[C-Gold]

Got absolutely screwed in the Buffalo game. 3rd and goal from the 15, Matt Ryan is chased around and lobs up a ball on his back foot. The ignorant black side judge calls pass INT after the WR slips. Stephen Jackson pushes forward for a cheap 1 yard TD run.

What happened to letting the players decide the game instead of the refs? That was a bailout call. Then the stupid Bill fumbles right into the Falcons hands as they were marching down for the game winning FG.

I am going to finish up this week but man, how are those for bad beats.

Dallas was up 10, and the Raiders kick a FG for the back door cover.
The Phila game had 3 HUGE shitty calls and looked fixed, ask anybody who watched that game.
Falcons get bailed out for a bad call.

4-2-1
3-2-1 ATS
1-0 ML

That's with 3 bad beats. My write ups and calls were spot on.

[erceg]

Great write ups!!! Thanks C!!!!

I agree on the no call for intf for bills, there was some pulling but at the end they just sliped in front of the ref and got the flag?!
But anyways, its all on the bills, 2 bad fumbles, yeah it hapens, but come on, 2 times under the arm push!!! get the damn ball craddeled and secure when making a run with d breathing down you neck! i would make them run with a big ass hot stone for next 10 practices!

Anyway GL, and am waiting for new write ups!

[jjgold]

C-Gold is one of top NFL handicappers here

[C-Gold]

C-Gold is one of top NFL handicappers here

One of the best?

Show me somebody else here who is 60% or better and plays a lot of games and has solid write ups. You have to admit I was spot on those games today.

[NYSportsGuy210]

One of the best?

Show me somebody else here who is 60% or better and plays a lot of games and has solid write ups. You have to admit I was spot on those games today.

Oh STFU dude...you're terrible.

[C-Gold]

Oh STFU dude...you're terrible.

Are you just mad that I RAN is going to get bombed back to the stone age? Maybe you can rent a BMW and try and look cool you freaking homosexual. Get lost. You are a joke.

[Scorpion]

[C-Gold]

Both the official and the player had to move out of his way. I hope the NFL takes a high draft pick away like they did for the Patriots when they cheated, or suspend Tomlin. A simple 25,000 dollar fine isn't enough. NFL can't tolerate that bush league cheating. He is a sick embarassment.

[djmano]

Your capping abilities are second only to your uncanny skill for making hilarious rips on NFL players.

I was in stitches the third time I read Gina smith. Peg leg iii and rgsheet also got me.

[C-Gold]

4-2-1 last week so I am still a 60% documented capper. Haven't had the time, energy, or desire to make picks this week so far. I am just going to add to this thread.

[C-Gold]

I feel like I was ripped off on the Philly PUSH, last week, the Buffalo loss in OT on that awful awful call, and the Dallas Cowboys giving up that backdoor cover to win by 7 and I had them -7.5. Awful awful losses last week. Phila and Buffalo especially. Apparently the Arizona cardinals turned in 15 plays to the league office that they said were bad calls in THEIR favor, one of them being that final penalty that actually benefited zona backers. Phila would have kicked the 3 and covered the spread but that game was funny all around. A push isn't a loss but it really should have been a win.

[C-Gold]

One of the first games that jumps out to me is Atlanta +3 vs Green Bay. Why does it jump out to me? Because it is Matt Ryan, with Roddy White back against an inept Matt Flynn. This isn't 500 yard Matt Flynn, this is Matt Damon's low budget porn fluffer Matt Flynn. The guy sucks and can't do anything right. I'll take top 10 QB over 3rd string QB all day but I am not taking either here.

Let me tell you there is an element that goes on late in the NFL that goes a little something like this. Atlanta knows that their garbage season is about to come to an end. At some point last week they were sitting on the bench after practice and one Atlanta player asks the other Atlanta player, "Man, do we really have to go to Green Bay this week?".

Yeah the Packers suck without Rodgers but at the same time the Falcons won't want to finish their meaningless season out in the cold frozen tundra. It hurts to get tackled on that field. Matt Ryan has always had problems on the road and this is a soft dome team.

This game looks like you want to take Atlanta +3 but this game is a solid no play for me as you can't cap their lack of motivation.

[C-Gold]

Vikings @ Ravens -6.5

I look to play the Ravens at home and their unders but 6.5 is a lot. I have a feeling the Ravens do cover but I don't like laying that on a team that struggles to move the chains and score points. I would maybe consider teasing them with something. Leslie Frazier is about to become one of the 12 million unemployed Americans.

[C-Gold]

Buffalo @ Tampa -2.5

I would lean Tampa here but neither team is very good so I don't like betting on this game. Buffalo is more of a speed team while they are playing on grass and Tampa is stronger.

