    So why take the Bears tonight? Well at first I was all over the Cowboys. Thinking how can this Bears D stop anyone? I figured Murray would run all over this Chi-town D. But then I checked the numbers. Bears are 32nd against the run and 15th against the pass. However, Cowboys are 15th passing in the league, and 27th rushing. Now I don't exactly know if the Bears are gonna be run over. The Bears have a pretty good offense, finally. They are 5th in the league in passing, and 21st rushing. The Cowboys D are 32nd against the pass, and 27th against the run.
    Even though Bears dominate the passing game on both sides here, this will probably be more of a rushing game due to the cold weather. But, again this is a Chi-town team who are used to the cold playing a Dome Texas team.
    Bears are 4-2 at home beating the Bengals, Vikings, Giants and Ravens. Cowboys are 2-4 away beating the Eagles, and Giants.
    This is December where Romo usually doesn't play too well. Public is largely on the Cowboys with 67%. SNF the public favorite (Saints) won. Tonight, I expect the public dog to win.

    Bears -1 Let's get it!

    I gave you Hawks, Nets and Celtics. For 3-0 on B2B2B days.

  2. #2
    walkingdude2
    walkingdude2's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-07
    Posts: 335
    Betpoints: 7986

    Nice post good information.

    I don't like the fact that the Bears are 2-9 ats and the Cowboys are 8-4. Combined totals on the over is 15-9 but the weather may be a factor.

  3. #3
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by walkingdude2 View Post
    I don't like the fact that the Bears are 2-9 ats
    That basically goes out the window because this game is around a Pick though. The reason for the poor ATS record is because Bears are terrible favorites due to their run defense.

  4. #4
    Ballerholic
    Ballerholic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-13
    Posts: 2,767
    Betpoints: 1806

    Quote Originally Posted by walkingdude2 View Post
    Nice post good information.

    I don't like the fact that the Bears are 2-9 ats and the Cowboys are 8-4. Combined totals on the over is 15-9 but the weather may be a factor.

    Books are probably looking to get the Bears ATS record closer to even right?

  5. #5
    Joey Blaze
    Joey Blaze's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-13
    Posts: 267
    Betpoints: 916

    Great write up.. I didnt like the spread the over or the under so I took the Cowboys +8.5 in a teaser.. honestly this game at a PK is a coin flip

  6. #6
    Ballerholic
    Ballerholic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-13
    Posts: 2,767
    Betpoints: 1806

    Price moving towards -1.5, this is good

  7. #7
    ksnooksk
    ksnooksk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-18-11
    Posts: 2,890
    Betpoints: 34

    I like this. Let's get this cash.

  8. #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10


  9. #9
    zacher
    Armed Rodgery
    zacher's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-13
    Posts: 588
    Betpoints: 1499


    3) BET ID=428943712
    Straight Wager 12/09/13 09:06 ET
    bet 50.00 to win 45.55 Result: Pending
    Cowboys(Dallas)
    Bears(Chicago)
    12/09/13(20:45 ET)
    Over 48 (-110)

    4) BET ID=428943711
    Straight Wager 12/09/13 09:06 ET
    bet 50.00 to win 45.55 Result: Pending
    Cowboys(Dallas)
    Bears(Chicago)
    12/09/13(20:45 ET)
    Bears(Chicago) +1.5 (-110)

    Heres my monday night picks… I went with the over but I am thinking I am lucky I jumped on the Bears with the +1.5

  10. #10
    Ballerholic
    Ballerholic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-13
    Posts: 2,767
    Betpoints: 1806

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    i like the under here. most games/ bad weather games went over yesterday. Both D bad tho. we'll see. I would have taken under but i see bears winning at least 60% of the time in this spot

  11. #11
    zacher
    Armed Rodgery
    zacher's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-13
    Posts: 588
    Betpoints: 1499

    Yeah its a cold weather game.. which you would assume under but then again both have really bad defenses I just think this game will be a down to the wire shootout with the likes of Brandon Marshall picking on some of the DBs/LBs even with McGown as their QB

  12. #12
    RickyRoma
    RickyRoma's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-24-13
    Posts: 624
    Betpoints: 421

    got the bears at +1, lookin forward to romoception..

  13. #13
    frankie2769
    frankie2769's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-31-09
    Posts: 115

    Don't know who it will affect, but I just left the office downtown Chicago (not far from the stadium) and its windy and extremely cold. I believe its below 0 with the wind chill. Keep in mind the stadium is closer to the lake so its probably colder..

