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Messing around with a new System
Not betting this week, just some picks to test out my system lets see if they would hit. Takes into accoutn a O lien Rating, D line Rating, SoS, average margin per game, and home vs road bias.
Picks this week:
all depends where the lines fall
(spread depicts where I think each game should be snatched up at)
(if game falls between the two values I'd stay away)
TB +10 Detroit -6.5
KC -2.5 SD +5
Car -2.5 Miami +5
Wash +5 SF -2.5
Thats a pretty big variance.. Let me see if I get you if the line falls between +10 and -6.5 stay away?
Originally Posted by steel26
yes that's what i meant
TB Covered
SD Covered
Carolina at -2.5 covered and Miami at 5
With the injury news I would suggest that the niners will cover at anything up to 6.5 for sure
definitely will put into action next week
First official bet with this system 49ers teased to -3 at -155, 1 unit bet.
This seems like a trap game with all the money out there on SF, I would usually pound the money line hard on this one, but something seems up
You mean you BOUGHT the game to -3
You cannot TEASE only one game..
CODY how is it going ???
You can on 5dimes, alternative point spreads man, not a teaser persay but the line is teased down for different amounts of juice.
Basically I think the niners will win by more than a FG, but it's monday night and things get weird. Plus this pays -80 more than the money line with less risk than the awkward 5 number.
my user name spells COBB, my last name lol
1-0 UP .75 UNITS with new system
posting picks Wednesday after I crunch some numbers
Thanksgiving Picks
GB +7
Dallas -7
Balt -2.5
all 1 unit plays, but if you were to play a 2 unit play id put it on balt
Also hoping on NCAAF Texas -4 (not a system play)
1-2-1 Got done dirty in the Pittsburgh game
total
2-2-1 -.5 units
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