It is the battle of 2 rookie QB's and Mike Glennon is clearly the best rookie in his class so far. He took over for a winless team and is now 3-6. He has more TDs, a higher completion percentage, better QB rating and all that good stuff than EJ Manuel. His stats and the Bucs points scored also improved a lot over the BI Josh Freeman. How much did Buffalo fall off when Thad Lewis played? Not as much?

and don't even get me started on princess Gina Smith. I for sure thought that Mike Glennon would be a mistake to take in round 1, but taking EJ Manuel in a reach was a huge mistake also. It looks like this QB class just sucks overall. GINA Smith will be out of the NFL. EJ Manuel will probably be backing up somewhere. Mike Glennon will probably be a backup QB, but if the next coaching regime likes him and plays him he might turn into a Joe Flacco type.

Either way this is not a good game to bet on. If you had to take a team I'd go with Tampa at home but they are not to be trusted.

[C-Gold]

Miami @ Pittsburgh

Rooney Rule Mike Tomlin is an embarrassment to the game. Not a chance Bill Cowher would have ever done that or Ken Whisenhunt who should have replaced Cowher. I don't think a lot of people get how big of a deal this is. You aren't even supposed to be on the white part of the sideline there nevermind have your foot on the field designed to trip or intimidate the other team. This was a huge play in the game that would have been a TD. Jacoby Jones had to change his trajectory and the official also had to change his path. Mike Tomlin laughed about it after the fact and now goes on the defensive mode. F him. A Jets strength coach was kicked out of the NFL for doing the same exact thing, will Roger Goddell be hard on princess Tomlin?

Betting Florida teams to come up North and win in the cold is a stupid proposition. It has little to do with the talent of the guys but human nature. These guys get used to 75 degrees and then WAM it's 20 and it feels even worse. How does a 65 degrees feel like after a summer of 90 degree days? It feels chilly. How does 65 degrees feel after a bunch of 30 degree days? It feels fantastic. Well that's part of the reason why this game will be so hard for Miami.

Football is different when played in the cold. It is more about running the ball and playing defense. You want a QB that can handle the elements. A guy with a weak arm and a coconut brain like Gina Smith is a perfect example of what you don't want. Joe Flacco or Ben Roethlisburger are cold weather QBs. Big guys, strong arms, know how to protect the football.

Miami was once off to a good start. The slide started happening earlier but their homosexual LT Jonathan Martin and his family of blood sucking lawyers didn't help.

If this game was played in September on a neutral site I might pick Miami but it is Pittsburgh in Dcember. I dont like the hook but I would consider Pitt ML.

[C-Gold]

Kansas City @ Washington +3

The public is HUUUUUUGE on the Chiefs. They can't lose 4 in a row right against RG3wins and 9 losses. Horse face III suuuuuucks, this is easy money right?

I see an 80/20 split on KC. BUT I also saw the public huge on the 49ers and they covered against Washington, I saw a decent amount on the Giants and they also covered. Is Vegas just giving free money away fading Washington and their swamp rat 3 QB?

Last year in Washington they were comparing RGSHEET to Drew Brees with legs. He is going to be a faster Aaron Rodgers. Just look at him now and he's only a rookie! Well here is a secret. Pocket QB's improve over time, most running QB's don't. Pocket QB's learn how to read defenses and they improve. Running QB's get slower and more injury prone over time. They also can't read the passing game the same way and they lock into tendencies, and once defensive coordinators adapt, they get exploited. RG3 didn't throw picks last year because the read option was new, and 90% of his success was throwing play action off of that to wide open guys. Now he doesn't have those wide open guys and his sucks. Remember when he didn't have any picks last year and they were talking about how smart he was. He has 15TD and 11 picks and much of his positive stats were in garbage time as his teams were getting blow out.

The reason why Wash is only getting 3 here is because Houston is similar to Washington and lost to the Chiefs 17-16. Houston is actually better than Washington despite what their record says. Houston runs the ball, has poor QB play and a strong defense. Washington is the same but without the strong defense.

Another thing. KC has a good defense but let's look at the stats. KC gives up 117 for 4.6 per pop against the run and Washington can run the football with Horse Face and Alfred Morris. So yeah, Washington's defense sucks and KC's defense is good but would you have guessed that the Redskins are better against the run than the chiefs? I wouldn't.

The Redskins are vulerable in their secondary, particularly their safeties, and their linebackers. D Hall has played well this year but he is the only guy that can cover back there. But how is Alex Smith going to exploit their weakness? Alex Smith doesn't even throw to his receivers. It is run the ball and throw some screen pass to Jamal Charles.