  14. #14
    ChalkyDog
    Buy the ticket, take the ride.
    ChalkyDog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-11
    Posts: 9,598
    Betpoints: 13

    Just a question, are you all betting +1 -110?

    Why? What's the ML being offered at?

    BTW, it's move to Bears -2 at bookmaker.

  15. #15
    RickyRoma
    RickyRoma's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-24-13
    Posts: 624
    Betpoints: 421

    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkyDog View Post
    Just a question, are you all betting +1 -110?

    Why? What's the ML being offered at?

    BTW, it's move to Bears -2 at bookmaker.

    bovada had it last night bro =/

  16. #16
    ChalkyDog
    Buy the ticket, take the ride.
    ChalkyDog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-11
    Posts: 9,598
    Betpoints: 13

    Quote Originally Posted by RickyRoma View Post
    bovada had it last night bro =/
    That's not my question, my question is why the fukk does anyone take +1 -110?

  17. #17
    SteveKerrsJunk
    SteveKerrsJunk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-13
    Posts: 2,706
    Betpoints: 134

    Bears are good at home. But still suck overall.

  18. #18
    hossa8110
    hossa8110's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 241
    Betpoints: 6636

    The bears just flat out suck just too banged up

  19. #19
    zacher
    Armed Rodgery
    zacher's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-13
    Posts: 588
    Betpoints: 1499

    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkyDog View Post
    That's not my question, my question is why the fukk does anyone take +1 -110?

    I am thinking your asking like what the money line was at and why didn't I or RickyRoma didn't take that..

    I think when I placed the ML was at like +120 but I honestly don't know if the Bears will win but I think if they don't it will be a 1 point game to the boys…thats why I went with what I did because the line was at +1.5 not just 1 so it wouldn't push with me if they lost by 1 I'd still win.


    I am on sportsbook which I have heard mixed reviews about after I have opened my account but haven't had problems with them other than the fact you can count on their lines will be .5 more in whomever they see the favor.
    Last edited by zacher; 12-09-13 at 05:47 PM.

  20. #20
    Mase of Base
    Mase of Base's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-24-12
    Posts: 3,622
    Betpoints: 804

    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkyDog View Post
    That's not my question, my question is why the fukk does anyone take +1 -110?
    I'm not but teams losing by one isn't out of the question. Happened once already this weekend and very nearly twice. So while I see your point I also can't begrudge anyone for taking the point on offer, push is better than a loss.

  21. #21
    ChalkyDog
    Buy the ticket, take the ride.
    ChalkyDog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-11
    Posts: 9,598
    Betpoints: 13

    I can't agree with people taking +1 at full vig. I also won't sit here and tell people how to gamble their money either, especially when it is minutia shit we're talking about.

    So, once again, to each their own.

  22. #22
    Pivotpoint
    Pivotpoint's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-06
    Posts: 1,762
    Betpoints: 3817

    I get reduced juice, Bears + 1 - 108 / or ML was @ -105

    I took the point, cost me a few bucks, whatever. Crazy shit happens

    Good Luck Ballerholic and all Bears backers.

    Usually wish BOL to all, but hate penetrating Cowgirls and Jerry Jones.

    May their vaginas freeze in these frigid temps.

    Go Bears

  23. #23
    Ballerholic
    Ballerholic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-13
    Posts: 2,767
    Betpoints: 1806

    And here we go... BOL all

  24. #24
    ksnooksk
    ksnooksk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-18-11
    Posts: 2,890
    Betpoints: 34


  25. #25
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
    JayLA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-12
    Posts: 7,806
    Betpoints: 1219

    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkyDog View Post
    I can't agree with people taking +1 at full vig. I also won't sit here and tell people how to gamble their money either, especially when it is minutia shit we're talking about.

    So, once again, to each their own.
    Im a novice bettor and it makes complete sense.

  26. #26
    zacher
    Armed Rodgery
    zacher's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-13
    Posts: 588
    Betpoints: 1499

    theres that TOTAL OVER most people wouldn't take because of the weather.

  27. #27
    Ballerholic
    Ballerholic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-13
    Posts: 2,767
    Betpoints: 1806

    Well congrats to all that tailed. We made some nice today!!!

    That's 5-0 on PODs. Check-in tomorrow for my next POD

  28. #28
    ksnooksk
    ksnooksk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-18-11
    Posts: 2,890
    Betpoints: 34


Top