The Redskins really should be +7 here and I don't like taking games like this. The Redskins had 2 fishy spreads that they did get blown out in, I wouldn't want to take them here. The books are just begging for you to take the Chiefs and Washington has some things that can keep them in this game. I wouldn't be shocked if the Chiefs win by 1 or 2 points here with the refs helping out.

[2daBank]

i think books prob collect money from the sharpies in that kc/skins gm as there plenty of money keeping that line at 3 all week.. def feels like a gm where you either go square or leave alone....i like the idea of the over tho.. reason there sharp money willing to back skins here cause their offense is talented and kc d has been below avg even before the den games they wernt generating the same kind of pressure.. both teams will be able to run and the footing gonna get bad which is adv wrs..hoping ppl start hearing about the weather and beat total down a little

[C-Gold]

Indy @ Cincy

Cincy has held opponents to 24 or less points 9 games in a row.
The Bengals are undefeated at home.
In 2/4 of the Colts last games they got blown out bad by teams that shouldn't blow them out.
Colts passing game has really suffered without Reggie Wayne.
Trent Richardson was a waste of a 1st round pick, chalk that one up for a win for the Cleveland Browns

Andrew Luck is still the best QB to come out for years. The people that post a thread that Andrew Luck sucks after 1 or 2 crappy games are complete idiots.

I think Cincinatti should win but I wouldn't want to lay 7 here.

[C-Gold]

i think books prob collect money from the sharpies in that kc/skins gm as there plenty of money keeping that line at 3 all week.. def feels like a gm where you either go square or leave alone....i like the idea of the over tho.. reason there sharp money willing to back skins here cause their offense is talented and kc d has been below avg even before the den games they wernt generating the same kind of pressure.. both teams will be able to run and the footing gonna get bad which is adv wrs..hoping ppl start hearing about the weather and beat total down a little

One positive angle I like is that Andy Reid has played those skins, and the Shannihan skins for years when he was in Philly. He might know how to attack them. Look at how the Chiefs beat the entire NFC East this year. They already beat the Cowboys, Eagles and Giants.

If the spread wasn't 3 I see another game with the Swamp Rat 3-9 explaining away to the media why they lost. But maybe they lost by 1-2 so that Vegas can trick the public into giving them their money to watch the NFL soap opera.

[2daBank]

One positive angle I like is that Andy Reid has played those skins, and the Shannihan skins for years when he was in Philly. He might know how to attack them. Look at how the Chiefs beat the entire NFC East this year. They already beat the Cowboys, Eagles and Giants.

If the spread wasn't 3 I see another game with the Swamp Rat 3-9 explaining away to the media why they lost. But maybe they lost by 1-2 so that Vegas can trick the public into giving them their money to watch the NFL soap opera.

reid a big reason i think squares take the cake in this one,, he has punked the whole nfc least this yr, i dont think skins are gonna clip them if the others couldnt but i agree it def could set up as one of those deals where skins ml gets beat (typically if skins were my kind of home dog id play the ml so im sure plenty are) while the cats laying the 3 w kc get beat as well.. but i think instead of a 17-16 type gm we talking 24-23/ 28-27 type gm..

[C-Gold]

Detroit @ Philly aka the Ghetto bowl

The ghetto bowl should be one of the better games of the week as the thugs from Detroit take on the criminals from Phila.

One thing I want to bring up is that Jason Lacenfora or however you spell his name is an idiot. Nick Foles stepped in for Michael Vick and had a good first game. His second game was shit and then JEW SON Lacenfora writes and article how Nick Foles sucks and the Eagles need to go back to the dog killer. Then Nick Foles goes on to what could be an MVP type season. Seriously, look at his stats, look at what he's done. He isn't just throwing 2 yard passes either. This is the double standard of the NFL. Michael Vick sucks for 1/2 a season and it isn't his fault. Nick Foles has 1 bad game and the media wants him benched in favor of the thug dog killer because he obviously isn't working out... after 1 game.

Detroit can look impressive at times but they are their own worse enemy. They were up at half time against the Packers what, by 3 or 7 points? They should have been up by 30. They did win 40-11 but they could have or should have won 63-3 or something else. Well coached teams play out to their potential. Bad coached teams leave points out on the field.

Detroit had extra time to prep for this game. Phila's defense isn't that good but maybe the cold helps slow down Reggie Bush. Bell runs hard and is a solid cold weather back.

I would maybe lean Phila here again but this is a no play for me. Detroit's coach is too much of a wild card.

[C-Gold]

reid a big reason i think squares take the cake in this one,, he has punked the whole nfc least this yr, i dont think skins are gonna clip them if the others couldnt but i agree it def could set up as one of those deals where skins ml gets beat (typically if skins were my kind of home dog id play the ml so im sure plenty are) while the cats laying the 3 w kc get beat as well.. but i think instead of a 17-16 type gm we talking 24-23/ 28-27 type gm..

That's why I brought up the Houston game where KC beat a 2 win team by 1 point, 17-16.

I do like the Andy Reid factor, and the KC team has to try and be focused to get a win and stay in the playoff hunt against a bad Washington team. They could and should win, so why only laying 3?

I put out a case for Washington but does anybody really thing they win? Maybe KC ML is good if you get a good price but I wouldn't want to take them ATS. Especially after all the funny shit this year.

[2daBank]

hard to take philly cause no matter how well they may play and jump out on det, philly is playing with fire with kelly's insistence time of possession doesnt matter, they have looked gassed in 4th qtrs and now here come the lions who one of the better 4th qrtr teams who make a habit out of doing stupid shit early then come storming back. i think det will own the 4th flip a coin on whether they complete the comeback but i like a balty/det tease as i have no doubt det will not lose by more than a td

[2daBank]

That's why I brought up the Houston game where KC beat a 2 win team by 1 point, 17-16.

I do like the Andy Reid factor, and the KC team has to try and be focused to get a win and stay in the playoff hunt against a bad Washington team. They could and should win, so why only laying 3?

I put out a case for Washington but does anybody really thing they win? Maybe KC ML is good if you get a good price but I wouldn't want to take them ATS. Especially after all the funny shit this year.

there a case for skins no doubt. but im gonna go out on a limb and say your case for skins would coincide with over no?

[C-Gold]

Cleveland @ NE

Big spread but I would consider fading Jason Campbell here. Patriots win it is just a question of by how much. Pats actually haven't been blowing people out this year. Lots of 3 point wins and 7 point wins. Maybe the books think they win by 10 so they put it to 10, 10.5 and hope it goes up to 11?

Pats still -10 at 5 dimes, great number to tease them down to 3. Do you remember how the Pats beat the Jason Campbell Redskins like 59-0 a few years back? He is the check down king and BB will exploit him.

[C-Gold]

there a case for skins no doubt. but im gonna go out on a limb and say your case for skins would coincide with over no?

Both teams run the ball.
It is cold and snowing in DC which makes everybody slower. I am not sure if the snow is sticking but bad footing can mess with you.

I'd stay away from the total. I don't play a lot of totals but when I do I am like 3-0 this year on totals.

[C-Gold]

hard to take philly cause no matter how well they may play and jump out on det, philly is playing with fire with kelly's insistence time of possession doesnt matter, they have looked gassed in 4th qtrs and now here come the lions who one of the better 4th qrtr teams who make a habit out of doing stupid shit early then come storming back. i think det will own the 4th flip a coin on whether they complete the comeback but i like a balty/det tease as i have no doubt det will not lose by more than a td

Yeah but Phila was trying to play slow last week against Arizona. They were up 24-7 at one point. The refs ****** them by calling back a Jackson punt return and a long McCoy run with a BS penalty on Jason Avant. 2 huge huge huge penalties.

I'd rather just watch this game.

[Trip8z]

What would be the plays today cgold?

[C-Gold]

Oakland @ Jets

Gina Smith is yet another failed black QB in a long line of failed black QBs. Gina was supposed to be a heisman candidate after torching joke schools. He had an awful second half of last year and even with 2 NFL receivers, including Tavon Austin. His offense was a gimmeck. He wasn't coming up to the line and reading coverage, he was coming up to the line and counting. One # means run and one # means pass. Ohhhh wooowwwww.

Plus the guy shows no leadership at all, those aren't my words those are his teammates words. He showed no hustle, no moxy, and he was anti social at the combine. The combine is a giant job interview. Maybe you go up and introduce yourself to your prospective employers instead of sit off to the side and text message your agent. EJ Manuel got this, he did everything right and that's why he was the first QB off the board. The Bills loved him and his maturity. Geno Smith thought he was entitled to be the 1st pick for the 2-14 chiefs and did nothing. That's why he slipped to round 2. I don't think the Jets even wanted him as much as their fan base wanted something, anything other than Mark Sanchez. Geno Smith is a horrible failure and will be out of the NFL within 3-5 years. No backup no nothing, he will be in Canada or have to try and find a real job.

Geno Smith hasn't thrown at TD pass in 5 weeks!!! This is in a pass happy NFL with watered down rules. This is in an NFL where Matt Stafford is a 5,000 yard passer. Geno Smith is completing less than 40% of his passes and he throws more picks than TDs. He is complete garbage. He can't read a defense, he has a weak arm, a bad attitude and he doesn't belong in the NFL. Guy thought he was entitled to being the top pick. Sorry Gina you don't belong in the NFL. Why don't you hit the books and maybe see if you can go back to WVU and play against 2nd rate college football teams.

Matt McGloin will never be a franchise QB but the guy looks like a solid spot start backup. He had good coaching in college and I said why can't this guy make it? He reads a defense, makes good decisions etc. His coach, coached in the NFL and vouched for him. Mcgloin said when he got to training camp he said, "I belong here, I can do this". He played well last week.

Not sure if I am crazy enough to take Oakland here because Rex still does have a solid defense and they really should feast on McGloin but no way I am taking Noodle armed peanut brained Gina Smith here.

[2daBank]

Yeah but Phila was trying to play slow last week against Arizona. They were up 24-7 at one point. The refs ****** them by calling back a Jackson punt return and a long McCoy run with a BS penalty on Jason Avant. 2 huge huge huge penalties.

I'd rather just watch this game.

refs also gifted them back by taking away foles 1st pick on a phantom defensive holding call.. philly has wore down in a great number of gms imo and they will have same prob with offense struggling to stay on field late cause det run d so stout..i expect det to own the 4th.. i dunno if that will translate to a win but a one possession gm i think is certainly highly likely..if it starts a little slow id be looking to live bet the total as well.

[C-Gold]

Titans @ Denver

John Fox's immaculate return to Denver this week + Peyton manning going against Greg Williams. Greg Williams is a cocky asshole who thinks he can outsmart Peyton Manning. Once he figures out he can't he just goes into a shell and calls cover 2 every play and his teams historically get smashed by Peyton Manning led teams.

I think the Broncos win and cover. The question is how well will fitz do. If you think the Titans will get 20 of their own points for example maybe you go with the over. If Fitzpatrick will get less just take Denver.

Denver has scored over 30 points 8 out of their last 10 games
Denver has scored over 27 points in 10 out of their last 10 games

Denver will get their 30 plus, the question is how many will the Titans get?

[C-Gold]

refs also gifted them back by taking away foles 1st pick on a phantom defensive holding call.. philly has wore down in a great number of gms imo and they will have same prob with offense struggling to stay on field late cause det run d so stout..i expect det to own the 4th.. i dunno if that will translate to a win but a one possession gm i think is certainly highly likely..if it starts a little slow id be looking to live bet the total as well.

I think you have better insight in this game than I do.

[C-Gold]

Rams @ Cards

The other 2 NFC West teams. Yeah the Cards should beat Kellen Clemens at home, but by how much? The problem is that Jeff Fisher when he knows he is out matched will try and turn the NFL game into gutter ball. He will let his guys hit the other team after the whistle and hope THEY get caught on their retaliation. He will just play that aggressive, turn this into more than an NFL game street fight kind of ball.

Jeff Fisher also knows the rules and how to manipulate them probably better than any coach out there. I still think Zona wins.

[C-Gold]

Giants @ San Diego

Eli is 0-2 lifetime against the team he doesn't want to play for, I think he goes to 0-3. The Giants suck, why are they only getting 3 on the road, 3,000 miles from home? Because they started to run the ball a little bit? The Giants O-Line is garbage. David Diehl has no business starting at RG. Brewer has no business starting at LG. They are starting a guard at center who pulls on run plays. They are starting a rookie Tackle and their LT can't handle top pass rushers. The line sucks and the Giants haven't scored more than 30 points in 13 weeks.

OK the line went up to 3.5 and 4 and SD has only won 1 of their last 5. Yeah SD should win but they haven't been winning at all.

[C-Gold]

Seattle @ SF

I thought Seattle would win convincingly against the Saints last week and they did. I like SF to win here.

SF has 4 losses and Seattle only has 1 but...
San Fran is 9-3ATS and Seattle is 8-4ATS. The people that think Seattle is clearly the way better team are off.

San Fran lost by 3 @ New Orleans and they lost by 1 at home to Carolina. Seattle barley beat Tampa in overtime at home.

I think Seattle is vulnerable against the run, and especially on the road. San Fran has the O-Line and the horses to attack them. I think San Frans D is on point at this point in the season. Beat LB core in the NFL hands down.

One thing nobody is talking about is how great of a job coaching Pete Carrol has done. College coaches don't win in the NFL? Look at what he has done and the players he brought in. Guy needs to get more credit.

but I do like SF here.